650  
FNUS75 KGJT 071623  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAYLOR PARK...FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
923 AM MST THU DEC 7 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE BURN LOCATION DUE TO  
A STRONG MORNING INVERSION. THIS INVERSION WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME  
MIXING OUT DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS THIS  
AFTERNOON. EXPECT LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE FORECAST. POOR SMOKE  
DISPERSAL IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER STRONG MORNING  
INVERSION SETTING UP IN THE WAKE OF TODAY'S LIGHT SNOW EVENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ABOVE 8500 FEET.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....16-21 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22000-33000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%), THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLEAR (20-30%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000-24000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14000-26000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MIKE CHARNICK  
REQUESTED BY...DAN NIELSEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1719702.0/GJT  
.EMAIL DRNIELSEN@BLM.GOV  
 
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