253  
FNUS71 KCTP 171226  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR B-12B...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
726 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2009  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY WILL KEEP IT DRY UNTIL  
AT LEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE COUPLED WITH LIGHT WINDS. FINE FUELS ABOUT 9 PCT RIGHT  
NOW...BUT MIN RH/S SHOULD NOT DIP BLO 30 PCT TODAY OR WEDNESDAY.  
A SOAKING RAIN IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...WHICH WILL HELP TO BRING  
THE FINE FUEL MOISTURE UP.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6  
MPH.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).............45 40 35 32  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP................49 51 53 48  
RH..................47 42 39 47  
20 FT WIND..........NE 6 E 6 E 5 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  
TRANSPORT WIND......E 8 E 7 E 8 E 10  
LAL.................1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).............31 26 15 19 18 11  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP................46 43 41 40 39 38  
RH..................52 58 63 67 72 78  
20 FT WIND..........E 3 E 3 E 3 E 2 E 2 NE 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANSPORT WIND......E 12 E 12 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 7  
LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).............24 29 34 40 42 45  
WEATHER COV.........  
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP................36 39 44 48 52 51  
RH..................89 84 74 66 58 59  
20 FT WIND..........E 2 E 3 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10  
TRANSPORT WIND......E 6 E 10 E 16 SE 16 SE 14 E 13  
LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR  
REQUESTED BY...MR SHANNON HENRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 20091117.B12B_.01/CTP  
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