998  
FNUS73 KMKX 191404  
FWSMKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HRRBP1704-SHOP...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
904 AM CDT MON JUN 19 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JUNE 19.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IF CONDITIONS BECOME  
UNREPRESENTATIVE OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS/CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP  
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THEN ANOTHER ROUND  
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY.  
A NICE DAY WILL FOLLOW ON WEDNESDAY BUT MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70  
PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100-4900 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 23  
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /52800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /64300 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (73600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 79 81 80 78 76 76 73  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............66 67 67 68 68 69 69 69  
RH..............70 68 68 63 63 59 59 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 9 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 18 21 23 25 25  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100053 57 60 64 74 83 93 89  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
30 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9  
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50400-83700 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (2100-26700 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........67 59 52 45 38 33 31 30 30 32 37 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
TEMP............68 67 65 63 61 60 58 57 55 54 53 53  
RH..............57 59 63 70 75 78 80 80 83 86 89 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.1 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 23 20 17 15 14 12 10 10 9 12  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100084 79 50 27 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL LATE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5500-43500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (69900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........62 73 78 80 77 70 62 54 52 52 51 46  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............54 57 59 61 63 65 66 67 68 69 70 70  
RH..............90 83 78 75 70 65 63 61 57 55 51 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.2 4.7 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.9 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 17 21 25 25 26 26 25 23 22 21  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 8 23 44 70 81 92 104 102 99 95 85  
 

 
FORECASTER...MARQUARDT  
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SALLMANN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1711267.0/MKX  
.EMAIL SEAN_SALLMANN@FWS.GOV  
 
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