051
FXCN01 CWHF 061908
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 2030Z ON
MONDAY 06 JULY
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- FAIR WEATHER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
- AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDING SOUTH OF NS WEDNESDAY.
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 1800Z 06 JULY TO 0300Z 08 JULY.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS AND HRDPS.
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE GIVING FAIR WEATHER AND
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS. PATCHY STRATUS EXPECTED INLAND
TONIGHT BUT NOT OVER CFB HALIFAX PROPERTIES.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 08 JULY TO 0300Z 11 JULY.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS AND GDPS.
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDING SOUTH OF NS
WEDNESDAY. MODELS STILL HAVE NOT HONED IN ON AN EXACT TRACK WITH
SOME MODELS BRINGING THE LOW MUCH CLOSER TO THE PROVINCE THAN
OTHERS. I ADDED A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY TO
REFLECT THE UNCERTAINTY. TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FRIDAY GIVING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AND STRATUS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.
END/METOC-HFX
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