641
FNUS71 KBTV 171150
FWSBTV
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEAM MILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
750 AM EDT WED APR 17 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (802) 658-0207, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST.
NEAR CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN
25 AND 35% ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IN
THE VALLEYS BELOW 1500 FEET. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH
TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER GUSTS
IN ALIGNED VALLEYS AND EXPOSED RIDGES. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM INTO THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S DEPENDING UPON ELEVATION
AND ASPECT. TONIGHT CLOUDS CONTINUE TO THICKEN WITH LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK. THESE
SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY SPREAD INTO VERMONT ON THURSDAY,
BUT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY
UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH. HOWEVER, COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........20 17 29 62 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 45 49 52 52
RH..............59 49 44 41 44
20 FT WIND......NW 6 N 7 NW 6 NW 6 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2200 2700 2900 2700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 8 NW 6 N 6 NE 5
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 14 MPH, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 16
TO 17 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........85 95 84 83 85 77
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............50 46 43 42 41 40
RH..............50 58 62 65 67 76
20 FT WIND......N 5 E 6 E 8 E 10 E 10 E 14
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 9 12 13 15
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 500 500 500 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 8 E 12 E 13 SE 15 SE 17
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........78 86 86 87 89 90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 50 70 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 39 41 42 43 43
RH..............79 79 76 76 73 76
20 FT WIND......E 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 14 SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 20 18 15 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1200 1300 1400 1300 1300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 21 SE 22 SE 22 SE 20 SE 18
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...LAHIFF
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GOULDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410967.2/BTV
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV
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