975  
FXUS64 KOHX 282015  
AFDOHX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN  
315 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SURFACE HIGH IS NOW WELL EAST OF THE AREA AND SOUTHERLY FLOW IS  
ONGOING. BY TOMORROW, ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD FOR  
SOME SCATTERED DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE BEST CHANCES SOUTH  
AND THE PLATEAU. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD  
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY AND EVEN MORE SO FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY/ SHORTWAVE WORKS TOWARD THE AREA.  
MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARD THE DRIER SIDE OF THINGS ON  
SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STRONG STORMS  
CAN'T BE RULED OUT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS.  
THE BEST CHANCE OF STRONG STORMS LOOKS TO BE ON SATURDAY WHEN MID  
LEVEL FLOW INCREASES AS THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHES GIVING STORMS A  
LITTLE MORE SHEAR TO WORK WITH.  
 
THE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH 20-40  
POPS DURING THE DAY. GFS AND EURO SHOW ANOTHER SHORTWAVE THAT  
WILL MOVE THROUGH SOME TIME MID NEXT WEEK. RIGHT NOW, THE EURO IS  
ABOUT 24 HOURS FASTER THAN THE GFS. WENT AHEAD AND STARTED  
INCREASING POPS FOR WEDNESDAY BUT THIS MAY NEED TO BE PUSHED BACK.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST. HIGHS  
IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S WILL BE COMMON WITH LOWS IN THE 60S TO  
LOW 70S THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, SOME LOCATIONS  
WILL LIKELY START HITTING 90.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.  
 
SFC HIGH OVER THE MID-SOUTH EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST NEXT FEW DAYS.  
STRENGTHENING GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD DEEPER MOISTURE  
NORTHWARD AS WELL AS INCREASING WIND SPEEDS. DEVELOPING PCPN WITH  
THIS TREND STILL A BIT OUT OF THIS PERIOD BUT IS POSSIBLE LATER  
THURSDAY. THUS...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ALL SITES  
THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
NASHVILLE 69 87 71 86 72 / 0 30 20 40 50  
CLARKSVILLE 67 85 70 84 72 / 0 30 10 30 60  
CROSSVILLE 64 79 67 78 68 / 0 30 20 50 40  
COLUMBIA 67 84 70 84 72 / 0 40 20 50 50  
LAWRENCEBURG 67 84 69 83 71 / 0 50 20 50 50  
WAVERLY 69 86 71 84 72 / 0 30 10 30 60  
 

 
   
OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION......REAGAN  
AVIATION........07  
 
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