173  
FGUS51 KTAR 240132  
RVFBUF  
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA  
0932 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
:  
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER ATTN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 4.2  
.E2 :0524: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7  
.E3 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6  
.E4 :0526: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER BTVN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 2.4  
.E2 :0524: / 2.6 / 2.8 / 2.9 / 2.8  
.E3 :0525: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E4 :0526: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.14/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.4 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER RAPN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 2.4  
.E2 :0524: / 2.6 / 2.8 / 3.1 / 3.4  
.E3 :0525: / 3.6 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8  
.E4 :0526: / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.7 FT AT MAY-23 0915 PM  
.ER GOWN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 2.7  
.E2 :0524: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E3 :0525: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3  
.E4 :0526: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.3 FT AT MAY-23 0915 PM  
.ER GDVN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 2.2  
.E2 :0524: / 2.3 / 2.0 / 1.8 / 1.7  
.E3 :0525: / 1.9 / 2.1 / 1.9 / 1.7  
.E4 :0526: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.3 FT AT MAY-23 0830 PM  
.ER LCSN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 5.1  
.E2 :0524: / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6  
.E3 :0525: / 4.6 / 4.7 / 4.5 / 4.5  
.E4 :0526: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.9 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER EBZN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 3.9  
.E2 :0524: / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.4  
.E3 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5  
.E4 :0526: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.1 FT AT MAY-23 0915 PM  
.ER WILN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 3.1  
.E2 :0524: / 3.4 / 3.7 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E3 :0525: / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4  
.E4 :0526: / 3.3 / 3.1 / 3.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.13/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.9 FT AT MAY-23 0845 PM  
.ER WLLN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 5.8  
.E2 :0524: / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.5 / 5.4  
.E3 :0525: / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.3  
.E4 :0526: / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 10.2 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER PRTN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 10.4  
.E2 :0524: / 10.7 / 10.8 / 10.7 / 10.6  
.E3 :0525: / 10.5 / 10.5 / 10.5 / 10.4  
.E4 :0526: / 10.3 / 10.2 / 10.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 594.2 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER MMDN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 596.2  
.E2 :0524: / 599.4 / 603.0 / 606.1 / 607.0  
.E3 :0525: / 607.0 / 606.0 / 600.9 / 593.5  
.E4 :0526: / 593.0 / 592.4 / 591.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.17/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 18.5 FT AT MAY-23 0915 PM  
.ER AVON6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 19.3  
.E2 :0524: / 20.5 / 21.6 / 22.3 / 22.8  
.E3 :0525: / 23.3 / 23.6 / 23.7 / 23.7  
.E4 :0526: / 23.4 / 22.9 / 22.4  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.13/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.2 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER GRBN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 3.5  
.E2 :0524: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E3 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7  
.E4 :0526: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.18/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.8 FT AT MAY-23 0900 PM  
.ER CHRN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 3.0  
.E2 :0524: / 3.3 / 3.6 / 3.8 / 4.1  
.E3 :0525: / 4.4 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4  
.E4 :0526: / 4.2 / 4.0 / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.24/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.5 FT AT MAY-23 0800 AM  
.ER RHRN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 7.2  
.E2 :0524: / 8.0 / 8.8 / 9.4 / 9.8  
.E3 :0525: / 10.1 / 10.4 / 10.6 / 10.6  
.E4 :0526: / 10.3 / 9.9 / 9.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.23/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.7 FT AT MAY-23 0830 PM  
.ER HNYN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 3.9  
.E2 :0524: / 4.2 / 4.4 / 4.5 / 4.4  
.E3 :0525: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0  
.E4 :0526: / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.17/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 688.7 FT AT MAY-23 0915 PM  
.ER CNDN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 688.7  
.E2 :0524: / 688.7 / 688.8 / 688.8 / 688.8  
.E3 :0525: / 688.8 / 688.8 / 688.8 / 688.8  
.E4 :0526: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.15/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAY-23 0830 PM  
.ER CPNN6 20260524 E DC202605232132/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0523: / 4.5  
.E2 :0524: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0  
.E3 :0525: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0  
.E4 :0526: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  

 
:NERFC  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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