475
FNUS54 KSHV 082142
FWFSHV
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
..EAST TEXAS
AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
DISCUSSION
RH/S WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO SPILL NORTHWARD AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL
SLOWLY TRAVERSE EAST ACROSS TEXAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OVER SOUTH TEXAS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD
NORTH INTO THE EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA DISTRICTS MONDAY...ALTHOUGH
ITS NORTHWARD PROGRESS WILL BE LIMITED PARTLY DUE TO THE DRY NATURE OF THE
AIR MASS ALOFT...AND THE FACT THAT THE BEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE
SOUTH OF THE AREA. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL STAY SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE REGION...ALTHOUGH CLOUD COVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND A HUMID
AIR MASS WILL MAINTAIN RELATIVELY HIGH RH/S DURING THE NEXT 36 HRS. IN
ADDITION...HURRICANE IDA WILL CONTINUE HER NORTHWARD PROGRESS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...NEARING THE CENTRAL GULF COAST IN
A WEAKENED STATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE LITTLE
INFLUENCE ON OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER...OTHER THAN REINFORCE COOLER AND DRIER
AIR SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A RETURN TO SEASONAL WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...BEFORE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.
ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-091030-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-MCCURTAIN-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..ARKANSAS DISTRICT 2
..OKLAHOMA SOUTHEAST PROTECTION AREA
..OUACHITA NATIONAL FOREST-BROKEN BOW UNIT
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+1) 74 (+2) 50 75
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-8) 52 (-12) 88 44
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 6 NE 5 LGT/VAR N 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 0 1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1144 1390
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3752 4561
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 6 N 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 13 N 17
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 6864 11120
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 71 62
STABILITY CLASS D C F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ060-061-070>073-091030-
HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-COLUMBIA-UNION AR-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..ARKANSAS DISTRICT 4
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+2) 71 (-2) 55 75
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-5) 60 (-3) 92 47
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 5 N 6
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 5 NE 7 LGT/VAR N 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.08 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 2 1 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 923 1328
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3028 4358
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 7 N 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 15 N 18
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 6461 10624
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 73 62
STABILITY CLASS D C F B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-091030-
RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-
MARION-GREGG-HARRISON-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..TEXAS ZONE - LINDEN
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+1) 73 (0) 54 76
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-8) 55 (-14) 92 48
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 5 N 5
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 5 NE 6 LGT/VAR N 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 0 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1142 1461
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3747 4793
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 N 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 N 18
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 6852 11688
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 72 64
STABILITY CLASS D C E B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 3.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ136-149>153-091030-
SMITH-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..TEXAS ZONE - HENDERSON
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+1) 72 (-2) 55 75
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-8) 56 (-12) 93 48
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 5 N 5
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 5 NE 7 N 5 N 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1117 1518
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3665 4979
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 N 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 16 N 24
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 7819 16698
CATEGORY DAY 3 5
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 71 62
STABILITY CLASS D C E B
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 3.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TXZ165>167-091030-
ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..EAST TEXAS FOREST-ANGELINA AND SABINE
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+1) 70 (-4) 56 76
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-5) 67 (-2) 95 52
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 7 N 5
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NE 8 N 5 N 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.15 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 2 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1009 1505
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3311 4938
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 N 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 N 24
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 8072 16555
CATEGORY DAY 4 5
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 71 62
STABILITY CLASS D D E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
LAZ001>004-012-091030-
CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-BIENVILLE-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..LOUISIANA DISTRICT 4
..KISATCHIE NATIONAL FOREST-CANEY RANGER DISTRICT
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+2) 70 (-4) 56 75
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-4) 63 (-3) 91 49
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 6 N 6
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 5 NE 8 N 6 N 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.12 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 894 1355
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2934 4444
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 N 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 16 N 22
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 6258 13550
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 73 62
STABILITY CLASS D C E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
LAZ005-006-013-014-091030-
LINCOLN-UNION LA-JACKSON-OUACHITA-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..LOUISIANA DISTRICT 5
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 50 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+3) 67 (-7) 55 75
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-3) 73 (+14) 92 50
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 5 N 7
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NE 8 N 7 N 7 G15
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.15 0.15 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 515 1306
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1690 4284
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 N 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 18 N 24
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 4120 14366
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 73 62
STABILITY CLASS D D D C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAZ010-011-017-018-091030-
DE SOTO-RED RIVER-SABINE LA-NATCHITOCHES-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..LOUISIANA DISTRICT 6
..KISATCHIE NATIONAL FOREST-KISATCHIE RANGER DISTRICT
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+1) 68 (-6) 56 75
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-3) 71 (+3) 94 50
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 7 N 6
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NE 8 N 7 N 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.14 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 2 0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 863 1376
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2832 4516
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 N 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 18 N 24
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 6904 15136
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 72 63
STABILITY CLASS D D E C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
LAZ019>022-091030-
WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-
342 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
..LOUISIANA DISTRICT 3
..KISATCHIE NATIONAL FOREST-WINN AND CATAHOULA RANGER DISTRICTS
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+1) 67 (-7) 55 76
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-3) 77 (+15) 98 49
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 5 N 6
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NE 7 N 6 N 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.31 0.35 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 5 1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 478 1309
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1567 4295
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 9 N 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 21 N 25
VENT RATE (M^2/S) 4302 14399
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F) 72 62
STABILITY CLASS D D D C
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX IS 4.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
15
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