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FXCN01 CWHF 302011
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2030Z ON
WEDNESDAY 30 SEP
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- CHANCE OF DRIZZLE WITH PATCHY MIST TONIGHT
- CLEARING THURSDAY MORNING
- WARM TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 30 SEP TO 0300Z 02 OCT.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: IFR TO MVFR FLYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT IN
LOW CEILINGS AND PATCH MIST. CONDITIONS IMPROVE THURSDAY MORNING
WITH GRADUAL CLEARING.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 02 OCT TO 0300Z 05 OCT.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
WITH THE APPROACH OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS WARM SECTOR
WILL GIVE PLEASANT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 20S. RAIN IS
EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ON SATURDAY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO END EARLY FOLLOWED BY CLEARING IN THE NORTHWEST
FLOW. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS ON SUNDAY. LATE ON SUNDAY INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLIES AND
CLOUD IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE HIGH PRESSURE AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT
APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE.
END/METOC-HFX
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