991
FXUS64 KOUN 042006
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
306 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2009
DISCUSSION
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTH-
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND IS STARTING TO LIGHT UP WITH SCATTERED
STORMS. COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA MAY
SEE MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION...BUT MOST WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY
EXPECTED WHEN BOUNDARIES MERGE THIS EVENING AND WEAK FORCING FROM
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS IMPACTS ELEVATED BOUNDARIES.
MOST OF THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE WELL SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE-40...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT REAL HIGH HOW FAR NORTH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL EXTEND OF SURFACE
FEATURES. WILL LEAVE HIGHEST POPS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40
AND CONSIDERED GOING EVEN HIGHER ALONG RED RIVER VALLEY TOWARD AND
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY RAIN COULD BE AN ISSUE LATER ON TONIGHT AND
THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MARGINAL HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
BEFORE MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE REGION EARLY TO
MID NEXT WEEK...WE COULD SEE SOME NORTHWEST FLOW ACTIVITY AFFECT
FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY MORNING. QUITE HOT BY LATE NEXT WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH
UPPER RIDGE OVER OR JUST NORTH OF OKLAHOMA. GFS GRIDDED DATA
GENERALLY ACCEPTED WITH FIRST PERIOD TWEAKS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 71 89 67 91 / 60 10 10 10
HOBART OK 73 93 67 91 / 60 20 20 20
WICHITA FALLS TX 75 91 69 91 / 70 60 10 20
GAGE OK 65 87 63 87 / 20 10 20 20
PONCA CITY OK 69 86 63 90 / 20 0 10 10
DURANT OK 75 90 69 89 / 70 40 10 10
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
30/11
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