829  
AGUS73 KMSR 231603  
HMDMSR  
 
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
1102 AM CDT TUE OCT 23 2018  
 
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT FLOODING FROM LOCK  
AND DAM 15 (ROCK ISLAND) THOUGH LOCK AND DAM 25 (WINFIELD). ALL  
LOCATIONS HAVE CRESTED, AND TRIBUTARY INFLOWS ARE CONTINUING TO  
RECEDE.  
 
RIVER FORECASTS ROUTINELY INCORPORATE 24 HOURS OF QPF FROM  
APRIL 1 TO SEPTEMBER 30 AND 48 HOURS FROM OCTOBER 1 TO MARCH 31.  
SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC/LMI_QPF_NCRFCCURRENTQPF  
   
..FORECAST ACTIVITY
 
 
RVF FORECASTS ISSUED TODAY. ISSUE TIMES ARE IN UTC.  
SUBTRACT 6 HRS FOR CST, 5 HRS FOR CDT/EST, 4 HRS FOR EDT.  
 
RVF FORECAST GROUP DESCRIPTION ISSUE TIME  
CIW CEDAR/IOWA R BASIN 2018-10-23 15:15 UTC  
DES DES MOINES R BASIN 2018-10-23 14:11 UTC  
EWS ERN WISCONSIN BASINS TO LK MI 2018-10-23 14:00 UTC  
GND GRAND, MUSKEGON/WHITE BASINS, MI 2018-10-23 12:34 UTC  
ILO MAINSTEM ILLINOIS R 2018-10-23 15:38 UTC  
M10 MISS. R - LAKE CITY, MN-L&D 10 2018-10-23 14:22 UTC  
M19 MISS. R - L&D 11-GREGORY LANDING 2018-10-23 15:07 UTC  
MEC MERAMEC R BASIN 2018-10-23 15:09 UTC  
MEN MENOMINEE R - NE WI & U.P. OF MI 2018-10-23 12:42 UTC  
MIN MINNESOTA R ABV SHAKOPEE, MN 2018-10-23 13:48 UTC  
MIS MISS. R - L&D 20 TO CHESTER, IL 2018-10-23 15:44 UTC  
NLM NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN RIVERS 2018-10-23 12:34 UTC  
RCK ROCK R BASIN 2018-10-23 14:05 UTC  
RDW MISSISSIPPI R ABV RED WING, MN 2018-10-23 13:53 UTC  
TIA MISC IOWA TRIBS TO MISS. R 2018-10-23 12:36 UTC  
TMO NE MISSOURI TRIBS TO MISS. R 2018-10-23 14:57 UTC  
UPM UPPER MICHIGAN PENINSULA RIVERS 2018-10-23 14:02 UTC  
WIS WISCONSIN R BASIN 2018-10-23 14:10 UTC  
 
=====================================================================  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD LEVEL (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
M19 KHBI2 KEITHSBURG - MISSISSIPPI R 14.0 17.1  
M19 GLDI2 GLADSTONE - 4WNW - L&D 18 / MISSISSIPPI R 10.0 14.1  
M19 BRLI4 BURLINGTON - MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 18.5  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD LEVEL (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
M19 RCKI2 ROCK ISLAND - L&D 15 - MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 16.7  
M19 ILNI2 ILLINOIS CITY - L&D 16 - MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 16.9  
M19 MUSI4 MUSCATINE - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 18.7  
M19 NBOI2 NEW BOSTON - 4NW - L&D 17 / MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 18.4  
M19 GGYM7 GREGORY LANDING - MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 18.6  
MIS SVRM7 SAVERTON - L&D 22 - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 20.4  
MIS CAGM7 CAP AU GRIS - L&D 25 - MISSISSIPPI R 26.0 31.0  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (FS):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
CIW MROI4 MARENGO - IOWA R 14.0 15.0  
CIW WAPI4 WAPELLO - IOWA R 20.0 20.8  
CIW OKVI4 OAKVILLE - IOWA R 10.0 11.3  
EWS PCNW3 PRINCETON - FOX R 9.5 9.9  
EWS BERW3 BERLIN - FOX R 13.0 13.8  
ILO HARI2 HARDIN - ILLINOIS R 25.0 27.2  
M19 CMMI4 CAMANCHE - MISSISSIPPI R 17.0 17.4  
M19 EOKI4 KEOKUK - L&D 19 - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 17.4  
MEC ARNM7 ARNOLD - 1N - MERAMEC R 24.0 25.2  
MIS CANM7 CANTON - L&D 20 - MISSISSIPPI R 14.0 17.9  
MIS LGRM7 LA GRANGE - MISSISSIPPI R 18.0 18.5  
MIS UINI2 QUINCY - MEMORIAL BR. - MISSISSIPPI R 17.0 20.7  
MIS QLDI2 QUINCY - 3SSW-L&D 21 - MISSISSIPPI R 17.0 19.9  
MIS HNNM7 HANNIBAL - WTP - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 21.1  
MIS LUSM7 LOUISIANA - WTP-(POOL 24 CP)-MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 19.9  
MIS CLKM7 CLARKSVILLE - L&D 24 - MISSISSIPPI R 25.0 30.4  
MIS GRFI2 GRAFTON - (POOL 26 CP) MISSISSIPPI R 18.0 22.4  
MIS ALNI2 ALTON - 2SE- MELVIN PRICE L&D/MISS. R 21.0 22.1  
MIS CHSI2 CHESTER - MISSISSIPPI R 27.0 30.4  
RCK AFTW3 AFTON - 5SW - WWTP & ROCK R 9.0 10.0  
RCK MTNW3 MARTINTOWN - 2E & PECATONICA R 13.5 13.7  
RCK FEEI2 FREEPORT - WWTP - PECATONICA R 13.0 13.6  
RCK SIRI2 SHIRLAND - PECATONICA R 12.0 13.3  
RCK LATI2 LATHAM PARK - ROCK R 10.0 10.2  
RCK JOSI2 JOSLIN - ROCK R 12.0 13.4  
RCK MLII2 MOLINE - ROCK R 12.0 12.0  
TMO OMNM7 OLD MONROE - CUIVRE R 24.0 25.8  
 
SITES WITH FORECASTS BELOW FLOOD STAGE BUT ABOVE A  
USER-DEFINED THRESHOLD (FS=FLOOD STAGE):  
MAX  
RVF NWSLI STATION NAME/RIVER FS FCST  
CIW ALOI4 WATERLOO - CEDAR R 13.0 8.5  
CIW CNEI4 CONESVILLE - 4NE - CEDAR R 13.0 12.7  
CIW IOWI4 IOWA CITY - NO. 2 - IOWA R 22.0 21.0  
CIW LNTI4 LONE TREE - 5SW-TRI COUNTY BRIDGE - IOWA R 15.0 14.3  
CIW CJTI4 COLUMBUS JUNCTION - IOWA R 19.0 18.4  
DES AGNI4 ALGONA - 1NNW - E FK DES MOINES R 17.0 13.3  
DES JCKM5 JACKSON - DES MOINES R 12.0 10.1  
DES ESVI4 ESTHERVILLE - DES MOINES R 8.0 7.7  
DES HBTI4 HUMBOLDT - WTP - DES MOINES R 10.0 8.7  
DES DMOI4 DES MOINES - 2ND AVE - DES MOINES R 23.0 20.0  
DES DESI4 DES MOINES - SE 6TH ST - DES MOINES R 24.0 21.6  
EWS SHIW3 SHIOCTON - WOLF R 11.0 9.7  
EWS NEWW3 NEW LONDON - 2SE - WOLF R 9.0 7.7  
M10 WABM5 WABASHA - (POOL 4 CP) MISSISSIPPI R 12.0 10.8  
M10 WIDM5 WINONA - 3NW-L&D 5A/MISSISSIPPI R 655.0 651.3  
M10 TREW3 TREMPEALEAU - L&D 6 - MISSISSIPPI R 647.0 644.3  
M10 GENW3 GENOA - L&D 8 - MISSISSIPPI R 631.0 629.2  
M10 LNSI4 LANSING - (POOL 9 CP) MISSISSIPPI R 17.0 12.5  
M10 LYNW3 LYNXVILLE - L&D 9 - MISSISSIPPI R 625.0 622.3  
M10 MCGI4 MCGREGOR - NO. 2 - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 15.1  
M10 GTTI4 GUTTENBERG - L&D 10 - MISSISSIPPI R 15.0 13.8  
M19 DBQI4 DUBUQUE - NO.2 - MISSISSIPPI R 17.0 16.7  
M19 FLTI2 FULTON - L&D 13 - MISSISSIPPI R 16.0 15.7  
M19 LECI4 LE CLAIRE - L&D 14/MISSISSIPPI R 11.0 10.8  
MIN HENM5 HENDERSON - MINNESOTA R 732.0 728.6  
MIN JDNM5 JORDAN - MINNESOTA R 25.0 23.4  
RCK WATW3 WATERTOWN - WWTP - ROCK R 5.5 4.2  
RCK MILW3 MILFORD - CRAWFISH R 7.0 6.7  
RCK JFFW3 JEFFERSON - ROCK R 10.0 9.7  
RCK FATW3 FORT ATKINSON - WWTP & ROCK R 16.0 15.9  
RCK ROKI2 ROCKTON - ROCK R 10.0 9.8  
RCK BYRI2 BYRON - ROCK R 13.0 11.4  
RCK DXRI2 DIXON - ROCK RIVER 16.0 13.4  
RCK CMOI2 COMO - ROCK R 12.5 10.2  
RDW DELM5 DELANO - SO FK CROW R 16.5 12.6  
RDW SAVM5 SAVAGE - MINNESOTA R 702.0 700.2  
RDW STLM5 STILLWATER - ST CROIX R 87.0 81.3  
TIA DEWI4 DE WITT - 4S - WAPSIPINICON R 11.0 10.6  
WIS PORW3 PORTAGE - 1SE - WWTP / WISCONSIN R 17.0 13.1  
 
=====================================================================  
   
..PAST PRECIPITATION
 
 
OBSERVATION TIMES ARE IN UTC.  
SUBTRACT 6 HRS FOR CST, 5 HRS FOR CDT/EST, 4 HRS FOR EDT.  
=====================================================================  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF IOWA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM ILLINOIS:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
BMI DH1156/PPDRZ 0.001 : BLOOMINGTON/NORMAL ARPT IL  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF INDIANA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM MICHIGAN:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
MRQM4 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.40 : MARQUETTE WTP MI  
MIMQ18 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.33 : MARQUETTE 1SSW MI  
IHBM4 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.32 : ISHPEMING 7NNE MI  
MIBG03 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.32 : L'ANSE 18SE MI  
MIMQ20 DH1100/PPDRZ 0.31 : MARQUETTE 3SSE MI  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM MINNESOTA:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
SKIM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.05 : SKIBO /RAWS/ MN  
COKM5 DH1100/PPDRZ 0.02 : COOK 8NE MN  
ELYM5 DH1400/PPDRZ 0.02 : ELY USFS MN  
MEAM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.02 : ELY 20NW /MEANDER LK RAWS/ MN  
ISAM5 DH1200/PPDRG 0.01 : ISABELLA 3W (RAWS) MN  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF MISSOURI DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF NORTH DAKOTA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
NO MEASUREABLE PRECIPITATION REPORTED WITHIN THE NCRFC AREA  
OF SOUTH DAKOTA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.  
 
TOP DAILY PRECIPITATION REPORTS GREATER THAN ZERO FROM WISCONSIN:  
LID OBTIME/SHEF VALUE NAME / DETAIL STATE  
WIIR02 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.21 : MERCER 2SE WI  
HURW3 DH1300/PPDRZ 0.13 : HURLEY 2N WI  
WIIR03 DH1200/PPDRZ 0.11 : PENCE WI  
WIVL09 DH1235/PPDRZ 0.05 : LAND O' LAKES 12W WI  
LNOW3 DH1234/PPDRZ 0.05 : LAND O' LAKES 12W WI  
 
=====================================================================  
 
SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC/LMI_QCPCPN FOR ALL REPORTS.  
 
 
FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER  
FORECASTS, PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION  
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY, PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC  
WEB PAGE AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC  
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
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