823  
FXCN01 CWHF 250905  
 
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX  
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE  
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 0930Z ON  
TUESDAY 25 NOV  
 
===================================================================  
KEY FORECAST POINTS:  
 
- A SUNNY MORNING THEN INCREASING HIGH CLOUD THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
GUSTY WEST WINDS.  
- RAIN WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS.  
- IMPROVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY.  
 
===================================================================  
SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0600Z 25 NOV TO 0400Z 27 NOV.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS.  
CONFIDENCE: HIGH.  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: INCREASING CLOUDS AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS TODAY  
AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE POISED TO IMPACT THE REGION  
WEDNESDAY. RAIN WEDNESDAY. MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTING 15-20MM FROM  
MORNING UNTIL EVENING. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON PEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS  
GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS..EXCEPT 30 KNOTS OVER EXPOSED AREAS OF THE  
APPROACHES TO THE HARBOUR. MIST AND PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING WITH THE  
RAIN. FOG BECOMING EXTENSIVE LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY.  
 
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0400Z 27 NOV TO 0400Z 30 NOV.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS.  
CONFIDENCE: MODERATE TO HIGH.  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO  
THURS MORNING. MOST GUIDANCE SHOWING 15-30MM RAINFALL FROM WED  
MORNING INTO THURS MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSHOWERS MAINLY  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURS MORNING. LOW CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURS  
MORNING IN FOG AND MIST ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS OR PATCHY DRIZZLE.  
CONDITIONS IMPROVING THROUGH THE DAY. STRONG SW FLOW.  
FRIDAY..AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL TO THE NORTH KEEPING NS IN STRONG  
WEST FLOW ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.  
SATURDAY..LOW MOVES INTO LABRADOR SEA AND OPENS UP PIPELINE OF COLD  
AIR FROM THE NW. COLD WINDY DAY WITH CLOUDS AND CHANCE OF FLURRIES.  
 
END/METOC-HFX  
 
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