837  
FNUS72 KCHS 190859  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMF C192 SAVANNAH...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
459 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT  
APPROACHING THE SPOT SITE LATE TONIGHT. UNSETTLED WEATHER COULD REMAIN  
ACROSS THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS BY  
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. FOR TODAY, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL  
WILL INCREASE EARLY AFTERNOON AND WILL MAINLY BE DRIVEN BY THE SEABREEZE.  
THE SEABREEZE SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR THE SPOT SITE BY 1-2 PM, PRODUCING SOUTH  
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 14-18 MPH INTO MID AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND/OR  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BY 2-3 PM AT THE SPOT SITE, THEN SHIFT INLAND  
LATE AFTERNOON.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT: LOW.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............28.  
INVERSION END.......1100.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 32 37 44 50 50 47 44  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............75 80 84 84 84 83 82 80  
RH..............71 62 55 55 55 57 58 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 6 7 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 9 11 13 13 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............4 13 17 20 25 27 28 24  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND  
6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MAX LVORI...........9.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....1800.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........44 42 48  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10  
TEMP............79 69 66  
RH..............64 90 100  
20 FT WIND......S 9G13 S 6G9 SW 6G7  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SW 8 SW 6  
LVORI...........3 6 9  
ADI.............1 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO  
7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............47.  
INVERSION END.......1000.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........38 18 42  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20  
TEMP............65 76 84  
RH..............100 76 57  
20 FT WIND......SW 5G7 W 4G5 SW 7G9  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1500 4300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 W 8 W 10  
LVORI...........8 4 1  
ADI.............7 16 47  
 

 
FORECASTER...BERRY  
REQUESTED BY...SAM SULSER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411327.0/CHS  
.DELDT 04/19/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SAMUEL.SULSER@USDA.GOV  
 
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