203  
FNUS54 KMRX 270752  
FWFMRX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST  
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THIS WEEKEND  
PRODUCING DRY AND UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH  
SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND  
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS MONDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN.  
 
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280900-  
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40-45 (-5) 26-31 (-1) 54-59  
RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (-8) 84-89 (+2) 32-37  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 14 G26 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G25 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END 7 PM  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 3200  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 28 W 22  
DISPERSION 33 FAIR 21 FAIR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280900-  
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 39-44 (-4) 24-29 (-1) 51-56  
RH % (24H TREND) 44-49 (-11) 88-93 (+1) 36-41  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 18 G33 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 15 G32 W 9 G24 W 5  
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END 7 PM  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 33 W 23  
DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 7 POOR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ072-074-280900-  
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41-46 (-2) 24-29 (-1) 51-56  
RH % (24H TREND) 34-39 (-22) 82-87 (-2) 36-41  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 13 G28 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 11 G26 W 5 G22 W 5  
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END 1 PM  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 5  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3300 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 24 W 16  
DISPERSION 12 POOR 3 VERY POOR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S  
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ087-102-280900-  
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47-52 (0) 25-30 (-2) 56-61  
RH % (24H TREND) 31-36 (-18) 85-90 (+6) 33-38  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 9 G19 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 9 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22 W 12  
DISPERSION 26 FAIR 5 VERY POOR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.  
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S  
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NCZ060-061-280900-  
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48-53 (0) 24-29 (-3) 57-62  
RH % (24H TREND) 29-34 (-18) 86-91 (+7) 31-36  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 11 G22 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 10 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 29 NW 16  
DISPERSION 27 FAIR 4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI 5 5  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS  
COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280900-  
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44-49 (-3) 25-30 (-3) 56-61  
RH % (24H TREND) 38-43 (-13) 91-96 (+12) 34-39  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 12 G23 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G22 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3300 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 W 17  
DISPERSION 38 FAIR 21 FAIR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280900-  
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47-52 (0) 27-32 (-2) 56-61  
RH % (24H TREND) 34-39 (-17) 85-90 (+7) 36-41  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 9 G17 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 G15 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3600 2800  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 21 W 15  
DISPERSION 41 GEN GOOD 19 GEN POOR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280900-  
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-  
252 AM EST FRI NOV 27 2009 /152 AM CST FRI NOV 27 2009/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
TEMP (24H TREND) 50-55 (+2) 28-33 (-1) 58-63  
RH % (24H TREND) 31-36 (-17) 85-90 (+4) 33-38  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G15 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 8 G15 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3700 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22 W 13  
DISPERSION 46 GEN GOOD 14 GEN POOR  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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