164
FXCN01 CWHF 190809
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 0830Z ON
MONDAY 19 OCT
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY
- CHANCE OF RAIN TUESDAY MORNING
- CHANCE OF RAIN ON THURSDAY
- NORTHERLY WINDS FROM TUESDAY TO FRIDAY
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0600Z 19 OCT TO 0300Z 21 OCT.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE
SOUTH WILL GIVE INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY ALONG WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0300Z 21 OCT TO 0300Z 24 OCT.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WILL
GIVE A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUD ALONG WITH A MODERATE TO STRONG
NORTHEAST FLOW ON WEDNESDAY. ON THURSDAY ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH GIVING A STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW
AND A CHANCE OF RAIN AS PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO JUST BRUSH THE
ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. ON FRIDAY A DIMINISHING NORTHERLY
FLOW IS EXPECTED AS A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE
WEST BUT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS REMAINS.
END/METOC-HFX
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