402  
FNUS52 KILM 171937  
FWFILM  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
337 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH  
FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING  
THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL GET HUNG UP  
IN CLOSE PROXIMITY EARLY NEXT WEEK AND THEN DISSIPATE, KEEPING  
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.  
 
NCZ105>110-181145-  
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-  
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,  
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,  
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,  
AND SUNSET BEACH  
337 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3 4  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 91 77 91  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 4 SW 8 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 SW 7 SW 6 SW 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 4  
INVERSION 2000 80/0900 2000 81/0900  
DISPERSION POOR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 65 98 59  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5150 5970  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 13  
VENTILATION RATE 77250 77610  
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 19 GEN POOR 34 FAIR 24 FAIR  
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD 6 VERY POOR 49 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 6 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 7 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ087-096-099-181145-  
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,  
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW  
337 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3 4  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 92 75 92  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 4 S 6 SW 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 4 SW 7 SW 4 SW 4  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2 2  
INVERSION 2000 80/0900 2000 81/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 56 100 51  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 4 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6520 7040  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 SW 7  
VENTILATION RATE 104320 49280  
ADI EARLY 24 FAIR 32 FAIR 41 GEN GOOD 10 POOR  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 64 GOOD 4 VERY POOR 25 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 6 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 9 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ053>056-181145-  
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,  
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,  
AND MURRELLS INLET  
337 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 40 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3 4  
MIN/MAX TEMP 76 92 76 91  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 SW 4 S 8 SW 6  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 SW 7 SW 5 SW 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.11 0.06 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 4  
INVERSION 2000 80/0900 2000 81/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 60 97 58  
DSI 2 2  
HAINES INDEX 3 4 3 4  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6310 6580  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 12  
VENTILATION RATE 63100 78960  
ADI EARLY 20 GEN POOR 20 GEN POOR 24 FAIR 25 FAIR  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 44 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 5 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181145-  
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,  
DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE, DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,  
AND KINGSTREE  
337 PM EDT THU AUG 17 2017  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 30 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
LAL 3 3 3 4  
MIN/MAX TEMP 75 94 76 92  
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 4 SW 4 S 6 SW 4  
WND20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 7 SW 4 SW 5  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 2  
INVERSION 2000 80/0900 2000 81/0900  
DISPERSION FAIR FAIR  
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 53 97 52  
DSI 3 2  
HAINES INDEX 4 4 4 3  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 6870 7540  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 W 9  
VENTILATION RATE 96180 67860  
ADI EARLY 22 FAIR 38 FAIR 37 FAIR 10 POOR  
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 30 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 9 5 7  
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 6 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE  
===================================================================  
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499  
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999  
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999  
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999  
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER  
 
SC USERS NC USERS  
===================================================================  
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND  
===================================================================  
STAGNANT NEAR CALM  
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH  
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH  
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH  
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH  
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT  
 
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.  
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.  
 

 
 
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