652  
FNUS74 KOHX 121300  
FWSOHX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHILOH CHURCH...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
700 AM CST TUE DEC 12 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0642 CST ON DECEMBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH THE REGION,  
WITH GUSTY WINDS TODAY. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY LATE  
MORNING, WITH TEMPERATURES HOLDING IN THE LOW 40'S FOR MOST OF THE  
DAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT BELOW 40%, SO THERE IS AT  
LEAST A MARGINAL FIRE DANGER DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS AND STRONG  
WINDS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............46 42 41 41 42 43 43 43 43 43 41 38  
RH..............64 64 65 65 58 52 46 41 38 39 45 48  
20FT WIND DIR...NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20FT WIND SPD...7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 5  
20FT WIND GUST..14 17 21 21 21 20 20 17 17 16 14 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.7 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.6 2.6 1.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 23 25 25 25 24 22 21 20 18 15 12  
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 10 11 11 11 11 10 9 9 8 7 5  
DISPERSION IDX..33 63 88 97 97 94 85 84 80 67 40 16  
LVORI...........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............36 33 31 30 28 27  
RH..............48 55 61 64 69 73  
20FT WIND DIR...NW NW W SW SW SW  
20FT WIND SPD...3 2 1 1 1 1  
20FT WIND GUST..7 6 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 200 300 300 300 300  
MIX HGT (M).....120 60 90 90 90 90  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 3 3 5 5  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 2 1 1 2 2  
DISPERSION IDX..3 1 1 1 1 1  
LVORI...........0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............27 37 49 53  
RH..............74 55 36 34  
20FT WIND DIR...S SW SW SW  
20FT WIND SPD...2 6 9 12  
20FT WIND GUST..6 13 21 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 2600 2400  
MIX HGT (M).....120 460 790 730  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 17 25 30  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 8 11 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 26 65 72  
LVORI...........0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...MARK ROSE  
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1719798.1/OHX  
 
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