933  
FNUS74 KAMA 161642  
FWSAMA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BORGER RX BURN...BORGER OEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
1142 AM CDT WED MAY 16 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH FOR THE REST OF TODAY,  
WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THERE  
IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, BUT IT LOOKS TO BE VERY HIT  
AND MISS. IF STORMS DO MANAGE TO DEVELOP THEY HAVE THE POTENTIAL  
TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE.  
 
WEBER  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1600, THEN 1-8 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31500 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20  
LAL.............1 2  
TEMP............85 87  
RH..............45 39  
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8  
HAINES INDEX....3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/100032 42  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1900, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-40000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............86 82 75 71 67 64  
RH..............37 44 58 68 78 87  
20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 SE 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 10 9 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 7 6  
HAINES INDEX....3 5 5 5 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/100040 21 0 0 0 0  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO  
16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 16 TO  
25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-35000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (176000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 30 30  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 3 3  
TEMP............62 64 71 78 85 89  
RH..............93 86 66 49 39 33  
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 7 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 SE 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 12 17 20 23 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 1.5 3.5 5.5 7.0 8.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 12 21 21 20 22  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10000 15 63 99 119 162  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEBER  
REQUESTED BY...JASON WHISLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1810132.0/AMA  
 
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