744
FNUS75 KGJT 231956
SMFGJT
SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST FOR WESTERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
156 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
DISCUSSION
WESTERN COLORADO REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE A DRY AND WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. MIXING
WILL COLLAPSE AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING WITH BUT WITH ONLY WEAK
SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS OVERNIGHT. THESE INVERSIONS WILL BREAK AT
TIMES TONIGHT AND FULLY BREAK EARLY FRIDAY. AFTERNOON MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL RISE TO 17000 TO 26000 FEET MSL. WITH SOUTHWEST
TRANSPORT WINDS AT AROUND 30 MPH... SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE IN THE
EXCELLENT CATEGORY.
..THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL
COZ200-241200-
ZONE 200...LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LITTLE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 26 MPH.
=
COZ201-241200-
ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
WEST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...NORTHERN FLAT TOPS
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 31 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.
=
COZ202-241200-
ZONE 202...WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LOWER AND CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28 MPH.
=
COZ203-241200-
ZONE 203...GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHERN ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...GRAND VALLEY...
DEBEQUE/RIFLE/GLENWOOD SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN...
BATTLEMENT MESA AND NORTHERN GRAND MESA...
NORTHERN ELK MOUNTAINS...WEST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...
SOUTHERN FLAT TOPS AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU...
NORTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 31 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 17000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
=
COZ290-241200-
ZONE 290...PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...PARADOX VALLEY
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 20000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 33 MPH.
=
COZ291-241200-
ZONE 291...NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...NORTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT FRIDAY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 15500 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 MPH.
=
COZ292-241200-
ZONE 292...NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASINS...
SOUTHERN GRAND MESA...SOUTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 20000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 31 MPH.
=
COZ293-241200-
ZONE 293...GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...WEST SLOPES SAWATCH RANGE...
SOUTHERN ELK AND WEST ELK MOUNTAINS...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18500 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
=
COZ207-241200-
ZONE 207...DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...FOUR CORNERS...
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
151 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT FRIDAY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.
FRIDAY
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 29 MPH.
=
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