629  
FNUS72 KCHS 150827  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR C115A FMF...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
427 AM EDT FRI JUN 15 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY  
AFTERNOON. THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL TURN WINDS MORE  
SOUTHWESTERLY AND EVEN SOUTHERLY AT THE BURN SITE STARTING AROUND  
4 PM, WITH SPEEDS INCREASING INTO THE 10-15 MPH RANGE. VERY LITTLE  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY TO  
MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THEN, A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO  
DEVELOP NORTH OF THE AREA AND MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING THE MID TO LATE  
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN  
AND AROUND THE BURN SITE AS EARLY AS AROUND 4-5 PM, WITH THE THREAT  
CONTINUING THROUGH 9-10 PM. THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG  
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT: LOW.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING,  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
8 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............30.  
INVERSION END.......0900.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 18 18 23 32 42 51 60 68  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 30 40 50  
TEMP............80 84 88 90 91 92 92 91 89  
RH..............79 70 61 58 58 56 56 58 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST. 8 11 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.6 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.8 4.9 4.0 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 6 6 6 8 8 9  
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............10 14 18 22 26 30 26 22 18  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY  
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX LVORI...........7.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....2000.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........75 75 59  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 20  
TEMP............87 77 74  
RH..............65 87 90  
20 FT WIND......S 10G15 SE 4 W 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 900 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SE 6 SW 4  
LVORI...........3 5 7  
ADI.............15 5 1  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............34.  
INVERSION END.......0900.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........58 55 45  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20  
TEMP............73 82 87  
RH..............97 74 61  
20 FT WIND......N 3G4 E 6G9 SE 9G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2400 4500  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 4 NE 6 E 8  
LVORI...........6 4 1  
ADI.............4 14 34  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...HOLLOWAY  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WETZEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1811497.0/CHS  
.DELDT 06/15/18  
.EMAIL KWETZELWILSON@FS.FED.US  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab SC Page
The Nexlab GA Page Main Text Page