528  
FNUS75 KGJT 232236  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MEADOWS...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
436 PM MDT SAT JUN 23 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 MDT ON JUNE 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH SOME  
PASSING CUMULUS CLOUDS AHEAD OF A DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE  
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL  
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING BEFORE RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
RECOVERS AND DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS TAKE HOLD. ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN  
NEAR THE FIRE AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, BUT SHOULD  
HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE FIRE SITE OTHER THAN SOME OCCASIONAL  
GUSTY WINDS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST AS THE  
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY  
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER ON SUNDAY FOLLOWING  
COLD FRONT PASSAGE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......15300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN  
THE EVENING. BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER  
SUNSET 3 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000, DECREASING TO POOR (19000  
KNOT-FT) AFTER SUNSET.  
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......15400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL  
AFTER SUNSET.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28 MPH, DECREASING TO 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.  
BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AFTER 0900. AT RIDGETOP,  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST BY AFTERNOON  
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700, THEN INCREASING TO GOOD BY 0900,  
BECOMING EXCELLENT BY AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA  
REQUESTED BY...KATHERINE WOOD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1811846.1/GJT  
.DELDT 06/23/18  
.EMAIL SIDIMT3@GMAIL.COM  
 
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