231  
FNUS71 KCTP 222326  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 108 MARINA RD...PA GAME COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
726 PM EDT SUN APR 22 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON APRIL 22.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...  
CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE THE AREA WITH DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT  
EASTERLY WINDS RIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. MIN RHS WILL BE IN THE  
20S THIS EVENING, AND DIP INTO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE ON MONDAY.  
LOOKING AHEAD, TUESDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK WILL BRING A HIGH  
LIKELIHOOD FOR RAIN.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, BECOMING EAST AROUND  
6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 7100-7900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH, DECREASING TO 1 TO 6 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 14 7 6 4 3 6 10 13 11 10 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............35 37 41 46 49 53 55 57 58 59 60 61  
RH..............72 67 59 47 42 36 34 31 29 28 28 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.7 7.9 7.9 7.7 7.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE S S SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 8 10 12 13 12 10 1 2 5 6  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE, THEN BECOMING EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6100 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........8 6 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 11 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............58 56 54 51 49 46 45 43 42 41 40 40  
RH..............30 34 38 44 52 60 62 70 73 75 77 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 4.8 3.4 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 10 12  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5  
TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 5100-5300 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 14 15 17 19 21 24 26 28 32 36 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 41 42 46 50 55 57 59 62 62 63 63  
RH..............78 77 76 66 58 49 46 43 38 38 35 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.2 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 15 18 21 21 21 20 20 20 21  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO-CTP/RXR  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH FUQUA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1807376.0/CTP  
.EMAIL JOFUQUA@PA.GOV  
 
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