903
FXUS01 KWBC 011833
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
109 PM EST SUN FEB 01 2026
VALID 00Z MON FEB 02 2026 - 00Z WED FEB 04 2026
...THE INTENSE SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR BEHIND THE HURRICANE FORCE
NORTHWEST ATLANTIC STORM, WILL CONTINUE TO USHER RECORD COLD AND
SIGNIFICANT WIND CHILLS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTO FLORIDA THROUGH
EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.
...AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL SPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES INTO TONIGHT
WITH A STEADY WARM-UP AFTERWARDS...
...WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH
CHANCE OF PRECIPIATION LATE TUESDAY ACROSS LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...
GOES-E SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE POWERFUL HURRICANE FORCE
CYCLONE CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC
BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE NORTHEAST U.S. AS IT SLIDES INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES LATER TODAY INTO MONDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE
INTENSE CYCLONE, BITTERLY COLD AIR CONTINUES TO SHATTER RECORD
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND THROUGH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES THIS COLD HAVE NOT BEEN
EXPERIENCED ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA SINCE THE RECORD COLD MONTH OF
DECEMBER 1989. EXTREME COLD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST ALL THE WAY DOWN TOWARD SOUTHERN FLORIDA WHERE
FREEZE WARNINGS AND COLD WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. BUNDLE
UP AND COVER YOUR MOUTH IF YOU ARE OUTSIDE, ENSURE PETS AND
ANIMALS HAVE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD, AND CONTINUE TO TAKE STEPS
TO PREVENT FROZEN PIPES. A GRADUAL MODERATING TREND IS FORECAST
FOR THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT RECORD
TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY INTO
EARLY TUESDAY.
MEANWHILE, AN ALBERTA CLIPPER IS TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
CANADIAN PRAIRIES AND HEADING INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY
TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS WITH OVER-RUNNING LIGHT SNOW AND WINTRY MIX
CONDITIONS, AT THE SOUTHERN-MOST PORTIONS OF THE CYCLONE THROUGH
THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND MINNESOTA TODAY AND WISCONSIN AND UPPER
AND LOWER MICHIGAN ON MONDAY. SPOTS OF 1-3" OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE
AND PORTIONS OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF ND/MN UNDER WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES. AFTER CLEARING, A QUICK SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL CROSS
EASTERN ND AND NORTHERN MN ON MONDAY. HOWEVER, BY TUESDAY THE
AREA WILL JOIN THE REST OF THE WEST AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WITH
INCREASINGLY ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH DUE TO CLEARING SKIES AND SOLID
DOWNSLOPE.
A WEAK JET STREAM WAVE, WILL OVER-TOP THE ROCKIES RESULTING IN A
WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS LATE ON MONDAY.
THIS WILL HELP TO DRAW SOME RETURN MOISTURE OFF THE SLOWLY
MODIFYING WESTERN GULF NORTHWARD. SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION WILL
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY
EVENING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY.
IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, ON AND OFF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
RAIN IN THE COASTAL REGIONS, AND SNOW/MIXED PRECIPITATION IN
HIGHER ELEVATION UPSLOPE REGIONS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO, AS A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
WEAKENING FRONTS FROM THE PACIFIC WILL BE MOVING ONSHORE. IN
GENERAL, THIS WILL BE MINOR BUT HELP TO MAINTAIN/EXPAND THE WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES DOMINATING MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S., A
STARK CONTRAST TO THE FRIGID CONDITIONS IN THE EASTERN U.S.
GALLINA/KONG
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