188  
FNUS74 KFWD 191947  
FWSFWD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FT WOLTERS P BURN...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
147 PM CST WED NOV 19 2014  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1350 CST ON NOVEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AS OF 130 PM...THE FRONT WAS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST  
(AT LESS THAN 10 MPH) AND WAS LOCATED IN BETWEEN WICHITA FALLS AND  
BOWIE. AT ITS CURRENT RATE...THE FRONT IS UNLIKELY TO MAKE IT AS  
FAR SOUTH AS THE BURN LOCATION. AS A RESULT...WINDS ARE LIKELY TO  
REMAIN LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH SUNSET...BECOMING  
LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY AFTER SUNSET. WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED  
TO REMAIN AT 5 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. IF ANYTHING  
CHANGES ON SITE...PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ANY  
TIME.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-2700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).  
 
TIME (CST) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........19 19 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............60 63 61  
RH..............35 31 36  
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 W 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2700 1200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 9 SW 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........12 17 21 26 32 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............58 53 47 43 41 39  
RH..............42 50 63 73 79 89  
20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 S 2 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 200 200 100 100 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 E 8 E 9 SE 9 S 7 S 7  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4100 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO  
3500-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........44 44 43 43 44 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............39 41 53 63 68 68  
RH..............89 89 66 54 47 49  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 2 S 4 S 7 S 8 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 200 1000 2400 4100 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 5 S 8 S 17 S 21 S 18  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...CAVANAUGH  
REQUESTED BY...MARY LEATHERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 20141119.FTWOL.03/FWD  
 
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