875  
FNUS71 KBOX 221046  
FWSBOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP EDWARDS SW BUFFER SUBUNIT F...NE-FFM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA  
646 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER TODAY. WEAK  
SEABREEZES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. INCREASING  
HUMIDITY FRIDAY WITH LOW RISK OF AN AFTERNOON SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORM.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3000-29300 KNOT-FT).  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
DEWPOINT............56.  
LVORI...............3.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...72.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 1400-3300 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL LATE.  
ADI.................8, INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 34 EARLY, DECREASING TO 26 LATE.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH, INCREASING TO 17 TO 20  
MPH LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 7 12 18 23 28 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 76 77 78 78 78 77 76  
DEWPOINT........57 57 57 57 57 56 56 56  
RH..............55 52 50 48 48 47 48 50  
HEAT INDEX (F)..74 76 77 78 78 78 77 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 9 10 12 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 6 7 9 10 12 12 13  
SURFACE WND GST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 13 14 16 17 20  
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
ADI.............27 31 33 38 38 30 27 24  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/100021 27 27 29 28 26 21 16  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT).  
CEILING (KFT).......25, DECREASING TO 3.5.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
DEWPOINT............58, INCREASING TO 61 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT), THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...70.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.  
ADI.................15, DECREASING TO 12 AROUND MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 44 49 51 53 56 64 73 82 82 82 81  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 70 67 66 65 64 64 64 63 63 62 62  
DEWPOINT........56 56 57 57 57 58 58 59 60 60 61 61  
RH..............55 61 70 73 75 81 81 84 90 90 97 97  
HEAT INDEX (F)..73 70 67 66 65 64 64 64 63 63 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.12 10 10 9 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 13 12 10 10 12 12 13 14 15  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............19 12 12 11 10 7 7 8 10 11 12 16  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/100011 7 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4  
CEILING (KFT)...25 20 20 15 14 11 9.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 4.5 3.5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT).  
CEILING (KFT).......4.0, INCREASING TO 10.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
DEWPOINT............64, INCREASING TO 66 LATE.  
LVORI...............4.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT, INCREASING TO 11 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...72.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.  
ADI.................18.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........81 81 80 80 80 79  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............63 68 72 74 75 74  
DEWPOINT........62 64 65 66 67 66  
RH..............97 87 79 76 76 76  
HEAT INDEX (F)..63 68 72 74 75 74  
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 20  
SURFACE WIND....S 8 S 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 15  
SURFACE WND GST.10 15 15 15 15 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 600 700 700 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 13 SW 16 SW 18 SW 20 SW 20  
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............15 14 18 20 21 21  
HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10004 5 9 11 12 13  
CEILING (KFT)...4.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 9.0 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...KJC  
REQUESTED BY...JOEL R. CARLSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1711413.0/BOX  
.EMAIL JOELCARLSON@NE-FFM.COM  
 
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