910  
FNUS75 KGJT 141431  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RUSSELL FIRE...GUNNISON COUNTY OEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
831 AM MDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MDT ON AUGUST 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE WEST TODAY BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE  
REMAINS UNDER THE HIGH TO CAUSE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
NEAR AND UNDER THE WILDFIRE, SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE  
WHILE THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT HAS DECREASED ENOUGH TO NOT BE  
INCLUDED IN FORECAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS  
AFTERNOON REACHING 20 MPH AT TIMES. HEAVIER SHOWERS AROUND THE  
AREA WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG AND VARIABLE  
OUTFLOWS OF 30 TO 40 MPH EACH AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%), THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY  
(30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD, INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH, BECOMING EAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD, DECREASING TO POOR (7000 KNOT-FT)  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH, BECOMING EAST 10 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH, BECOMING WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD, INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......12900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK  
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MORRILL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1814541.0/GJT  
.DELDT 08/14/18  
.EMAIL SMORRILL@GUNNISONCOUNTY.ORG  
 
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