022
FNUS54 KMRX 191837
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
DISCUSSION
A TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS EACH
DAY MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+1) 81-86 (+1) 58-63 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 90-95 (-7) 41-46 (-4) 91-96 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 E 6
DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 21 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (+2) 79-84 (+1) 57-62 80-85
RH % (24H TREND) 90-95 (-5) 42-47 (-3) 90-95 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 NE 7
DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 20 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TNZ072-074-201930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (+1) 78-83 (+1) 57-62 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-4) 42-47 (-4) 87-92 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 NE 6
DISPERSION 13 GEN POOR 13 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TNZ087-102-201930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (+3) 81-86 (+1) 60-65 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-8) 41-46 (-4) 87-92 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 NE 6
DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 19 GEN POOR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
NCZ060-061-201930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (0) 81-86 (+1) 58-63 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-9) 40-45 (-3) 87-92 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 7 NE 6
DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI 4 4
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (+1) 82-87 (+1) 59-64 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 89-94 (-8) 41-46 (-3) 89-94 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 E 6
DISPERSION 22 FAIR 23 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10
MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-65 (+2) 83-88 (+1) 61-66 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-10) 42-47 (-4) 87-92 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
LAL 2 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 SE 6
DISPERSION 23 FAIR 22 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
235 PM EDT WED JUN 19 2013 /135 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013/
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (+2) 84-89 (+1) 62-67 86-91
RH % (24H TREND) 87-92 (-9) 41-46 (-3) 87-92 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 12 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
LAL 2 2 2 2
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 SE 6
DISPERSION 23 FAIR 23 FAIR
REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
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