594
FXUS01 KWBC 281911
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
211 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2026
VALID 00Z SUN MAR 01 2026 - 00Z TUE MAR 03 2026
...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO MID-SOUTH SUNDAY/MONDAY WITH A
WINTRY MIX FROM THE MISSOURI VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY...
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING EXPANDING CHANCES FOR LOWER ELEVATION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW FROM THE
PACIIFC NORTHWEST TO THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...
...RECORD WARMTH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERN PLAINS CONTINUES
THIS WEEKEND WHILE ARCTIC AIR BEGINS TO FILTER SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN TIER BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AHEAD
OF A SHORTWAVE PASSING OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD INTO SUNDAY
BRINGING A MIX OF SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST
INTO NEW ENGLAND. TO THE WEST, ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WILL RAMP UP SUNDAY ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
UNDER ENERGETIC UPPER FLOW FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE
OZARKS AND MID-SOUTH. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW AND ICING IN THE
COLDER AIR NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY OVER THE MISSOURI VALLEY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL EXPAND EASTWARD ALONG THE BOUNDARY INTO
MONDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND A WINTRY MIX
NORTH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
MEANWHILE, SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AHEAD OF A WEAKENING PACIFIC
SYSTEM. ANOTHER, STRONGER UPPER-TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE REGION
SUNDAY, BRINGING AN EXPANDING AREA OF MORE MODERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS THAT WILL BEGIN TO STRETCH INTO
THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY EVENING AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES LATER
INTO MONDAY. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN WITH THE RAIN FOR THE LOWER
ELEVATION VALLEYS, PARTICULARLY AS TEMPERATURES COOL FOLLOWING THE
PASSAGE OF A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT MONDAY. SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE
SNOWS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR THE REGIONAL MOUNTAIN RANGES.
ELSEWHERE, THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOR
SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE REGION.
ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY, STRETCHING FROM THE WEST TO
THE EAST COAST AND ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER.
VERY WARM TO HOT HIGHS FOR WINTER ARE EXPECTED TODAY (SATURDAY)
AND TOMORROW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERN PLAINS, WITH 80S AND
90S FORECAST. MANY HIGHS WILL APPROACH AND EITHER TIE/EXCEED DAILY
RECORD TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, FURTHER NORTH, WINTER WILL CONTINUE
STRONG AS FRIGID TEMPERATURES FOLLOW AN ARCTIC FRONT PASSING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST TODAY, THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST/NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC
SUNDAY, AND THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC/CAROLINAS TUESDAY. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER WITH 30S AND
40S FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH.
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