576  
FGUS51 KTAR 250104  
RVFBUF  
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA  
0904 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2026  
:  
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.  
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.8 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER ATTN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 4.1  
.E2 :0525: / 4.9 / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.0  
.E3 :0526: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7  
.E4 :0527: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.59/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.0 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER BTVN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 3.2  
.E2 :0525: / 3.5 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6  
.E3 :0526: / 3.4 / 3.2 / 3.0 / 2.9  
.E4 :0527: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.53/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.8 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER RAPN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 4.9  
.E2 :0525: / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.0  
.E3 :0526: / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8  
.E4 :0527: / 4.5 / 4.2 / 3.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.24/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 2.7 FT AT MAY-24 0815 PM  
.ER GOWN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 3.4  
.E2 :0525: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8  
.E3 :0526: / 3.7 / 3.3 / 3.0 / 2.8  
.E4 :0527: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.52/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.8 FT AT MAY-24 0815 PM  
.ER GDVN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 1.9  
.E2 :0525: / 3.7 / 2.9 / 2.6 / 2.4  
.E3 :0526: / 2.2 / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.8  
.E4 :0527: / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.55/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.3 FT AT MAY-24 0830 PM  
.ER LCSN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 4.6  
.E2 :0525: / 5.5 / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.7  
.E3 :0526: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4  
.E4 :0527: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.50/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER EBZN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 5.0  
.E2 :0525: / 5.4 / 5.2 / 4.8 / 4.5  
.E3 :0526: / 4.3 / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6  
.E4 :0527: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.53/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.0 FT AT MAY-24 0815 PM  
.ER WILN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 5.1  
.E2 :0525: / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.4  
.E3 :0526: / 4.2 / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6  
.E4 :0527: / 3.4 / 3.2 / 3.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.32/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.2 FT AT MAY-24 0845 PM  
.ER WLLN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 5.6  
.E2 :0525: / 6.5 / 6.7 / 6.5 / 6.4  
.E3 :0526: / 6.2 / 6.0 / 5.9 / 5.8  
.E4 :0527: / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.5  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.51/ 0.31/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 10.5 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER PRTN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 10.6  
.E2 :0525: / 11.3 / 11.5 / 11.8 / 11.8  
.E3 :0526: / 11.6 / 11.4 / 11.2 / 11.0  
.E4 :0527: / 10.9 / 10.8 / 10.7  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.47/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 607.3 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER MMDN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6  
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 606.9  
.E2 :0525: / 606.5 / 608.4 / 611.2 / 614.0  
.E3 :0526: / 616.4 / 617.9 / 618.9 / 619.4  
.E4 :0527: / 619.5 / 619.4 / 618.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.44/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 22.9 FT AT MAY-24 0815 PM  
.ER AVON6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 23.5  
.E2 :0525: / 24.3 / 25.2 / 25.8 / 25.9  
.E3 :0526: / 25.8 / 25.6 / 25.5 / 25.3  
.E4 :0527: / 25.2 / 25.1 / 25.0  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.34/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION  
:************************************************************  
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.6 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER GRBN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 3.7  
.E2 :0525: / 3.9 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0  
.E3 :0526: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7  
.E4 :0527: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.3  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.43/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.3 FT AT MAY-24 0800 PM  
.ER CHRN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 3.9  
.E2 :0525: / 4.2 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.2  
.E3 :0526: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6  
.E4 :0527: / 3.5 / 3.3 / 3.1  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.24/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:************************************************************  
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 7.7 FT AT MAY-24 0800 AM  
.ER RHRN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 9.7  
.E2 :0525: / 10.3 / 11.0 / 11.5 / 11.7  
.E3 :0526: / 11.8 / 11.7 / 11.4 / 10.8  
.E4 :0527: / 10.3 / 10.0 / 9.9  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.20/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:************************************************************  
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY  
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT  
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAY-24 0830 PM  
.ER HNYN6 20260525 E DC202605242104/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6  
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM  
.E1 :0524: / 4.3  
.E2 :0525: / 4.4 / 4.6 / 4.7 / 4.6  
.E3 :0526: / 4.5 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1  
.E4 :0527: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8  
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP  
: 0.30/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/  
:  
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
:  
 
:NERFC  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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