747  
FNUS74 KEPZ 152245  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SALADO PILE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SANTA TERESA NM/EL PASO TX  
445 PM MDT TUE AUG 15 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 MDT ON AUGUST 15.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE EL PASO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STRENGTHENING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADING THE AREA...WILL LEAD  
TO A DOWNTURN IN STORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.  
WITH THAT SAID...ISOLATED LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.  
DURATION OF PRECIPITATION HOWEVER WILL BE LESS. THERE IS ALSO AN  
INCREASED RISK OF HAIL MIXING WITH THE RAIN FROM SOME OF THE STORMS.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40900 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 15 15 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............62 67 79 86 85 83  
RH..............58 49 34 27 29 31  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 7 NW 6 N 5 W 5 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....9200 9200 9200 11500 11500 11500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 NW 10 NW 9 W 5 W 3 SW 3  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 3 3  
VENT RATE.......FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........29 29 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............80 68 65 62  
RH..............34 49 50 54  
20 FT WIND......S 5G10 SW 6G10 W 6G10 N 4G5  
MIX HGT (FT)....8900 8900 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 3 SW 3 W 5 W 2  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
VENT RATE.......POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI  
REQUESTED BY...DOMINIC BELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1714439.0/EPZ  
.EMAIL DLBELL@BLM.GOV  
 
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