490
FXUS05 KWBC 181230
PMD90D
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR LONG-LEAD SEASONAL OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) ARE CURRENTLY NEAR-TO-BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN. THE ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS
CONTINUES WITH A LA NIñA WATCH, WHICH IS ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF LA NIñA WITHIN THE NEXT 6 MONTHS. A TRANSITION FROM
ENSO-NEUTRAL TO LA NIñA IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS, WITH A 71%
CHANCE OF LA NIñA DURING OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER (OND) 2025. THEREAFTER, LA
NIñA IS FAVORED BUT CHANCES DECREASE TO 54% IN DECEMBER-JANUARY-FEBRUARY (DJF)
2025-26, WITH ENSO-NEUTRAL EXPECTED TO RETURN BY LATE WINTER AND SPRING.
THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER (OND) 2025 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FAVORS
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE CONTIGUOUS U.S. (CONUS), WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF EQUAL CHANCES (EC) OF ABOVE, NEAR, AND BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
FORECAST FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER TO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. PROBABILITIES FAVORING ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
RANGE FROM 50-60% OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND WEST TEXAS, THE NORTHEAST,
AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA, AND PEAK AT 60-70% OVER NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF
NEIGHBORING STATES. ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED OVER MUCH OF
ALASKA, EXCLUDING EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA, WHERE EC IS INDICATED.
THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER (OND) 2025 PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FAVORS
ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF
ALASKA. BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN CONUS.
ELSEWHERE OVER THE U.S., EC IS FORECAST WHERE PROBABILITIES FOR EACH CATEGORY
OF SEASONAL MEAN TEMPERATURES AND SEASONAL ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES.
BASIS AND SUMMARY OF THE CURRENT LONG-LEAD OUTLOOKS
NOTE: FOR GRAPHICAL DISPLAYS OF THE FORECAST TOOLS DISCUSSED BELOW SEE:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/90DAY/TOOLS/BRIEFING
CURRENT ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS
ENSO-NEUTRAL CONTINUED IN AUGUST 2025, WITH NEAR-TO-BELOW AVERAGE SSTS OBSERVED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC. THE LATEST WEEKLY NIñO 3.4
SST INDEX IS -0.5° C. NEGATIVE SUBSURFACE TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES (AVERAGED FROM
180°-100°W) STRENGTHENED, WITH BELOW-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PREVAILING FROM THE
SURFACE TO A DEPTH OF 200M IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PACIFIC. RELATIVELY WARM
SURFACE AND SUBSURFACE WATER TEMPERATURES ARE CONFINED TO THE FAR WESTERN
TROPICAL PACIFIC. LOW-LEVEL WIND ANOMALIES WERE EASTERLY ACROSS MOST OF THE
EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WIND ANOMALIES WERE WESTERLY OVER THE
WESTERN AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC. DEEP TROPICAL CONVECTION WAS ENHANCED
OVER INDONESIA AND THE MARITIME CONTINENT REGION, AND SUPPRESSED NEAR THE DATE
LINE. THE CURRENT STATE OF THE COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE SYSTEM REFLECTED THE
CONTINUATION OF ENSO-NEUTRAL.
AS FOR LOCAL IMPACTS, LOCAL SSTS ARE ABOVE-AVERAGE IN THE COASTAL WATERS
SURROUNDING MOST OF ALASKA, ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE CONUS, AND THE GULF AND
SOUTHEAST COASTS. COOLER-THAN-NORMAL WATERS ARE OBSERVED OFF THE UPPER
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS. LOCAL INTERACTION BETWEEN SOIL MOISTURE AND
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION DECLINES SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE GROWING SEASON
DRAWS TO A CLOSE. THE CPC LEAKY BUCKET MODEL DEPICTS BELOW-AVERAGE SOIL
MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S., THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, OHIO VALLEY, NORTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC, AND FLORIDA, WITH SCATTERED
REGIONS OF ABOVE-AVERAGE SOIL MOISTURE OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, MUCH
OF THE GREAT PLAINS, AND A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST. LOCAL INTERACTIONS WITH
SOIL MOISTURE AND SSTS ARE CONSIDERED FOR EARLY LEADS WHERE APPLICABLE AND
RELEVANT.
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION OF SST FORECASTS
THE NORTH AMERICAN MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE (NMME) FAVORS A SHORT-LIVED LA NIñA
DURING FALL AND EARLY WINTER 2025-26. THE CPC NIñO 3.4 SST INDEX FAVORS A
MINIMAL TO WEAK LA NIñA FROM THE SON SEASON THROUGH JANUARY-FEBRUARY-MARCH
(JFM) 2026. IN CONTRAST, PREDICTIONS FROM THE INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE
(IRI) FAVOR ENSO-NEUTRAL TO PERSIST THROUGH FALL AND WINTER 2025-26. THIS
CURRENT SET OF SEASONAL OUTLOOKS IS GOING WITH A TRANSITIONAL LEAD-1 PERIOD
(OND 2025), FOLLOWED BY A WEAK LA NIñA FOR LEADS 2-4 (NDJ 2025-26 THROUGH JFM
2026), WITH ENSO-NEUTRAL RE-EMERGING DURING LEADS 5-6 (FMA TO MAM 2026).
PROGNOSTIC TOOLS USED FOR U.S. TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS
DYNAMICAL MODEL FORECASTS FROM THE NMME, THE COUPLED FORECAST SYSTEM MODEL
VERSION 2 (CFSV2), AND THE COPERNICUS (C3S) MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE SYSTEM WERE
USED EXTENSIVELY FOR THE FIRST SIX LEADS WHEN THEY ARE AVAILABLE, AS WAS THE
OBJECTIVE, HISTORICAL SKILL WEIGHTED CONSOLIDATION AND CALIBRATION, BRIDGING,
AND MERGING (CBAM) GUIDANCE, THAT COMBINES BOTH DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL
FORECAST INFORMATION. A CONSOLIDATION OF STATISTICAL TOOLS INCLUDING THE
ENSO-OCN TOOL, WHICH REPRESENTS THE COMBINED INFLUENCE OF ENSO (WHEN ACTIVE)
AND DECADAL TIMESCALE TRENDS IN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION (UTILIZING THE
OPTIMUM CLIMATE NORMAL, OCN) AND DYNAMICAL MODELS IS USED FOR THE FIRST SIX
LEADS. FOLLOWING THIS, THE ENSO-OCN FORECAST TOOL IS USED MORE EXTENSIVELY.
DECADAL VARIABILITY AND TRENDS ARE DETERMINED FROM THE OCN, REPRESENTING THE
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MOST RECENT 15-YEAR PERIOD AVERAGE SEASONAL TEMPERATURE
OR PRECIPITATION AND THE AVERAGE FOR THE CLIMATOLOGY PERIOD, FROM 1991-2020. LA
NIñA TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION HISTORICAL COMPOSITES WERE USED FOR THE NDJ
2025-26, DJF 2025-26, AND JFM 2026 SEASONS.
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION OF OUTLOOKS - OND 2025 TO OND 2026
TEMPERATURE
FOR THE OND 2025 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED
OVER MOST OF THE CONTIGUOUS U.S. (CONUS), WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EC FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
REGION. PROBABILITIES FAVORING ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 50-60% OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND WEST TEXAS, THE NORTHEAST, AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA,
AND PEAK AT 60-70% OVER NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF NEIGHBORING STATES.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED OVER MUCH OF ALASKA, EXCLUDING
EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA, WHERE EC IS INDICATED. THE WIDESPREAD
COVERAGE OF FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST DYNAMICAL
AND STATISTICAL MODEL GUIDANCE AND WITH TRENDS. RELATIVELY WARM SSTS ARE A
PARTIAL CONTRIBUTOR TO THE WIDESPREAD ANOMALOUS WARMTH. IN NORTHWESTERN ALASKA,
PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES REACH 50-60%, TIED TO THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL DELAY IN THE ONSET OF SEA ICE IN THAT REGION. IN SHARP CONTRAST
TO THIS, THE NCAR_CESM1 AND NCAR_CCSM4 MODELS FORECAST BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE STATE OF ALASKA. THE SST-CA TOOL (CONSTRUCTED
ANALOG USING SST ANOMALIES) FORECASTS A RELATIVELY COLD SOUTHEAST ALASKA DURING
OND 2025.
FOR LEADS 2-6 (NDJ 2025-26 THROUGH MAM 2026), THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH THE PREDICTED ONSET, OCCURRENCE, AND DECAY OF LA NIñA. THE
CPC-IRI CONSENSUS FORECAST PREDICTS THE LA NIñA WILL TRANSITION TO ENSO-NEUTRAL
SOMETIME DURING THE JFM 2026 SEASON, WHILE THE CPC ENSO 3.4 SST CONSOLIDATION
FORECAST SHOWS THE RE-EMERGENCE OF ENSO-NEUTRAL BY FMA 2026. FROM NDJ THROUGH
MAM, AN INITIALLY SMALL AREA OF FAVORED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER WESTERN
WASHINGTON EXPANDS EASTWARD WITH TIME TO INCLUDE PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES,
NORTHERN PLAINS, AND MINNESOTA CULMINATING IN PEAK SPATIAL COVERAGE DURING FMA
2026. BY MAM, ONLY A SMALL REMNANT OF FAVORED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS
DEPICTED ALONG THE BORDER BETWEEN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE CANADIAN
PROVINCES OF SASKATCHEWAN AND MANITOBA. THE LARGE AREA OF FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES DURING THE OND SEASON IS PREDICTED TO GRADUALLY SHRINK AND RECEDE
SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD DURING THE LATE FALL AND EARLY WINTER TO A RELATIVE
MINIMUM DURING JFM/FMA 2026. BY THAT TIME, FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE PREDICTED TO BE LIMITED TO THE FAR SOUTHERN AND FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CONUS. BY MAM 2026 AND BEYOND, THE AREA OF FAVORED ANOMALOUS WARMTH IS
PREDICTED TO EXPAND ONCE AGAIN NORTHWARD AND SOMEWHAT WESTWARD TO INCLUDE
NEARLY ALL OF THE CONUS BY NEXT FALL (SON AND OND 2026). THE TEMPERATURE
OUTLOOKS AT THESE LEADS (FROM MAM 2026 ONWARDS) ARE LARGELY BASED ON HISTORICAL
LONG-TERM TRENDS. DURING MOST OF THESE SEASONS, THE GREATEST CHANCE OF
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES (50-60%) IS INDICATED OVER THE WEST, THE NORTHEAST,
AND THE GENERAL VICINITY OF FLORIDA. FOR ALASKA, THE COMBINATION OF DYNAMICAL
AND STATISTICAL MODELS, AND TRENDS, FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH
OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGHOUT THE FALL AND WINTER. THE MOST LIKELY
AREA TO REGISTER BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES DURING THE NEXT 6 MONTHS IS
SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ALASKA, FROM DJF
2025-26 THROUGH FMA 2026, BASED ON LA NIñA COMPOSITES AND TO SOME DEGREE,
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE. FROM SPRING 2026 ONWARDS, THE ALASKA TEMPERATURE
OUTLOOKS ARE DOMINATED BY LONG-TERM HISTORICAL TRENDS.
PRECIPITATION
FOR THE OND 2025 PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK, ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED
OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EASTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF ALASKA. THE WET SIGNAL
ACROSS FLORIDA IS PARTLY DUE TO THE TIME OF YEAR, AS TROPICAL CYCLONES
OCCASIONALLY FORM IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA OR GULF OF AMERICA AND TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD OR EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE CALIBRATED
C3S, AND SOME OF THE MODELS THAT COMPRISE THE C3S ENSEMBLE SYSTEM. THE
NORTHWESTERN CONUS WET SIGNAL (ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR) IS CONSISTENT WITH
MANY OF THE DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL TOOLS, AND IS RELATED TO THE EXPECTED
MEAN PACIFIC JET STREAM POSITION ASSOCIATED WITH LA NIñA (ESPECIALLY DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THIS SEASON), AND THE CLIMATOLOGICAL EARLY STAGES OF THE RAINY
SEASON ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE WETTER-THAN-NORMAL CONDITIONS FAVORED OVER
MOST OF THE WESTERN HALF OF ALASKA ARE SUPPORTED BY MUCH OF THE NMME AND C3S
MODEL GUIDANCE AND RELATIVELY WARM SSTS SURROUNDING MOST OF THE STATE. THIS
PATTERN IS ALSO COMMONLY OBSERVED DURING COLD SEASON LA NIñAS FEATURING HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC AND BROAD ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF ALASKA. BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN CONUS, AND THIS IS BORNE OUT BY A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE GUIDANCE. THIS
BROAD AREA OF FAVORED BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXTENDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF
COAST REGION AND THE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST, RELATED TO A SEASONAL TENDENCY FOR
WESTERLY WINDS TO BECOME MORE DOMINANT IN THIS REGION, AND THE PREFERENCE FOR
ANY TROPICAL CYCLONES TO BE SHUNTED EASTWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA
AND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. ELSEWHERE OVER THE CONUS AND ALASKA, NO SINGLE
TERCILE CLASS IS FAVORED OVER ANOTHER, SO EC IS INDICATED.
AS WE MOVE FORWARD INTO THE LATE FALL AND WINTER, LA NIñA PRECIPITATION
COMPOSITES AND REGRESSIONS WERE ALSO CONSULTED, IN ADDITION TO THE USUAL
DYNAMICAL AND STATISTICAL MODEL GUIDANCE. FOR LEADS 2-4 (NDJ 2025-26 THROUGH
JFM 2026), WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE PEAK OF A PREDICTED WEAK LA NIñA), THE AREA
OF FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GENERALLY SHIFTS
AND/OR EXPANDS EASTWARD, WHILE A NEW WET SIGNAL (I.E. AN AREA OF ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION) IS FAVORED TO DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
REGION IN NDJ, AND EXPAND SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH FMA 2026. DRIER-THAN-NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED DURING THIS SAME
PERIOD (NDJ THROUGH JFM) ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
CONUS, WITH SLIGHTLY ELEVATED PROBABILITIES DEPICTED OVER THE
SOUTHWEST/CALIFORNIA AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THIS IS GENERALLY SUPPORTED
BY MANY OF THE TOOLS, SUCH AS THE CALIBRATED VERSIONS OF THE C3S AND NMME,
CBAM, AND LA NIñA HISTORICAL COMPOSITES. THE ALASKA PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS FOR
THIS SAME PERIOD TILT THE ODDS TOWARDS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF
THE STATE, EXCLUDING SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.
THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MANY OF THE TOOLS, SUCH AS THE CALIBRATED NMME AND C3S,
CBAM, THE CONSOLIDATIONS, AND TO SOME DEGREE, TRENDS.
FOR LEADS 5-6 (FMA AND MAM 2026), THE FAVORED WET SIGNALS IN THE NORTHWEST AND
EAST-CENTRAL CONUS ARE PREDICTED TO WEAKEN AND DISAPPEAR WITH TIME, WITH ONLY A
SINGLE WET SIGNAL REMAINING IN MAM OVER THE VICINITY OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND SURROUNDING AREAS. THE RELATIVE DRYNESS OVER THE SOUTHERN CONUS IS
FORECAST TO SPLIT INTO TWO COMPONENTS; ONE OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND ONE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST IN FMA, WITH ONLY THE SOUTHWEST DRY SIGNAL LINGERING INTO MAM.
ALASKA’S WET SIGNAL IS FORECAST BY SOME MODEL GUIDANCE TO SHRINK BACK TO
NORTHWESTERN ALASKA BY MAM 2026. FROM LEAD 7 (AMJ 2026) ONWARD, THE
PRECIPITATION SIGNALS ARE GENERALLY CONSISTENT WITH LONG-TERM TRENDS AS
DEPICTED BY THE OCN TOOL. DURING LEADS 7-10, A TILT TOWARDS BELOW-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE CONUS, AND A TILT
TOWARDS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR PARTS OF THE EAST. THE WET
SIGNAL IN THE EAST CONTINUES THROUGH LEAD 11 (ASO 2026), WHILE THE DRY SIGNAL
IN THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS GRADUALLY FADES AND SPLITS INTO TWO AREAS OF SLIGHTLY
FAVORED BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION; ONE OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND THE OTHER OVER
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BY LEAD 13 (OND 2026), TRENDS ALSO FAVOR THE
REAPPEARANCE OF A DRY SIGNAL OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST REGION.
FORECASTER: ANTHONY ARTUSA
THE CLIMATIC NORMALS ARE BASED ON CONDITIONS BETWEEN 1991 AND 2020, FOLLOWING
THE WORLD METEROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION CONVENTION OF USING THE MOST RECENT 3
COMPLETE DECADES AS THE CLIMATIC REFERENCE PERIOD. THE PROBABILITY ANOMALIES
FOR TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION BASED ON THESE NEW NORMALS BETTER REPRESENT
SHORTER TERM CLIMATIC ANOMALIES THAN THE FORECASTS BASED ON OLDER NORMALS.
FOR A DESCRIPTION OF OF THE STANDARD FORECAST TOOLS - THEIR SKILL- AND THE
FORECAST FORMAT PLEASE SEE OUR WEB PAGE AT
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PREDICTIONS/LONG_RANGE/TOOLS.HTML
(USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
INFORMATION ON THE FORMATION OF SKILL OF THE CAS FORECASTS MAY BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/SOILMST_MONITORING/US/OUTLOOK/OUTLOOK.SHTM
L
(USE LOWERCASE LETTERS)
NOTES - THESE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS ARE INTENDED FOR USE PRIOR TO THE START OF THEIR
VALID PERIOD. WITHIN ANY GIVEN VALID PERIOD OBSERVATIONS AND SHORT AND MEDIUM
RANGE FORECASTS SHOULD BE CONSULTED.
THIS SET OF OUTLOOKS WILL BE SUPERSEDED BY THE ISSUANCE OF THE NEW SET NEXT
MONTH ON OCT 16 2025
1991-2020 BASE PERIOD MEANS WERE IMPLEMENTED EFFECTIVE WITH THE MAY 20, 2021
FORECAST RELEASE.
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