061  
FNUS75 KGJT 162321  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CATTLE CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
521 PM MDT MON OCT 16 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WARMING CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ALONG WITH  
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS ALOFT SHOULD BRING FAIR TO LOW END GOOD  
SMOKE DISPERSAL DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS. TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS  
FROM SUNSET TO MID MORNING SHOULD EVENTUALLY TURN UPSLOPE AND  
COMBINE WITH RIDGETOP WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH THE  
NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS. HUMIDITY REMAINS VERY LOW IN THE SINGLE DIGITS  
TO LOW TEENS AT PEAK HEATING WITH RECOVERY STRUGGLING TO REACH THE  
MID 30 PERCENT RANGE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 65 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 7 MPH THROUGH 1000...THEN LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH BY 1200.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT), INCREASING TO FAIR TO LOW  
END GOOD FROM 1300 TO 1800.  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL DURING PEAK  
HEATING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........37-42%.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNVALLEY AT  
4 TO 7 MPH BY SUNSET.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR, DECREASING TO POOR (15000-16000 KNOT-FT)  
BY LATE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL, DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH THROUGH SUNSET THEN DOWNVALLEY  
8 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000-44000 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING  
FAIR TO LOW END GOOD FROM 1300 TO 1800.  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS  
REQUESTED BY...RITA CLIPPERTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1717320.0/GJT  
.EMAIL RIFLEHELITACK@GMAIL.COM  
 
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