251  
FNUS52 KILM 212014  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
314 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MILD WEATHER WILL PRECEDE A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING SHOWERS  
MAINLY ON TUESDAY. AFTER A BRIEF COOLDOWN BEHIND THE FRONT THE  
LATE WEEK PERIOD WILL ONCE AGAIN FEATURE A WARMING TREND. THE  
NEXT FRONT AND RAIN CHANCES COME SUNDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW  
 
NCZ087-096-099-221215-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
314 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2018  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS  
LAL 1 1 1 2  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 67 55 71  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 SW 13 G27  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 8 S 11 SW 14 G30  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2  
INVERSION 1800 59/1100 1800 62/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 50 100 40  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3240 4540  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 30  
VENTILATION RATE 58320 136200  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 10 POOR 10 POOR 57 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 88 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 9 6 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 6 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
83 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ105>110-221215-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
314 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2018  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS  
LAL 1 1 1 2  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 67 55 71  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 SW 12 G27  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 S 11 SW 13 G29  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.08  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2  
INVERSION 1800 59/1100 1800 61/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 100 48  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2760 4270  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 31  
VENTILATION RATE 49680 132370  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 7 POOR 9 POOR 51 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 84 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 7 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 6 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
78 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
LOWS AROUND 50. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ054>056-058-059-221215-  
COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-CENTRAL HORRY-  
NORTHERN HORRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH,  
GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN, MURRELLS INLET,  
CONWAY, LONGS, BUCKSPORT, LORIS, GREEN SEA, AND AYNOR  
314 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2018  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS  
LAL 1 1 1 2  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 67 56 72  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 3 LGT/VAR S 8 SW 12 G24  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 8 S 11 SW 13 G25  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2  
INVERSION 1800 59/1100 1800 61/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 56 100 40  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2710 4550  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 SW 28  
VENTILATION RATE 46070 127400  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 10 POOR 10 POOR 42 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 42 GEN GOOD 13 GEN POOR 78 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 7 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 5 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221215-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
314 PM EST SUN JAN 21 2018  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS  
LAL 1 1 1 2  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 68 55 71  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 3 LGT/VAR S 8 SW 12 G25  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 S 12 SW 14 G29  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
INVERSION 1800 58/1100 1800 60/0900  
DISPERSION VERY POOR GOOD  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 50 100 38  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3420 4540  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 29  
VENTILATION RATE 44460 131660  
ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 10 POOR 10 POOR 50 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 2 VERY POOR 37 FAIR 13 GEN POOR 84 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 9 6 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 6 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH  
82 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH  
91 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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