884
FXUS01 KWBC 281928
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
327 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2025
VALID 00Z SAT MAR 29 2025 - 00Z MON MAR 31 2025
...THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT MOVES AWAY FROM SOUTH
TEXAS AND INTO EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
PLAINS, EAST INTO THE EASTERN U.S., WHILE BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES STRETCH ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
...WINTER WEATHER THREATS CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS, INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, UPPER
GREAT LAKES, FAR NORTHERN NY STATE AND CENTRAL TO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...
...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY ON SATURDAY AND THROUGH THE LOWER
TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY ON
SUNDAY...
...A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY BEFORE MORE RAINS RETURN TO THIS
AREA SUNDAY...
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS,
WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12"+ HAVE BEEN OBSERVED, THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS BEEN PRODUCING THE WET WEATHER WILL
MOVE EASTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THIS WILL SHIFT THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
INTO EAST TEXAS AND ACROSS LOUISIANA OVER NEXT 24 HOURS. RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS EXTREME AS WAS OBSERVED OVER
SOUTH TEXAS. STILL, HEAVY RAINS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING
FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT FROM EAST TEXAS INTO
LOUISIANA WHERE FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
MUCH OF THE NATION TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL SEE MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
PLAINS, EASTWARD INTO MUCH OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, OHIO VALLEY
AND LARGE PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST. COLDER THAN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER FROM
THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, UPPER GREAT
LAKES, FAR NORTHERN NY STATE AND INTO CENTRAL TO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO THE COLDER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER, THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR TWO ROUNDS
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE. THE INITIAL ROUND WILL SPREAD
WINTRY WEATHER FROM NORTHERN MINNESOTA INTO THE UPPER PENINSULA OF
MICHIGAN, FAR NORTHERN NY STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO CONTINUING SATURDAY FROM THE UPPER PENINSULA
OF MICHIGAN, FAR NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A SECOND BATCH OF WINTRY WEATHER
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY AND
MOVING INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY AND BACK ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SNOW TOTALS FROM
THE TWO EVENTS MAY REACH AS HIGH AS 6 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, FAR NORTHERN NY STATE,
NORTHERN VERMONT, NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE, AND WESTERN MAINE. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OF .25-.50"+ ARE POSSIBLE FROM NORTHERN WISCONSIN,
ACROSS THE NORTHERN LOWER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, EASTERN UPPER
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, NORTHERN NY STATE AND ACROSS MUCH OF
VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE.
THE COLDER THAN AVERAGE AIR OVER THE NORTHERN TIER WILL BEGIN TO
SURGE SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
INCREASINGLY ACTIVE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT THIS WEEKEND.
THIS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ON SATURDAY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY AND THROUGH A LARGER REGION FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TENNESSEE VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY.
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF WET WEATHER FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.
HOWEVER, THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING OFF
THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL SPREAD THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL RAINS
INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.
ORAVEC
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