638  
FNUS73 KUNR 172246  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKTAIL...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
446 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1627 MDT ON MAY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY OVER CAMPBELL COUNTY ARE MOVING  
NORTHEAST. IF THEY CONTINUE ON THEIR CURRENT TRACK...THEY WILL  
AFFECT THE BURN AREA SHORTLY AFTER 6 PM. ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS  
ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME  
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND  
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY/ERRATIC NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................4.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 TO 1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................4.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 TO 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 

 
FORECASTER...JJ  
REQUESTED BY...MELODY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 20130517.BLACK.01/UNR  
 
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