618  
FXUS64 KFWD 222321 AAA  
AFDFWD  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
521 PM CST MON JAN 22 2018  
 
   
AVIATION
 
 
/00Z TAFS/  
 
WIND SPEEDS ARE ALREADY STARTING TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION.  
THE STRONG WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO LESS THAN 10 KTS BY 02Z AND  
REMAIN FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST THROUGH TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON. BY THE END OF THIS TAF PERIOD, THE WINDS MAY BECOME  
MORE NORTHERLY. SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO BE OBSERVED THIS EVENING  
FROM SEVERAL GRASS FIRES IN THE REGION, BUT NONE OF THE SMOKE IS  
HAVING A DIRECT IMPACT ON AIRPORT VISIBILITIES AT THIS TIME.  
 
JLDUNN  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
/ISSUED 359 PM CST MON JAN 22 2018/  
/THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
FIRE WEATHER HAS BEEN THE BIG CONCERN TODAY ACROSS NORTH AND  
CENTRAL TEXAS AS WE'VE HAD STRONG GUSTY WINDS BEHIND YESTERDAY'S  
COLD FRONT. WINDS HAVE GUSTED TO OVER 40 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH  
TEXAS. THESE GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES  
OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND  
DRY/DEAD FUELS HAVE COMBINED TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS.  
 
WIND SPEEDS WILL START TO DECREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER SUNSET  
AND TO AROUND 10 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT. WITH CLEAR SKIES, AND  
DECREASING - BUT NOT CALM WINDS --OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE FROM  
THE MID 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
58  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
/ISSUED 359 PM CST MON JAN 22 2018/  
/TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/  
 
DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH SLOWLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID  
60S AND LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 30S. AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES TO  
THE EAST WEDNESDAY, SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES WILL START TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.  
THERE WILL BE LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY  
NIGHT. AS A SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH, THERE WILL BE A  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA WIDE FRIDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE EVENT WILL RANGE FROM ONLY A FEW  
ONE- HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ACROSS THE WEST TO LITTLE OVER 1/3  
INCH ACROSS THE EAST. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE  
40S AND LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 60S. TEMPERATURES BEHIND  
SATURDAY'S FRONT WILL NOT BE MUCH COOLER. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE  
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE  
30S.  
 
 
58  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 36 61 35 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 0  
WACO 30 63 32 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 0  
PARIS 33 57 32 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 0  
DENTON 30 60 32 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 0  
MCKINNEY 32 58 32 60 35 / 0 0 0 0 0  
DALLAS 35 60 36 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 0  
TERRELL 32 59 31 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 0  
CORSICANA 36 61 34 62 35 / 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMPLE 32 64 32 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 0  
MINERAL WELLS 28 61 30 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ091>093-  
100>104-115>121-129>134-141>146-156>161.  
 

 
 

 
 
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