041  
FNUS73 KMKX 181626  
FWSMKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORREST RD BURN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
1126 AM CDT FRI MAY 18 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 18.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IF CONDITIONS BECOME  
UNREPRESENTATIVE OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS/CONCERNS ABOUT THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ONE MORE MILD AND DRY DAY BEFORE RAIN TONIGHT.  
THE RAIN IS MOST LIKELY OVER EASTERN WI. THE CLOUDS WILL DECREASE  
FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON BUT HIGHER HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED. CHANCES FOR  
RAIN RETURNS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH RELATIVELY HUMID CONDITIONS.  
 
***NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO MORNING FORECAST. TEMPERATURES RISING A LITTLE  
FASTER AND HUMIDITY VALUES GETTING A LITTLE LOWER.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.  
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-2300 FT  
AGL INCREASING TO 2500-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/44500 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 17 18 19 19 18 18 20 23 27 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 55 58 61 68 70 72 75 76 76 75  
RH..............61 58 55 49 49 45 44 40 39 39 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 6 9 9 9 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 20 20 20 21 21 21 22 22  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 9 13 20 24 30 36 39 42 45 41  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 14 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6000-38000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........34 48 67 76 82 89  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............73 68 61 58 56 56  
RH..............41 52 65 77 83 83  
20 FT WIND......E 12 E 11 E 10 E 9 E 7 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1000 700 800 800 900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 23 E 21 E 20 E 18 E 16 SE 12  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 2 2 2 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100038 15 10 11 9 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20  
PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 10  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3300-30700 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........93 84 73 65 61 58  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 55 60 66 71 73  
RH..............86 86 81 70 61 57  
20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 N 6 N 6 N 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1100 1800 3000 4000 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 N 7 N 10 N 9 N 8 N 9  
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 2 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 14 21 24 31  
 

 
FORECASTER...MBK  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC MARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1810263.0/MKX  
.EMAIL EMARK@TNC.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab WI Page Main Text Page