354
FGUS72 KILM 211325
ESFILM
NCC017-019-047-129-141-155-SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-
231330-
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
925 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2019
RAINFALL DURING THE LAST ONE TO THREE MONTHS HAS BEEN NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL. AS A RESULT, THERE IS AN AREA OF ABNORMALLY DRY
CONDITIONS NEARER THE COAST IN THE LATEST DEPICTION FROM THE U.S.
DROUGHT MONITOR.
THE TABLE BELOW SUMMARIZES PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT AREA
OBSERVATION SITES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MARCH 20TH FOR VARIOUS TIME
SCALES.
WILMINGTON NC
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE PERCENT
RAINFALL VALUE FROM OF
NORMAL NORMAL
ONE MONTH (30 DAYS) 3.35 4.11 -0.76 82%
TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS) 5.83 7.88 -2.05 74%
THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS) 7.86 11.45 -3.59 69%
SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS) 22.69 23.16 -0.47 98%
ONE YEAR 97.65 57.61 40.04 170%
FIFTEEN MONTHS 109.29 68.45 40.84 160%
LUMBERTON NC
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE PERCENT
RAINFALL VALUE FROM OF
NORMAL NORMAL
ONE MONTH (30 DAYS) 3.47 3.31 0.16 105%
TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS) 5.64 6.40 -0.76 88%
THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS) 8.17 8.91 -0.74 92%
SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS) 21.96 17.77 4.19 124%
ONE YEAR 60.28 43.52 16.76 139%
FIFTEEN MONTHS 65.36 51.98 13.38 126%
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH SC
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE PERCENT
RAINFALL VALUE FROM OF
NORMAL NORMAL
ONE MONTH (30 DAYS) 2.44 3.78 -1.34 65%
TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS) 4.12 7.53 -3.41 55%
THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS) 6.00 10.71 -4.71 56%
SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS) 23.44 21.69 1.75 108%
ONE YEAR 66.00 52.01 13.99 127%
FIFTEEN MONTHS 73.66 62.17 11.49 118%
FLORENCE SC
TOTAL NORMAL DEPARTURE PERCENT
RAINFALL VALUE FROM OF
NORMAL NORMAL
ONE MONTH (30 DAYS) 2.91 3.27 -0.36 89%
TWO MONTHS (60 DAYS) 5.58 6.34 -0.76 88%
THREE MONTHS (90 DAYS) 7.92 9.46 -1.54 84%
SIX MONTHS (180 DAYS) 24.18 18.13 6.05 133%
ONE YEAR 59.00 42.91 16.09 137%
FIFTEEN MONTHS 65.00 51.85 13.15 125%
STREAMFLOW VALUES ACROSS THE AREA ARE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. GROUND WATER LEVELS ARE ALSO IN THE NORMAL
RANGE. UPSTREAM RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
TIME OF YEAR AS ARE AREA SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
DURING THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS, THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
TODAY AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED TO BE
DRY. THE RESULT WILL BE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE
AREA DURING THE WEEK. THE OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER FOR THE REST OF MARCH SHOWS ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WHILE THE
OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY INDICATES NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL.
IN CONSIDERATION OF THE ABOVE FACTORS, THIS OUTLOOK CALLS FOR AN
ABOVE NORMAL RISK OF FLOODING THROUGH APRIL.
IF NEEDED, THE NEXT WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
APRIL 4TH.
RAN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page