329  
FXCN31 CWHX 251800  
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE  
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3.16 PM NDT  
MONDAY 25 AUGUST 2025.  
 
THIS IS THE FINAL STATEMENT FROM THE CHC ON TROPICAL STORM FERNAND  
 
1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION  
 
AT 3.30 PM NDT, TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0  
N AND LONGITUDE 57.4 W, ABOUT 396 NAUTICAL MILES OR 733 KM  
EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50  
KNOTS (93 KM/H) AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 1000 MB. FERNAND IS MOVING  
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS (20 KM/H).  
 
2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH  
 
DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND  
NDT MB KTS KMH  
AUG 25 3.30 PM 35.0N 57.4W 1000 50 93  
AUG 25 9.30 PM 36.1N 56.5W 1001 50 93  
AUG 26 3.30 AM 37.4N 55.4W 1003 50 93  
AUG 26 9.30 AM 38.6N 54.4W 1005 45 83  
AUG 26 3.30 PM 40.3N 53.0W 1006 40 74  
AUG 26 9.30 PM 41.5N 51.5W 1007 40 74  
AUG 27 3.30 AM 42.8N 49.9W 1009 35 65 POST-TROPICAL  
AUG 27 9.30 AM 44.0N 48.1W 1010 35 65 POST-TROPICAL  
 
3. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION  
 
A. ANALYSIS  
 
TODAY'S ASCAT PASS SHOWED PEAK WINDS OF AT LEAST 45 KNOTS JUST EAST OF  
FERNAND'S CENTRE, THUS INTENSITY HAS BEEN BUMPED UP SLIGHTLY TO 50  
KNOTS FOR NOW. THIS SLIGHT INCREASE IN ITENSITY CORRESPONDS TO SOME  
RECENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION, WITH LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING  
FERNAND'S EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER JUST NORTHWEST OF THIS  
CONVECTION. FERNAND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 11 KNOTS.  
 
B. PROGNOSTIC  
 
FERNAND HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK SLIGHTLY MORE EAST THAN PREVIOUS, THUS  
TRACK IS NUDGED SLIGHTLY IN THAT DIRECTION. FERNAND WILL SOON MOVE  
INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED SHEAR AND COOLER SST'S WHICH SHOULD STEADILY  
WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AND RAPIDLY BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSISTION, WHICH  
LIKELY WILL BE COMPLETETED BEFORE IT NEARS THE SOUTHEASTERN GRAND  
BANKS TUESDAY NIGHT. THEREAFTER FERNAND WILL BECOME OVERTAKEN AND  
ABSORBED INTO AN EXISTING LARGE SCALE TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD FROM  
ATLANTIC CANADA.  
 
C. PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)  
 
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE  
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW  
25/18Z 70 70 60 0 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0  
26/00Z 65 70 60 0 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0  
26/06Z 75 75 20 0 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0  
26/12Z 70 75 25 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
26/18Z 65 70 25 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
27/00Z 65 85 25 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
27/06Z 60 95 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
27/12Z 60 95 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
END/BORGEL  
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