025
FXCN01 CWHF 230911
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR OPS AREA ALPHA AND THE ECHOES, CFB HALIFAX
PROPERTIES AND 12 WING SHEARWATER ISSUED BY AVIATION AND DEFENCE
SERVICES OF ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE CANADA AT 0930Z ON
FRIDAY 23 JAN
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KEY FORECAST POINTS:
- A FEW FLURRIES THIS AFTERNOON
- COLD WIND CHILL VALUES AND FREEZING SPRAY OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY
- SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
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SHORT RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0600Z 23 JAN TO 0400Z 25 JAN.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED RDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL GIVE A FEW FLURRIES
THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHWESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF
THE TROUGH WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS
WILL GENERATE COLD WIND CHILL VALUES AND FREEZING SPRAY CONDITIONS.
LONG RANGE DISCUSSION FOR 0400Z 25 JAN TO 0400Z 28 JAN.
MODEL DISCUSSION: USED GDPS
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
COMMENTS/IMPACTS: AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DIMINISHING
WINDS ON SUNDAY. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN COLD THE
DIMINISHING OF THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL MUCH NICER THAN SATURDAY.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT A NOREASTER WILL APPROACH NOVA SCOTIA. SNOW WILL
BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY ALTHOUGH BECOMING
LIGHTER THROUGH THE DAY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ICE PELLETS
MIXING WITH THE SNOW ON MONDAY AS WELL. STRONG NORTHEASTERLIES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MONDAY. ON TUESDAY WINDS BACK TO WESTERLY BUT
REMAIN STRONG WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES.
END/METOC-HFX
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