874  
FNUS74 KAMA 171324  
FWSAMA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SANFORD-YAKE RX...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
824 AM CDT WED APR 17 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY AND FAIR WEATHER THROUGH TODAY. RH NEAR TO THE WATER  
WILL BE ROUGHLY 5% HIGHER THAN THE IMMEDIATE SURROUNDING VALLEY. WINDS  
ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING BUT WILL PICK UP A SW TO AT TIMES WSW  
DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH BURN AREA MID MORNING  
(LIKELY 7-9 AM) ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL SHIFT WINDS SHARPLY TO THE N  
AND BRING BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE FIRE AREA. THE PASSAGE OF THE  
COLD FRONT WILL BRING HIGHER RH TO THE FIRE AREA.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 7 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 17 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (76300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (134100  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............57 67 76 81 83  
RH..............57 37 26 19 15  
20 FT WIND......E 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 13 SW 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 12 16 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 2.0 4.3 8.9 9.9  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SW 7 W 9 W 17 W 23  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 12 35 134 199  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR VYGD EXNT  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (118600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(6100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............83 80 71 67 65 61  
RH..............14 17 23 25 28 31  
20 FT WIND......SW 14 SW 9 S 9 SW 12 SW 12 SW 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 13 14 15 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 23 SW 13 S 18 SW 20 W 17 W 16  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..192 6 8 8 7 7  
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
14 TO 20 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHEAST AROUND 11 TO 14 MPH GUSTS TO 23 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (61800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............57 54 53 56 58 60  
RH..............38 61 69 61 56 51  
20 FT WIND......W 10 N 15 N 20 N 20 NE 17 NE 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 21 23 23 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.9  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 24 N 26 N 23 N 20 NE 16  
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 41 58 60 60 55  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD FAIR FAIR  
 

 
FORECASTER...HANNAH  
REQUESTED BY...JASON MCDANIEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411215.0/AMA  
.DELDT 04/17/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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