974  
FNUS74 KFWD 231808  
FWSFWD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
108 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1253 CDT ON JULY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS AREA EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS  
WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR  
STORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TOMORROW  
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM ANY ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE A  
BRIEF CHANGE IN WINDS ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND  
STRIKES.  
 
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH. KEEP AN EYE  
OUT FOR NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS, AS OUTFLOW MAY PRODUCE A BRIEF  
CHANGE IN THE WIND FIELD (WINDS SPREADING OUT AWAY FROM THE  
STORM). BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE MONDAY AND CONTINUE  
THROUGH MID WEEK.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 32 37 41 46 45  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............94 96 97 98 99 99  
RH..............44 40 39 37 36 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.9 7.6 8.1 8.7 9.2 8.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 13 13  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 42 35 27 20 17 15 12 15 18 21 24  
WEATHER COV.....ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TEMP............98 97 94 90 87 85 84 83 82 81 80 79  
RH..............37 38 43 49 55 59 63 65 67 69 72 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.9 7.3 5.1 3.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MAX HAINES INDEX....5 (MODERATE).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 30 32 33 35 37 38 40 42 43 45 47  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............78 78 81 84 87 90 93 95 96 97 98 98  
RH..............79 79 72 65 59 52 47 43 40 39 37 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 3.7 5.5 7.3 7.8 8.3 8.8 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 13 14 12 10 8 7 7 8 9  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...BISHOP  
REQUESTED BY...SAMANTHA HAMRICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 20160723.BAILE.01/FWD  
 
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