516
FXUS07 KWBC 312050
PMD30D
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR MONTHLY OUTLOOK
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EST WED DEC 31 2025
30-DAY OUTLOOK DISCUSSION FOR JAN 2026
THE JANUARY 2026 MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS ARE UPDATED
CONSIDERING INPUT FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) EXTENDED RANGE AND
SUBSEASONAL OUTLOOKS, AND SHORTER-TERM (DAYS 1-7) FORECASTS OF PRECIPITATION
FROM THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER (WPC). DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE FROM
GEFSV12, ECMWF, AND CFSV2 FOR THE 6-10 DAY, WEEK 2, AND WEEKS 3-4 PERIODS,
RECENT MONTHLY CFSV2 FORECASTS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION, AND
EXPERIMENTAL MONTHLY FORECASTS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION FROM EXTENDED
RUNS OF THE GEFSV12 AND ECMWF MODELS ARE UTILIZED. IMPACTS FROM BACKGROUND
CLIMATE STATES, SUCH AS THE EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) ARE CONSIDERED.
LA NINA IS CURRENTLY PRESENT, WITH EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS)
REMAINING BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN AND
THE LATEST WEEKLY NIñO 3.4 INDEX REACHING -0.7 DEGREES C. WHILE THESE
CONDITIONS HAVE PERSISTED SINCE SEPTEMBER 2025 AND REMAIN IN WEAK LA NINA
TERRITORY, A TRANSITION TO ENSO-NEUTRAL IS MOST LIKELY DURING THE
JANUARY-FEBRUARY-MARCH 2026 PERIOD WITH A 68% PROBABILITY. THE MADDEN-JULIAN
OSCILLATION (MJO) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK AND DISORGANIZED THROUGH EARLY
JANUARY, AS DYNAMICAL MODELS FAVOR LITTLE TO NO REEMERGENCE OF COHERENT
SUBSEASONAL ACTIVITY. MOST FORECASTS DEPICT THE MJO WITHIN THE UNIT CIRCLE AT
LOW AMPLITUDE, AND ANY POTENTIAL RENEWED ACTIVITY LATER IN THE MONTH WOULD
LIKELY OCCUR OVER THE WESTERN PACIFIC. GIVEN THIS UNCERTAINTY AND PREDICTED
WEAK MJO SIGNALS, THE MJO IS NOT A SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTOR TO THE UPDATED
FORECAST. WHILE LA NINA INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED, THE EVENT'S WEAKNESS ALLOWS
TELECONNECTIONS TO BE POTENTIALLY OVERSHADOWED BY INTRA-MONTHLY VARIABILITY,
INCREASING FORECAST UNCERTAINTY.
A COMPLEX, TRANSIENT, AND UNCERTAIN HEIGHT PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING JANUARY.
ALTHOUGH DYNAMICAL MODEL ENSEMBLE MEANS SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT FOR EARLY JANUARY,
WITH TROUGHING OVER ALASKA, THE WEST COAST, AND THE EAST, AND WEAK POSITIVE
HEIGHTS OVER THE CENTRAL CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES (CONUS), MODEL SOLUTIONS
QUICKLY DIVERGE. BY MID-MONTH, RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER ALASKA AND THE EAST WITH
TROUGHING OVER THE WEST, AND THE PATTERN IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EASTWARD. WEEK
3-4 DYNAMICAL MODEL FORECASTS WERE PREVIOUSLY MORE UNCERTAIN, BUT RECENT MODELS
HAVE ALIGNED TO FAVOR RIDGING OVER ALASKA AND THE WESTERN U.S. AND TROUGHING
OVER THE NORTHERN TIER AND NEW ENGLAND (WITH SOME DIFFERENCES IN POSITION AND
STRENGTH OF HEIGHT ANOMALIES BETWEEN MODELS). OVERALL, THE TRANSIENT NATURE OF
THIS PATTERN ADDS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY TO THE JANUARY OUTLOOK, PARTICULARLY
FOR PRECIPITATION.
MUCH OF THE CONUS IS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN EARLY
JANUARY BEFORE A TRANSIENT MID-MONTH, LEADING TO RIDGING IN THE WEST AND
TROUGHING IN THE NORTHEAST BY LATE JANUARY, WHICH MAY BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
TO THE NORTH AND EAST. THE JANUARY 2026 MONTHLY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK DEPICTS A
BROAD AREA OF FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN, SOUTHERN,
AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S., WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS. CONVERSELY, BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FOR THE
GREAT LAKES, NORTHEAST, AND MUCH OF CENTRAL, EASTERN, AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA.
EQUAL-CHANCES (EC) OF ABOVE, BELOW, AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES STRETCH FROM
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC.
COMPARED TO THE INITIAL OUTLOOK, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURE PROBABILITIES ARE
EXPANDED TO COVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. DESPITE THE MID-MONTH
TRANSIENT PHASE THAT MAY BRING MILDER CONDITIONS TO THE WEST, STRONG MONTHLY
MODEL AGREEMENT SUPPORTS ENHANCED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
OVER THE SOUTHEAST, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURE PROBABILITIES ARE WEAKENED AND
COMPRESSED SOUTHWARD AS UPDATED GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LATE-MONTH TROUGHING THAT MAY
BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTH AND EAST, AND POTENTIALLY FURTHER SOUTH,
THOUGH THE POSITION OF THE TRANSITION BETWEEN ABOVE-NORMAL AND BELOW-NORMAL IS
SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. BELOW-NORMAL PROBABILITIES ARE EXPANDED EASTWARD TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST GIVEN TROUGHING IN THE SECOND HALF OF JANUARY. OVER ALASKA, A WEAK
BELOW-NORMAL SIGNAL IS MAINTAINED BASED ON MONTHLY DYNAMICAL MODELS, DESPITE A
MID-MONTH PERIOD OF RIDGING THAT MAY BRING TEMPORARY WARMTH.
THE JANUARY 2026 MONTHLY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FAVORS ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FROM THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST,
WITH BELOW-NORMAL CONDITIONS OVER WESTERN TEXAS AND THE SOUTHEAST. FOR ALASKA,
ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS INDICATED FOR CENTRAL REGIONS, WHILE THE SOUTHERN
COAST LEANS BELOW NORMAL. WHILE THERE ARE SOME REGIONS WHERE PROBABILITIES ARE
HIGHER AND REACH 50 TO 60% CHANCES, PROBABILITIES ARE LOW AND BROAD AREAS OF EC
ARE DEPICTED AS THE PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK IS COMPARATIVELY MORE UNCERTAIN THAN
THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK. WHILE EARLY-MONTH FORECASTS FROM THE CFSV2 SHOWED
STRONG LA NINA-LIKE SIGNALS FOR MONTHLY PRECIPITATION, RECENT GUIDANCE HAS
BECOME MORE UNCERTAIN AS THE TRANSIENT PATTERN FOR JANUARY EMERGES. THE FIRST
HALF OF JANUARY FAVORS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF THE U.S., BUT THE
MONTHLY MEAN AS A WHOLE REMAINS LESS CERTAIN DUE TO THE WEAK LA NINA AND
INTRA-MONTHLY VARIABILITY. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY, THE ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES, CONSISTENT WITH TYPICAL LA NINA TELECONNECTIONS,
ARE MAINTAINED IN THE UPDATED OUTLOOK GIVEN CONSISTENCY ACROSS THE MONTH OF
JANUARY IN MODELS, AS WELL AS IN MONTHLY DYNAMICAL MODEL FORECASTS. A WEAK TILT
TOWARD ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS EXTENDED INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
WESTERN ARIZONA GIVEN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THIS REGION IN WPC
FORECASTS FOR DAYS 1-7, AND STRONG ABOVE-NORMAL PROBABILITIES IN CPC 6-10 AND
8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS THAT MAY BE ENOUGH TO TILT THE MONTH TOWARD ABOVE-NORMAL
OVERALL, AS WELL AS LOWER PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGIES. BELOW-NORMAL
PROBABILITIES IN THE SOUTHWEST AND TEXAS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED SPATIALLY
DUE TO FORECASTED ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN EARLY JANUARY AND INCONSISTENT
SIGNALS IN MODELS THROUGHOUT THE MONTH. BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES ARE MAINTAINED IN THE SOUTHEAST, BUT MODIFIED SLIGHTLY BASED ON
UPDATED MODEL FORECASTS. NOTABLY, THE LA NINA-ASSOCIATED ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION PREVIOUSLY INDICATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY HAS
BEEN REMOVED IN FAVOR OF EC. MONTHLY MODELS NOW SUGGEST A BELOW-NORMAL TILT FOR
THIS REGION, HOWEVER, EARLY MONTH WEAKLY ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITIES, THE POTENTIAL FOR INDIVIDUAL STORMS, AND LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
PRECLUDES A DEFINITIVE BELOW-NORMAL FORECAST. FINALLY, A TILT TOWARD BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS MAINTAINED OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE MAINLAND AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA DUE TO DECADAL TRENDS, LA NINA, AND DYNAMICAL MODEL SUPPORT.
MODELS ARE MIXED FOR THE MAINLAND, BUT INDICATE A WEAK TILT TOWARD ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION OVER THE CENTER OF THE STATE.
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***** PREVIOUS MID-MONTH DISCUSSION BELOW *****
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THE JANUARY 2026 MONTHLY TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS ARE CONSTRUCTED
BY CONSIDERING THE LA NINA BASE STATE, AS WELL AS DYNAMICAL CLIMATE MODELS AND
INTEGRATED STATISTICAL TOOLS. EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) REMAIN
BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN, WITH SST
DEPARTURES IN THE NIñO 3.4 REGION REACHING -0.7 DEGREES C. THESE BELOW-AVERAGE
SSTS HAVE PERSISTED SINCE SEPTEMBER 2025, AND WE ARE FIRMLY WITHIN WEAK LA NINA
TERRITORY. FURTHERMORE, ATMOSPHERIC ANOMALIES OVER THE TROPICAL PACIFIC OCEAN
ARE CONSISTENT WITH LA NINA, CONSEQUENTLY, WE EXPECT LA NINA TELECONNECTIONS
DURING JANUARY 2026. IN CONTRAST, THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) REMAINS
MORE UNCERTAIN, AS MODELS SUGGEST DESTRUCTIVE INTERFERENCE FROM A STRONG KELVIN
WAVE MAY HINDER ITS RE-EMERGENCE. THE JANUARY 2026 OUTLOOKS ARE PRIMARILY
SHAPED BY THE LA NINA BACKGROUND STATE, DYNAMICAL CLIMATE MODELS, LOCAL SST
ANOMALIES, SEA ICE, AND LAND SURFACE CONDITIONS (WHERE APPROPRIATE). AN
EXPERIMENTAL MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION (MLR) TOOL WHICH ESTIMATES THE
INFLUENCES OF THE EL NIñO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO), MJO, AND DECADAL TRENDS
IS UTILIZED, AS IS A CONSOLIDATION THAT INCLUDES INFLUENCE OF ENSO, DECADAL
TRENDS, AND CALIBRATED NORTH AMERICAN MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE (NMME) OUTPUT. WEEKS
3-4 FORECASTS FROM THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE FORECAST SYSTEM VERSION 12 (GEFSV12),
THE EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS (ECMWF), AND COUPLED
FORECAST SYSTEM VERSION 2 (CFSV2) MODELS THAT COVER THE PERIOD TO ABOUT
MID-JANUARY WERE ALSO CONSIDERED. IMPACTS FROM THE MJO, ALONG WITH LAND SURFACE
VARIABLES SUCH AS SNOW COVER, WILL BE RE-EVALUATED AT THE END OF THE MONTH FOR
THE UPDATED VERSION OF THIS OUTLOOK.
THE JANUARY 2026 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FEATURES INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA, ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA, AND
STRETCHING FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE MORE LIKELY FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE
CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES (CONUS), COVERING MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST, FOUR CORNERS,
SOUTHERN PLAINS, SOUTHEAST, AND MID-ATLANTIC. EQUAL CHANCES (EC) OF ABOVE-,
NEAR-, AND BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN
ALASKA, THE NORTHWEST, MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, THE CENTRAL
PLAINS, GREAT LAKES, AND NEW ENGLAND. A MID-LEVEL HEIGHT PATTERN TYPICAL OF LA
NINA HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED AND IS FORECAST TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST MID-JANUARY
PER WEEK 3-4 DYNAMICAL MODELS. A BLOCKING HIGH HAS BEEN A SIGNIFICANT FEATURE
OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND ALEUTIANS, WITH DOWNSTREAM MID-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
RESIDING OVER EASTERN ALASKA AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST. ABOVE-AVERAGE
MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS COVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EASTERN CONUS. THE
PATTERN REFLECTED IN THE JANUARY 2026 TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS IS CONSISTENT WITH
LA NINA EXPECTATIONS, THOUGH IT HAS BEEN MODIFIED BASED ON AVAILABLE GUIDANCE.
PROBABILITIES FOR BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE HIGHEST OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
AND ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN MAINLAND ALASKA, REACHING 50 TO 60%, GIVEN
CONSISTENCY AMONG VARIOUS TOOLS. MONTHLY FORECASTS FOR ALASKA FROM NMME, C3S,
AND CFSV2 ALIGN WITH SHORTER-TERM WEEK 3-4 FORECASTS IN FAVORING THESE COOLER
CONDITIONS. PROBABILITIES ARE ALSO ENHANCED, REACHING 50 TO 60%, OVER SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO, TEXAS, LOUISIANA, AND FLORIDA. THIS IS DRIVEN BY STRONG AGREEMENT
BETWEEN DYNAMICAL MODELS AND HIGHER-PROBABILITY SIGNALS IN THE SHORTER-TERM
WEEK 3-4 FORECASTS.
WHILE DECADAL TRENDS AND CERTAIN TOOLS LIKE THE CFSV2 TILT TOWARD ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF ALASKA, EC IS INDICATED BECAUSE EARLY
TO MID-JANUARY IS FORECAST TO BE AT LEAST SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL, AND SEA ICE IS
PRESENT ALONG THE COAST. SIMILARLY, WHILE LA NINA OFTEN BRINGS BELOW-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS, SOMETIMES INCLUDING THE
NORTHWEST, THE NMME, C3S, AND CFSV2 MONTHLY OUTLOOKS ARE GENERALLY ABOVE-NORMAL
ALONG THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. FURTHERMORE, SHOULD THE MJO BECOME MORE
COHERENT, IT COULD INTRODUCE MORE VARIABILITY, SUCH AS COOLER TEMPERATURES IN
THE WEST, THOUGH THIS INFLUENCE IS CURRENTLY HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. EC IS THUS
FAVORED OVER MUCH OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AS WE CANNOT DISCOUNT THE
POSSIBILITY OF COOLER AIR EXTENDING FURTHER WEST AND SOUTH.
SIMILARLY, MODELS ARE WARM OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS, HOWEVER, IT IS NOT UNHEARD
OF DURING JANUARY AND LA NINA YEARS TO SEE COLD AIR INTRUSIONS REACH FURTHER
SOUTH, AS SUCH WE TILT TOWARD EC OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AND WILL RE-ASSESS IN
THE MONTHLY UPDATE. IN ADDITION, UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH IN THE CENTRAL CONUS IN A
CONSOLIDATION OF STATISTICAL TOOLS (WHICH INCLUDE INFLUENCE OF TREND AND ENSO),
AND NMME, WHICH ADDS TO OUR UNCERTAINTY HERE. FINALLY, GUIDANCE WAS MIXED AND
INCONSISTENT OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND, WHICH ALSO LED TO A TILT
TOWARD EC. BECAUSE THIS LA NINA IS CURRENTLY WEAK, INCREASED VARIABILITY AND
UNCERTAINTY ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME REGIONS, WHICH ALSO SUPPORTS EC.
WHILE SOME REGIONS IN THE JANUARY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK REMAIN UNCERTAIN DUE TO
THE VARIABILITY OF WEAK LA NINA TELECONNECTIONS, THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN IS
MORE CONSISTENT ACROSS VARIOUS TOOLS, CLOSELY RESEMBLING THE EXPECTED LA NINA
SIGNATURE. ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED FOR THE NORTHWEST, NORTHERN
ROCKIES, GREAT LAKES, AND MUCH OF THE OHIO AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS.
WESTERN ALASKA ALSO LEANS ABOVE-NORMAL. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE MORE LIKELY ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST, SOUTHERN PLAINS, AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. A WEAK TILT TOWARD
BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS ALSO INDICATED OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MAINLAND ALASKA AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA. WHILE THE NMME AND C3S FAVOR
BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION UP MUCH OF THE WEST COAST, REACHING INTO THE
NORTHWEST IN SOME MODELS, RECENT FORECASTS FROM CFSV2 TILT ABOVE-NORMAL FOR THE
MONTH OF JANUARY OVER THE NORTHWEST. MOREOVER, WEEK 3 AND WEEK 4 DYNAMICAL
MODELS FORECAST AT LEAST 40 TO 50% CHANCES OF ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER
THE NORTHWEST. AS SUCH, WE HAVE MINIMIZED THE REGION OF BELOW-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FORECAST BY SOME OF THE MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLES, CONFINING IT MORE
TO SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING HOW FAR SOUTH THE
MOISTURE MAY REACH, MUCH OF CALIFORNIA IS DESIGNATED AS EC. ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS ALSO INDICATED FOR THE GREAT LAKES, OHIO VALLEY, AND PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY , WHICH IS A
TYPICAL LA NINA SIGNATURE. THESE TWO AREAS OF ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ARE
CONNECTED BY A WEAK (33 TO 40%) CHANCE OF ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION THAT IS
SUPPORTED BY THE NMME AND C3S. THE BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION FAVORED OVER THE
SOUTHERN TIER IS CONSISTENT WITH MODELS AND LA NINA, THOUGH SOME UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS OVER PARTS OF TEXAS AND LOUISIANA AS IT IS CURRENTLY UNCLEAR HOW FAR
SOUTH ANY ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION MIGHT REACH. FINALLY, OVER ALASKA, DECADAL
TRENDS AND LA NINA SUPPORT THE FORECAST FOR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF THE MAINLAND AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA, WHILE DYNAMICAL MODELS
LIKE THE NMME, C3S, AND CFSV2 FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF THE
WESTERN MAINLAND.
FORECASTER: JOHNNA INFANTI
THE CLIMATIC NORMALS ARE BASED ON CONDITIONS BETWEEN 1991 AND 2020, FOLLOWING
THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION CONVENTION OF USING THE MOST RECENT 3
COMPLETE DECADES AS THE CLIMATE REFERENCE PERIOD. THE PROBABILITY ANOMALIES
FOR TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION BASED ON THESE NEW NORMALS BETTER REPRESENT
SHORTER TERM CLIMATIC ANOMALIES THAN THE FORECASTS BASED ON OLDER NORMALS.
THE NEXT MONTHLY OUTLOOK...FOR FEB ... WILL BE ISSUED ON THU JAN 15 2026
THESE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON DEPARTURES FROM THE 1991-2020 BASE PERIOD.
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