715  
FGAK58 PACR 111934  
CRFAJK  
CONTINGENCY RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER; ANCHORAGE AK  
1034 AM AKST WED FEB 11 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER, AND USES HYPOTHETICAL PRECIPITATION FORECASTS  
FOR CONTINGENCY SCENARIOS. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE  
ONLY ISSUED BY NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS AJK  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 48-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:SITUK RIVER NEAR YAKUTAT, AK - SITUK RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 70.50 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 71.50 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE73.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE NA  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 66.88 FT AT 0930 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER SRYA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 66.87 / 66.84  
.E2 : 0212 : / 66.81 / 66.79 / 66.73 / 66.72  
.E3 : 0213 : / 66.71 / 66.70 / 66.69 / 66.70  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:CHILKAT RIVER AT KLUKWAN, AK - CHILKAT RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 125.50 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 126.00 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAG129.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 130.50 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 120.57 FT AT 0700 AM AKST ON FEB 09  
 
.ER CKTA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : /120.54 /120.54  
.E2 : 0212 : /120.54 /120.53 /120.53 /120.52  
.E3 : 0213 : /120.52 /120.51 /120.51 /120.51  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:TAIYA RIVER NEAR SKAGWAY, AK - TAIYA  
:ACTION STAGE 16.00 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.50 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE18.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE NA  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.86 FT AT 1000 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER TYAA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 11.84 / 11.83  
.E2 : 0212 : / 11.82 / 11.79 / 11.79 / 11.79  
.E3 : 0213 : / 11.79 / 11.79 / 11.78 / 11.76  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:MONTANA CREEK AT BACK LOOP BRIDGE, AK - MONTANA CREEK  
:ACTION STAGE 14.00 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 14.50 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE17.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.50 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.85 FT AT 0900 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER MCAA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 11.07 / 10.94  
.E2 : 0212 : / 10.78 / 10.66 / 10.65 / 10.63  
.E3 : 0213 : / 10.62 / 10.61 / 10.57 / 10.56  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:MENDENHALL LAKE , AK - MENDENHALL LAKE  
:ACTION STAGE 8.00 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 9.00 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE10.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 14.00 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.86 FT AT 1000 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER MNDA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 1.85 / 1.85  
.E2 : 0212 : / 1.85 / 1.85 / 1.89 / 1.95  
.E3 : 0213 : / 1.98 / 2.03 / 2.07 / 2.06  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:JORDAN CREEK NEAR JUNEAU, AK - JORDAN CREEK  
:ACTION STAGE 9.20 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 9.70 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE10.50 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE NA  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.43 FT AT 1000 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER JRDA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 8.51 / 8.50  
.E2 : 0212 : / 8.48 / 8.50 / 8.62 / 8.74  
.E3 : 0213 : / 8.87 / 8.96 / 9.00 / 8.97  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:TAKU RIVER NEAR JUNEAU, AK - TAKU RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 42.00 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 43.00 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE44.00 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 46.00 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 31.48 FT AT 1000 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER TKUA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 31.48 / 31.48  
.E2 : 0212 : / 31.46 / 31.41 / 31.36 / 31.33  
.E3 : 0213 : / 31.30 / 31.28 / 31.25 / 31.26  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:STANEY CREEK NEAR KLAWOCK, AK - STANEY CREEK  
:ACTION STAGE 15.00 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.50 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE17.50 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE NA  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.67 FT AT 0930 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER SCKA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HGIFA/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 10.96 / 10.83  
.E2 : 0212 : / 11.14 / 12.23 / 11.65 / 11.11  
.E3 : 0213 : / 10.75 / 10.53 / 10.37 / 10.23  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:************************************************************  
:KETCHIKAN LAKE, AK - KETCHIKAN CREEK  
:ACTION STAGE 348.0 FT MINOR FLOOD STAGE 349.0 FT  
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE350.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 354.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST POOL ELEVATION 346.1 FT AT 1000 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
.ER KDLA2 0212 Z DC202602111934/DH00/HPIFA/DIH6  
:FLOW FORECAST / 12Z/ 18Z/ 0Z/ 6Z  
.E1 : 0211 : / 346.2 / 346.4  
.E2 : 0212 : / 346.6 / 346.7 / 346.8 / 346.9  
.E3 : 0213 : / 346.9 / 346.8 / 346.7 / 346.6  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:IRVA2, AK - INDIAN RIVER  
:ACTION STAGE 24.50 FT FLOOD STAGE 25.50 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE ${MISSING} MAJOR STAGE ${MISSING}  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 21.70 FT AT 1015 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
:RIVER FORECAST  
.ER IRVA2 0211 Z DC202602111800/ DH19/HGIFA/DIH1  
.E1 :02/11 18-00: / 21.72 / 21.65 / 21.61 / 21.57 / 21.55  
 
.E2 :02/12 00-06:/ 21.53 / 21.49 / 21.46 / 21.45 / 21.42 / 21.41  
 
.E3 :02/12 06-12:/ 21.40 / 21.40 / 21.39 / 21.39 / 21.39 / 21.39  
 
.E4 :02/12 12-18:/ 21.40 / 21.46 / 21.53 / 21.55 / 21.62 / 21.63  
 
.E5 :02/12 18-00:/ 21.58 / 21.59 / 21.72 / 22.03 / 22.36 / 22.61  
 
.E6 :02/13 00-06:/ 22.94 / 23.28 / 22.98 / 22.72 / 22.53 / 22.25  
 
.E7 :02/13 06-12:/ 21.91 / 21.66 / 21.57 / 21.53 / 21.51 / 21.48  
 
.E8 :02/13 12-18:/ 21.46 / 21.44 / 21.43 / 21.41 / 21.37 / 21.36  
 
.E9 :02/13 18-00:/ 21.34 / 21.34 / 21.32 / 21.31 / 21.31 / 21.29  
 
.E10 :02/14 00-06:/ 21.28 / 21.28 / 21.26 / 21.23 / 21.22 / 21.21  
 
.E11 :02/14 06-07:/ 21.21  
 
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:FLSA2, AK - FALLS CREEK  
:ACTION STAGE 21.50 FT FLOOD STAGE 22.50 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 24.00 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.00 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 18.83 FT AT 0906 AM AKST ON FEB 11  
 
:RIVER FORECAST  
.ER FLSA2 0211 Z DC202602111800/ DH19/HGIFA/DIH1  
.E1 :02/11 18-00: / 18.89 / 18.97 / 19.19 / 19.28 / 19.35  
 
.E2 :02/12 00-06:/ 19.33 / 19.30 / 19.25 / 19.20 / 19.12 / 19.06  
 
.E3 :02/12 06-12:/ 19.00 / 18.98 / 18.95 / 18.91 / 18.88 / 18.89  
 
.E4 :02/12 12-18:/ 18.91 / 18.93 / 18.95 / 18.98 / 19.00 / 19.04  
 
.E5 :02/12 18-00:/ 19.06 / 19.13 / 19.20 / 19.33 / 19.39 / 19.48  
 
.E6 :02/13 00-06:/ 19.51 / 19.59 / 19.69 / 19.77 / 19.86 / 19.88  
 
.E7 :02/13 06-12:/ 19.90 / 19.88 / 19.84 / 19.82 / 19.75 / 19.69  
 
.E8 :02/13 12-18:/ 19.64 / 19.60 / 19.54 / 19.43 / 19.38 / 19.32  
 
.E9 :02/13 18-00:/ 19.27 / 19.25 / 19.19 / 19.15 / 19.13 / 19.08  
 
.E10 :02/14 00-06:/ 19.05 / 19.03 / 19.04 / 19.03 / 19.02 / 19.01  
 
.E11 :02/14 06-07:/ 19.00  
 
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
 
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
 
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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