639  
FNUS71 KLWX 211613  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRUCE KNOB FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
1213 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1205 EDT ON MAY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE THROUGH THURSDAY. ASSOCIATED  
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO SOME  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING HOURS EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA  
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY FOR MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600-6800 FT  
AGL LATE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16  
MPH LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........49 40 53  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............74 76 76  
RH..............62 52 52  
20 FT WIND......W 3 SW 2 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 11  
CWR.............10 30 50  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........59 65 65 65 65 58  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TEMP............75 72 69 67 65 64  
RH..............54 59 66 70 70 70  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 W 5 W 5 W 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 7 7 7  
CWR.............50 50 40 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-5200 FT  
AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO  
5900-7200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING  
TO 4000-4900 FT AGL LATE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 25  
MPH LATE.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........51 51 47 48 53 58  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............64 66 70 72 74 74  
RH..............73 73 68 66 62 62  
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 6 W 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 11 11 11 11 11  
CWR.............10 30 30 50 50 50  
 

 
FORECASTER...SILVERMAN  
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CRISP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 20130521.SPRUC.01/LWX  
 
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