502  
FNUS74 KSJT 281254  
FWSSJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAVE PAW...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
754 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 28.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 325-944-3030 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TODAY WITH GUSTY SOUTH TO  
SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN  
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWER THIS MORNING, AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS  
AFTERNOON WOULD QUICKLY INTENSIFY AND CAUSE GUSTY WINDS, AND  
POSSIBLY SOME LARGE HAIL. TONIGHT, A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS  
EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR OR JUST WEST OF THE FIRE AREA, THEN MOVE  
EAST THROUGH EASTERN IRION COUNTY AFTER 10 PM. DRIER WEATHER,  
AND GUSTY WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL MOVE IN ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND  
THE THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0700, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL  
1300, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).............76 74 70 67 64  
WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
LAL.................2 2 2 3 3  
TEMP................60 66 72 76 79  
RH..................100 93 76 64 58  
20 FT WIND..........S 14 S 15 S 16 S 15 S 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 25  
HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1900, THEN >25 STRIKES UNTIL  
0100, THEN 16-25 STRIKES.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).............63 62 62 62 59 50  
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV............CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY  
LAL.................3 5 5 5 4 4  
TEMP................79 73 65 62 59 57  
RH..................54 59 70 56 51 51  
20 FT WIND..........S 15 S 15 W 14 W 10 W 8 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 15 15 10  
HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0700, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).............39 31 16 16 17 20  
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV............LIKELY  
LAL.................4 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP................55 53 60 66 72 75  
RH..................57 64 47 34 25 19  
20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 10 SW 13 W 16 W 17 W 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 30 30  
HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...NAGLE  
REQUESTED BY...MARY LEATHERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1705346.0/SJT  
 
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