302  
FXCN01 CWHF 151944  
 
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX  
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE  
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2030Z ON  
MONDAY 15 JUNE  
 
===================================================================  
KEY FORECAST POINTS:  
 
- FOG, STRATUS, SHOWERS AND RISK OF THUNDERSHOWERS TONIGHT.  
- IMPROVING CONDITIONS TUESDAY.  
 
===================================================================  
SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 15 JUNE TO 0300Z 17 JUNE.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED HRDPS  
CONFIDENCE: MODERATE  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MAINE THIS  
AFTERNOON WILL TRACK OVER HALIFAX EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN MOVE  
INTO CAPE BRETON LATER TUESDAY. POOR WEATHER WITH FOG, STRATUS,  
SHOWERS AND RISK OF THUNDERSHOWERS TONIGHT. 5-10MM RAIN EXPECTED  
BUT MORE POSSIBLE IN CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSHOWERS. PEAK  
WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. IMPROVING CONDITIONS  
TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW.  
 
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 17 JUNE TO 0300Z 20 JUNE.  
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS AND GDPS  
CONFIDENCE: MODERATE  
COMMENTS/IMPACTS:  
 
END/METOC-HFX  
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