730
FGUS51 KTAR 262056
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
0354 PM EST WED NOV 26 2025
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.8 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER ATTN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 3.8 / 3.7
.E2 :1127: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5
.E3 :1128: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5
.E4 :1129: / 3.5 / 3.5
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.9 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER BTVN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 2.0 / 1.9
.E2 :1127: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E3 :1128: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9
.E4 :1129: / 1.9 / 1.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.4 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER RAPN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 1.4 / 1.5
.E2 :1127: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.6 / 1.6
.E3 :1128: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6
.E4 :1129: / 1.6 / 1.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.04/ 0.18/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.5 FT AT NOV-26 0315 PM
.ER GOWN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 2.4 / 2.6
.E2 :1127: / 2.6 / 2.4 / 2.2 / 2.1
.E3 :1128: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.8
.E4 :1129: / 1.8 / 1.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.19/ 0.17/ 0.20/ 0.24/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.2 FT AT NOV-26 0315 PM
.ER GDVN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 1.4 / 1.5
.E2 :1127: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.1 / 1.0
.E3 :1128: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0
.E4 :1129: / 1.0 / 1.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.17/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.14/ 0.14/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.6 FT AT NOV-26 0330 PM
.ER LCSN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 3.7 / 3.7
.E2 :1127: / 3.9 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1
.E3 :1128: / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.5
.E4 :1129: / 3.5 / 3.4
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.19/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.7 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER EBZN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 3.7 / 3.8
.E2 :1127: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.4
.E3 :1128: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.0
.E4 :1129: / 3.0 / 2.9
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.19/ 0.13/ 0.07/ 0.16/ 0.18/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/
:
:************************************************************
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.1 FT AT NOV-26 0315 PM
.ER WILN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 2.2 / 2.3
.E2 :1127: / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.6
.E3 :1128: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3
.E4 :1129: / 2.2 / 2.2
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.04/ 0.16/ 0.20/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.9 FT AT NOV-26 0245 PM
.ER WLLN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 5.0 / 4.9
.E2 :1127: / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.5
.E3 :1128: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E4 :1129: / 4.5 / 4.5
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.2 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER PRTN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 9.4 / 9.6
.E2 :1127: / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.4 / 9.3
.E3 :1128: / 9.2 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1
.E4 :1129: / 9.0 / 9.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 587.0 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER MMDN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 586.9 / 586.9
.E2 :1127: / 586.9 / 586.9 / 586.9 / 586.9
.E3 :1128: / 586.9 / 586.9 / 586.9 / 586.9
.E4 :1129: / 586.9 / 586.9
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 15.3 FT AT NOV-26 0315 PM
.ER AVON6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 15.2 / 15.3
.E2 :1127: / 15.5 / 15.8 / 16.4 / 16.8
.E3 :1128: / 17.0 / 16.9 / 16.6 / 16.3
.E4 :1129: / 16.0 / 15.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER GRBN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 2.3 / 2.4
.E2 :1127: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4
.E3 :1128: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4
.E4 :1129: / 2.4 / 2.4
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.5 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER CHRN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 1.5 / 1.5
.E2 :1127: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5
.E3 :1128: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5
.E4 :1129: / 1.5 / 1.5
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.5 FT AT NOV-26 0700 AM
.ER RHRN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 5.3 / 5.2
.E2 :1127: / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.4
.E3 :1128: / 5.5 / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.5
.E4 :1129: / 5.4 / 5.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT NOV-26 0330 PM
.ER HNYN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 2.3 / 2.4
.E2 :1127: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E3 :1128: / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3
.E4 :1129: / 2.3 / 2.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 686.7 FT AT NOV-26 0315 PM
.ER CNDN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 686.7 / 686.7
.E2 :1127: / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7
.E3 :1128: / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7
.E4 :1129: / 686.7 / 686.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT NOV-26 0330 PM
.ER CPNN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 3.3 / 3.3
.E2 :1127: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E3 :1128: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E4 :1129: / 3.3 / 3.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
:
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.7 FT AT NOV-26 0300 PM
.ER BOON6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 4.8 / 4.9
.E2 :1127: / 5.0 / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.1
.E3 :1128: / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8
.E4 :1129: / 4.8 / 4.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.4 FT AT NOV-26 0330 PM
.ER MCKN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 3.5 / 3.7
.E2 :1127: / 3.9 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0
.E3 :1128: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7
.E4 :1129: / 3.7 / 3.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.1 FT AT NOV-26 0330 PM
.ER ARTN6 20251126 E DC202511261554/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 :1126: / 4.4 / 4.5
.E2 :1127: / 4.6 / 4.7 / 4.8 / 4.8
.E3 :1128: / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8
.E4 :1129: / 4.8 / 4.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.24/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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