929  
FNUS74 KFWD 271603  
FWSFWD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CREEK PINES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
1103 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1057 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY AT SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING TO 10-15  
MPH AND THEN BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES. AS THE  
FRONT APPROACHES THE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AND THEN WEST. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WILDFIRE AROUND  
DAYBREAK OR A LITTLE BEFORE DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING. NORTH-  
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL PREVAIL ON TUESDAY.  
 
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT TODAY AND TUESDAY.  
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S TODAY WILL BE COOLER IN  
THE MID 70S ON TUESDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3000 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........25 25 25 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............70 78 82 84  
RH..............62 50 44 41  
20 FT WIND......S 11 S 12 S 13 S 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 8 S 10 S 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2300 2800 3000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 29 S 30 S 31 S 31  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25  
MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 28 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7  
MPH.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....4 (LOW).  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........40 48 56 64 67 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............80 71 69 66 63 62  
RH..............47 63 71 76 84 87  
20 FT WIND......S 11 S 10 S 11 S 10 SW 6 W 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 25 20 10 5  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 7 S 8 S 7 SW 4 W 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 500 1000 800 600 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 24 S 28 S 23 S 13 SW 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 17  
TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....3 (VERY LOW).  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........66 64 60 55 52 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............60 59 64 69 72 73  
RH..............90 87 67 57 48 41  
20 FT WIND......N 4 N 7 NE 10 NE 9 NE 9 NE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 20 15 15 10  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 3 N 5 NE 7 NE 7 NE 7 NE 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1800 2300 3100 3800 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 N 22 NE 26 NE 25 NE 22 NE 20  
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...JLDUNN  
REQUESTED BY...T BUCHANAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 20141027.BLACK.01/FWD  
 
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