542  
FNUS71 KPHI 241315  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PONDERS UNIT 5...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
915 AM EDT WED APR 24 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR REGION DURING TODAY, THEN HIGH PRESSURE  
ARRIVES FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE  
SHIFTING TO OUR NORTHEAST AND EAST DURING FRIDAY. A WARM FRONT  
SHOULD LIFT NORTH OF OUR AREA LATER SATURDAY, THEN A COLD FRONT  
GRADUALLY APPROACHES LATER MONDAY BEFORE MOVING ACROSS OUR AREA  
LATER TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106300  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................41 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 138 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........96 93 80 67 45 40 32 32  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............62 64 67 68 70 71 70 70  
RH..............60 56 49 45 39 38 38 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 13 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 21 21 21 21 20 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 3.4 4.9 5.8 7.1 6.8 6.1 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 21 22 22 23 23 22 22  
ADI.............41 71 90 96 110 108 98 138  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 61 94 110 142 137 116 106  
VENTRATE CAT....PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 16  
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (64500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................89 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 24 24 26 27 24 22 21 22 33 48 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............68 66 62 59 58 56 55 53 51 49 49 48  
RH..............40 45 52 60 62 69 69 71 71 74 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 10 10 12 12 13 14 16 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.7 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 14 13 13 14 16 17 16 17 18 17 16  
ADI.............89 6 6 6 6 7 8 11 12 12 19 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..65 7 5 5 5 7 9 9 9 30 25 26  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (37700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................13 TO 49.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........59 60 58 53 49 44 40 35 30 29 27 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............47 47 46 48 49 51 52 53 53 53 53 52  
RH..............71 68 71 65 63 61 56 54 54 54 54 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 13 14  
ADI.............13 49 45 44 45 43 40 41 41 39 40 45  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 34 35 36 38 37 35 36 36 34 33 31  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...FITZSIMMONS  
REQUESTED BY...NATASHA WHETZEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412237.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/24/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATASHA.WHETZEL@TNC.ORG  
 
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