343  
FNUS74 KFWD 161851  
FWSFWD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOCTORS CREEK BRUSH PILE...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE DEPT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
151 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL QUICKLY BECOME PARTLY SUNNY IN THE COMING  
HOURS AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES APPROACHES THE AREA. WINDS OUT OF THE  
SOUTH WILL CONTINUE, GENERALLY AROUND 15 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
TODAY WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 65%.  
 
HUMIDITY WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT RETREATS  
WEST/NORTHWEST. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER WILL QUICKLY COME BACK  
TONIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BELOW 15 MPH.  
 
ANOTHER WARM DAY IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ONCE AGAIN DROP INTO THE MID 60S  
WITH SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 10-14 MPH.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 22 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 85 73 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
RH..............83 69 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.3 3.3 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 21  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 68 71 72 76 72 70 69 77 80 83 84  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............80 79 77 75 73 73 72 72 71 70 69 69  
RH..............65 67 74 79 84 84 87 87 90 97 100 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 12 12 13 12 12 12 13 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 17 17 18 18 17 18 18 18 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S SW SW S S SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15 14 15 15 13 13 15 16 16 16 14  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 88 86 85 85 84 85 85 84 83 82 84  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............69 70 70 71 73 75 76 79 81 83 83 83  
RH..............100 93 97 97 93 87 87 79 74 70 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 14 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 13 13 10 10 12 13 15 16  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...HERNANDEZ  
REQUESTED BY...JOE LEWIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411121.0/FWD  
.DELDT 04/16/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOE.LEWIS@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV  
 
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