925  
FXUS64 KFWD 240433  
AFDFWD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
1133 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2017  
 
   
AVIATION
 
 
NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE. LOW CLOUDS ARE  
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY BUT THE  
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF OF THE SURFACE AS INDICATED BY THE KFWS VAD  
WIND PROFILE SHOULD KEEP THESE CLOUDS WEST OF ALL TAF SITES.  
SCATTERED CU WILL DEVELOP ON SUNDAY MORNING AND SHOULD DISSIPATE  
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING SUNDAY EVENING.  
 
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT  
SPEEDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 8 AND 13 KNOTS.  
 
79  
 

 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
/ISSUED 352 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2017/  
/THROUGH TONIGHT/  
AN INVERTED TROUGH ALONG THE GULF COAST MAY GENERATE A FEW  
SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
PRECIPITATION DISSIPATING AFTER SUNSET. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE  
WILL ALSO DISRUPT THE STRATUS RETURN OVERNIGHT FOR ALL BUT THE  
SOUTHERN MOST COUNTIES, LEAVING AREAS FROM THE RED RIVER TO JUST  
SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT. WARM WEATHER  
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES AROUND 10 DEGREES  
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE SEPTEMBER.  
 
30  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
/ISSUED 352 PM CDT SAT SEP 23 2017/  
/SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/  
 
WE WILL REMAIN IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN A LARGE  
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES AND AN UPPER LEVEL  
LOW OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36  
HOURS. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON EAST OF  
A BONHAM TO ATHENS LINE; OTHERWISE, EXPECT RAIN- FREE BUT WARM  
AND HUMID CONDITIONS. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE  
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.  
 
A SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO EJECT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH  
MONDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND  
TUESDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AREAS  
WEST OF I-35/I-35W MONDAY NIGHT AND AREA WIDE ON TUESDAY.  
MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND  
TUESDAY AND CROSSING THE RED RIVER INTO NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS  
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGHS MONDAY WILL  
REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS WITH UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S  
EXPECTED. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS THE  
WEST WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY  
ACROSS THE WEST. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S NORTHWEST TO  
THE LOWER 90S ACROSS THE EAST.  
 
THERE WILL BE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE  
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER MAINLY  
MAINLY SOUTH OF I-20 FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE IN  
MID 70S NORTHWEST TO THE UPPER 80S SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY AND IN THE  
70S AND 80S THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE  
HEAVIEST ACROSS WEST TEXAS. EVENT TOTALS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT  
WILL RANGE FROM LESS THAN 1/2 INCH ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES TO  
NEARLY 2 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES. SOME 3 TO OVER 6 INCHES  
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS.  
 
58  
 
58  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 75 93 74 92 73 / 5 0 5 10 10  
WACO 71 93 71 91 72 / 5 5 5 10 10  
PARIS 71 91 69 90 69 / 5 10 5 10 10  
DENTON 71 92 71 90 70 / 5 0 5 10 10  
MCKINNEY 71 91 71 90 70 / 5 5 5 10 10  
DALLAS 75 93 75 92 74 / 5 5 5 10 10  
TERRELL 72 92 71 91 70 / 5 10 5 10 10  
CORSICANA 73 91 71 91 71 / 5 5 5 10 10  
TEMPLE 70 90 70 89 71 / 5 10 5 20 10  
MINERAL WELLS 70 92 70 89 69 / 5 0 5 10 30  
 

 
   
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
79/08  
 
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