144  
FNUS72 KILM 181425  
FWSILM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TEST...NWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC  
1025 AM EDT WED APR 18 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AT 910-762-1374.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO ATLANTIC THROUGH  
TODAY AND WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE  
AREA. GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE AN INCREASED  
RISK FOR DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS  
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT THROUGH  
SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND BRING  
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX MIXING HGT......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14  
TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX VENT RATE.......80385 MPH-FT.  
MAX LVORI...........4.  
MAX ADI.............58.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........11 12 14 16 14 12 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............71 75 78 80 80 80 79  
RH..............52 47 43 40 39 39 40  
CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 11 12 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 19 20 20 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 15 14 16 20 22  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
VR MPH-FT*1000..38 46 46 50 59 72 80  
STABILITY.......C C C D D D D  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............47 53 49 36 43 52 58  
APARNT TMP (F)..71 75 78 80 80 80 80  
SFC PRES (IN)...996 996 996 990 990 990 990  
 

 
FORECASTER...MORGAN  
REQUESTED BY...CRM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1806948.0/ILM  
.DELDT 04/18/18  
.EMAIL CARL.R.MORGAN@NOAA.GOV  
 
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