285
FNUS73 KGRB 102232
FWSGRB
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUSTY TRAILS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
532 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL BRING A BAND OF SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A RUMBLE OF THUNDER TO THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 630 AND 8 PM
THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY IMPACT FROM THE SHOWERS WILL BE A QUICK WIND
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 30-40 MPH
BRIEFLY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THIS EVENING WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF
AN INCH WITH THESE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STORMS. QUIET CONDITIONS THEN
RETURN LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY, BUT ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO REACH NEAR 80 AT THE BURN SITE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84 98 80 61 43 40 37 34 37 39 42 44
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY DEF CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............62 59 56 53 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 44
RH..............44 51 59 69 77 80 80 83 86 86 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 7 6 8 10 13 12 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 16 14 13 13 14 15 15 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 9 9 12 13 13 13 14 14 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100044 22 15 7 5 8 8 9 9 11 10 8
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (107200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (119500
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 49 52 54 57 48 38 29 27 24 22 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 45 47 50 53 56 59 61 63 65 65 64
RH..............86 82 79 74 66 57 49 42 36 33 31 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 12 13 13 12 10 10 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 18 20 21 21 21 21 20 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.5 2.4 2.8 3.8 4.1 5.0 5.6 6.3 7.3 7.7 7.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 18 20 23 22 23 22 22 22 21 20
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 9 21 39 48 77 77 100 107 120 138 138 121
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (101600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
THE EVENING.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16 13 13 12 12 18 25 31 35 38 42 42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 61 58 52 49 48 46 44 43 42 42 43
RH..............35 39 45 59 66 65 73 82 89 93 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE E S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 5 3 2 1 2 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 9 6 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.3 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 9 7 7 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
SDSPL KT-FT/1000102 21 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 26 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 30 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (82300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (126000
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 57 59 62 64 52 40 28 28 50 50 55
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............44 47 51 56 61 66 70 73 76 77 77 76
RH..............93 86 77 69 60 52 47 43 39 39 39 42
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 10 10 10 12 14 15 15 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 16 18 20 20 18 20 23 26 28 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.3 5.4 6.2 6.2 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 15 17 20 22 26 31 32 29
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 5 6 8 16 31 54 82 126 167 174 127
FORECASTER...ALUMBAUGH
REQUESTED BY...TIMOTHY SAUTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413738.0/GRB
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TIMOTHY.SAUTER@USDA.GOV
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