505  
FXUS64 KFWD 010147 AAB  
AFDFWD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
847 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017  
   
UPDATE
 
 
SUNDAY WAS QUITE A WINDY DAY ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH WIND GUSTS  
OF 40 MPH OR GREATER COMMON ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A  
LINE FROM CISCO TO WAXAHACHIE TO SHERMAN. WINDS GUSTED OVER 50 MPH  
AT BRECKENRIDGE (54 MPH) AND MINERAL WELLS (53 MPH). WIND SPEEDS  
STARTED TO DECREASE AS SUNSET APPROACHED. THUS, THE WIND ADVISORY  
WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM CDT. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND WIND  
SPEEDS DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL FALL  
MOSTLY INTO THE 40S...THOUGH SOME SPOTS ACROSS THE WEST MAY REACH  
THE UPPER 30S.  
 
58  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
/ISSUED 648 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017/  
THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
OVER EASTERN KANSAS, WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING AS THE  
ATMOSPHERE DECOUPLES. WINDS SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO AROUND 10  
KNOTS BY 05Z AND BECOME SOUTHWEST BY 12Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL  
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  
 
58  
 

 
 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 352 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017/  
MUCH QUIETER WEATHER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING WITH THE  
EXCEPTION OF STRONG WESTERLY WINDS. THE POWERFUL UPPER LOW IS  
LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH 40-50 KT OF WESTERLY MID  
LEVEL FLOW, MUCH OF THIS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. OVER THE LAST  
FEW HOURS THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH  
INCLUDING A 58 MPH GUST AT WICHITA FALLS. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED  
TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES OFF TO THE  
NORTHEAST AND THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  
 
THERE IS SOME REMNANT MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH  
MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW. THIS  
CLOUD DECK IS PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES  
UP TO THE RED RIVER. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO THIN LATER TONIGHT  
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE UPPER LOW. IT WILL BE A COOL NIGHT  
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE LOWER 40S IN MANY  
AREAS. IF WINDS CAN DIMINISH COMPLETELY IN OUTLYING RURAL AREAS,  
WE MAY SEE SOME UPPER 30S.  
 
TOMORROW LOOKS LIKE A NICE DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH LIGHT  
SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED UNDER  
SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS AREAWIDE SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S AND  
LOWER 80S.  
 
ON TUESDAY, THE UPPER PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY JUST OFF THE WEST COAST  
OF THE U.S. ALLOWING A TROUGH TO DEEPEN OVER THE ROCKIES. AT THE  
SURFACE, PRESSURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE  
ALLOWING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS OUR AREA AND  
TRANSPORTING MOISTURE NORTHWARD.  
 
ON WEDNESDAY A WARM FRONT WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE UPPER  
TROUGH WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SWING RIGHT ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. THIS  
SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST PARTS OF THE REGION TO BECOME UNSTABLE BY  
MIDDAY. AS THE UPPER TROUGH PROGRESSES EASTWARD, ANOTHER STRONG  
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AND  
MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS SHOULD SEE AT LEAST SOME PRECIPITATION DURING  
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. AS OF RIGHT NOW THE THREAT FOR SEVERE  
WEATHER APPEARS PRETTY LOW, ALTHOUGH LAPSE RATES WILL BE STEEP TO  
AT LEAST BE CONCERNED WITH A HAIL THREAT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END  
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH RATHER QUICKLY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
BEYOND WEDNESDAY, THE WEATHER LOOKS PRETTY QUIET THROUGH NEXT  
WEEKEND WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON  
THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION.  
 
DUNN  
 

 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 46 79 59 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 20  
WACO 45 83 57 85 68 / 0 0 0 0 10  
PARIS 45 73 54 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 20  
DENTON 42 77 54 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 20  
MCKINNEY 44 76 55 83 64 / 0 0 0 0 20  
DALLAS 47 80 61 85 68 / 0 0 0 0 20  
TERRELL 46 77 56 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 20  
CORSICANA 47 80 58 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 20  
TEMPLE 47 83 58 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 10  
MINERAL WELLS 40 81 52 86 63 / 0 0 0 0 10  
 

 
   
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
58/24  
 
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