865  
FNUS54 KMRX 250936  
FWFMRX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST  
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A VERY WEAK COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE REGION TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL  
TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY...AND A SURGE OF MUCH  
COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN THURSDAY...ALONG WITH A SURGE OF COLDER  
AIR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND.  
 
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261045-  
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 55-60 (-1) 33-38 (-7) 46-51  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 95-100 (+6) 49-54  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 8 G15 LGT/VAR W 8 G16  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 20  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM 1 PM  
PRECIP END 12 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.01  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 18  
DISPERSION 58 GEN GOOD 62 GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261045-  
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54-59 (-1) 32-37 (-6) 44-49  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-13) 95-100 (+3) 51-56  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 W 5  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR W 9 G17  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 20  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM 1 PM  
PRECIP END 12 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.01  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 5600  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 W 18  
DISPERSION 43 GEN GOOD 45 GEN GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS  
UP TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ072-074-261045-  
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54-59 (+1) 32-37 (-6) 44-49  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-14) 90-95 (+3) 46-51  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 SW 5  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR W 10 G17  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 W 18  
DISPERSION 40 FAIR 41 GEN GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.  
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ087-102-261045-  
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (-1) 34-39 (-7) 48-53  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-10) 88-93 (+4) 40-45  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR W 8 G15  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 W 18  
DISPERSION 48 GEN GOOD 57 GEN GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.  
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.  
 

 
 
NCZ060-061-261045-  
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (-2) 33-38 (-7) 49-54  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-7) 89-94 (+5) 37-42  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR W 8 G15  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 NW 20  
DISPERSION 44 GEN GOOD 60 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER  
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS  
LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261045-  
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56-61 (-2) 34-39 (-5) 48-53  
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 89-94 (-4) 46-51  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 8 LGT/VAR W 9  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 W 18  
DISPERSION 66 GOOD 68 GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261045-  
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (-1) 35-40 (-6) 48-53  
RH % (24H TREND) 48-53 (-13) 87-92 (-2) 44-49  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR W 8 G15  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5500 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 18  
DISPERSION 66 GOOD 74 GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS  
THAN 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND  
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261045-  
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-  
436 AM EST WED NOV 25 2009 /336 AM CST WED NOV 25 2009/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (0) 36-41 (-6) 49-54  
RH % (24H TREND) 47-52 (-13) 85-90 (-5) 41-46  
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 W 5 G15  
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR W 9 G18  
PRECIP TYPE SPRINKLES NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LAL 1 1 1  
LASI 4 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 W 20  
DISPERSION 59 GEN GOOD 79 GOOD  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS  
LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS  
THAN 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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