070
FNUS73 KDLH 242118
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOSS LAKE UNIT 3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
418 PM CDT WED APR 24 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
AS DISCUSSED ON THE PHONE, WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY SOUTHERLY,
WITH AN OCCASIONAL SSE WIND, ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SINCE
THE BURN SITE IS NEAR A LAKE, IT COULD REMAIN LOCALLY COOLER AND
SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID THAN FORECAST. WITH THE SOUTHERLY FLOW,
EFFECTS FROM A WEAK LAKE BREEZE OFF OF TEN SECTION LAKE IS NOT
LIKELY, BUT IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS COULD
RESULT IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WEAKENING AT THE BURN SITE WITH EVEN A
ROGUE WIND GUST FROM THE NORTH.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18300-26400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (125800-135400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............48 53 57 60 62 63 63 64 64
RH..............55 48 43 38 37 34 33 34 34
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 11 12 13 15 15 16 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.16 19 20 21 22 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.4 3.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 22 25 25 25 28 29 30
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 26 46 84 108 111 126 129 135
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (88600-121900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (26800-40700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............63 59 55 52 49 48
RH..............37 39 47 50 54 56
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (FT)....4700 2000 1300 1500 1600 1500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 30 S 23 S 24 S 24 S 25 S 24
HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/1000122 41 27 32 35 32
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (29800-36400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 80 80
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............45 46 48 49 50 49
RH..............65 63 64 65 68 72
20 FT WIND......SE 15 SE 16 SE 17 SE 17 SE 17 SE 17
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 25 25 25 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1600 1700 1900 1900 1900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 25 SE 23 SE 22 SE 21 SE 20
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 2 2
SDSPL KT-FT/100034 35 34 35 35 32
FORECASTER...KRYSTAL
REQUESTED BY...MIKE KLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412349.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.KLICK@USDA.GOV
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