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FXCN01 CWHF 072110
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2130Z ON
SATURDAY 07 FEB
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE
- MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES THROUGHOUT
- CHANCE OF SNOW ON WEDNESDAY
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 07 FEB TO 0400Z 09 FEB.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. THE
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH COLD TEMPERATURES WILL GENERATE COLD
WIND CHILL VALUES ALONG WITH PATCHY FREEZING SPRAY OVERNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0400Z 09 FEB TO 0400Z 12 FEB.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: THE MODERATE TO STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES ALONG WITH MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A CHANCE OF FLURRIES TO
START THE WEEK. ON WEDNESDAY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA MAY BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOW LATER IN THE DAY. AT
THIS TIME CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON WEDNESDAY AS MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY
GREATLY ON THE PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW.
END/METOC-HFX
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