523  
FNUS75 KGJT 222151  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNDANCE PILE RX...SOUTHERN UTE AGENCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
351 PM MDT WED MAR 22 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN COLORADO FROM WEDNESDAY  
EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL BECOME  
OVERCAST TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS  
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST,  
INCREASING DURING THE DAY. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY  
A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY.  
THERE MAY BE A FEW WIND GUSTS 20-30 MPH NEAR ANY STORMS THAT FORM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE GOOD DURING THE AFTERNOON OWING  
TO BREEZY CONDITIONS BEFORE AND DURING THE FRONT PASSAGE.  
 
PRECIPITATION SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE ON THURSDAY EVENING WITH  
WINDS SHIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. FRIDAY WILL BE DRY WITH GOOD  
BURNING CONDITIONS AND HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS DUE TO A MOSTLY SUNNY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 MPH, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR, INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 MPH, DIMINISHING TO 5 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13000 KNOT-FT), INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MIKE CHARNICK  
REQUESTED BY...HOWARD RICHARDS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1704818.1/GJT  
 
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