321  
FNUS71 KCTP 170939  
FWSCTP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 210 STONE CABIN...PA GAME COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
439 AM EST FRI NOV 17 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...  
CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A FAIR DAY IS IN STORE UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. THE WIND THIS MORNING  
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE  
WEST AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN  
SHOWERS AND EVEN A STRAY THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY  
BEFORE AND ALONG THE FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN THE  
COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON AND LEAD TO GUSTY WIND AND LAKE EFFECT  
SNOW.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH,  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH, DECREASING TO 8 TO 12  
MPH LATE.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 15 13 14 13 10 8 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 40 42 44 44 44 45 42  
RH..............54 48 44 39 39 39 38 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 6 6 5 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 14 14 13 12 8  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT), THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT), THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT), THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 7 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........9 17 39 53 55 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............39 35 32 31 32 32  
RH..............50 66 75 78 78 81  
20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 S 2 S 3 S 5 S 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 1 S 2 S 3 SE 5 S 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN  
SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........71 83 95 98 99 99  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............32 34 40 43 44 44  
RH..............85 85 76 73 76 79  
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 100 400 900 1000 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 S 12 S 15 S 15 S 15 S 14  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO-CTP/DANGELO  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN WEAVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1718934.0/CTP  
.EMAIL JONWEAVER@PA.GOV  
 
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