593
FNUS52 KILM 190914
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL SAG ACROSS THE AREA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SLOWLY
END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A WEAK FRONT MAY MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH OR REDEVELOP
OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND.
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW TO MODERATE.
NCZ105>110-200115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 60 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 65 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 5 NE 6 NE 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 8 NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.83 0.41 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 8 4 1
INVERSION 75/0900 2100 72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 63 99 52
DSI 2 2
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4080 4220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 7 NE 25
VENTILATION RATE 28560 105500
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 22 FAIR 73 GOOD
ADI LATE 21 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 82 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NCZ087-096-099-200115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 40 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 4 3 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 83 65 84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 5 NE 5 NE 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 6 NE 6 E 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.51 0.16 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2
INVERSION 73/0900 2100 71/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 58 99 47
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4440 4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 NE 22
VENTILATION RATE 39960 107580
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 27 FAIR 69 GOOD
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 88 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS
AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SCZ053>056-200115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 70 60 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 3
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 66 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)W 6 NE 4 NE 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) E 4 NE 7 E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.87 0.39 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 6 4 1
INVERSION 76/0900 2100 73/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 62 100 54
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4300 4560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 NE 23
VENTILATION RATE 51600 104880
ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 21 FAIR 60 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 38 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 3 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SCZ032-033-039-200115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 50 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
LAL 4 4 2
MAX/MIN TEMP 85 66 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW 6 NE 5 NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 5 NE 6 E 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.71 0.24 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 7 3 1
INVERSION 75/0900 2100 72/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 61 100 49
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4610 5260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 NE 23
VENTILATION RATE 41490 120980
ADI EARLY 19 GEN POOR 20 GEN POOR 66 GOOD
ADI LATE 30 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 78 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 3 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS
AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SCZ017-023-024-200115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
514 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 30 0
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
LAL 3 3 1
MAX/MIN TEMP 84 65 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N 6 NE 5 NE 9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 7 NE 6 E 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.42 0.09 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
INVERSION 72/0900 2100 71/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%) 57 99 46
DSI 2 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4560 5450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 10 NE 22
VENTILATION RATE 45600 119900
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 28 FAIR 87 GOOD
ADI LATE 32 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 101 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 3 10 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
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