894
FGUS51 KTAR 130342
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1141 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.9 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER BTVN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.9
.E2 :0313: / 4.5 / 4.2 / 3.9 / 3.8
.E3 :0314: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 4.0 / 4.3
.E4 :0315: / 4.1 / 3.9 / 3.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.20/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.6 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER RAPN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 6.6
.E2 :0313: / 6.4 / 6.3 / 6.4 / 6.6
.E3 :0314: / 6.9 / 7.2 / 7.5 / 7.5
.E4 :0315: / 7.4 / 7.0 / 6.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.23/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.12/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.6 FT AT MAR-12 1115 PM
.ER GOWN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.4
.E2 :0313: / 3.8 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 4.0
.E3 :0314: / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.3
.E4 :0315: / 3.1 / 3.0 / 3.1
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.19/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.7 FT AT MAR-12 1130 PM
.ER LCSN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.6
.E2 :0313: / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.6 / 5.3
.E3 :0314: / 5.2 / 4.9 / 4.7 / 4.7
.E4 :0315: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.21/ 0.16/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.8 FT AT MAR-12 1115 PM
.ER WILN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.8
.E2 :0313: / 4.6 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1
.E3 :0314: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9
.E4 :0315: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.22/ 0.14/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.9 FT AT MAR-12 1045 PM
.ER WLLN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 5.8
.E2 :0313: / 5.8 / 5.7 / 6.0 / 6.2
.E3 :0314: / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.0 / 5.9
.E4 :0315: / 5.9 / 5.8 / 6.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.17/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 11.9 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER PRTN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 11.8
.E2 :0313: / 11.7 / 11.6 / 11.6 / 12.1
.E3 :0314: / 12.0 / 11.9 / 11.8 / 11.6
.E4 :0315: / 11.5 / 11.4 / 11.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 654.7 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER MMDN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 655.0
.E2 :0313: / 655.0 / 654.9 / 654.7 / 654.6
.E3 :0314: / 654.6 / 654.8 / 654.9 / 654.9
.E4 :0315: / 654.7 / 654.5 / 654.2
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 29.2 FT AT MAR-12 1115 PM
.ER AVON6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 29.2
.E2 :0313: / 29.4 / 29.5 / 29.6 / 29.7
.E3 :0314: / 29.9 / 30.1 / 30.1 / 30.1
.E4 :0315: / 30.0 / 29.8 / 29.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.15/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.1 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER GRBN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.2
.E2 :0313: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E3 :0314: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2
.E4 :0315: / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.4 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER CHRN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 3.6
.E2 :0313: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8
.E3 :0314: / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5
.E4 :0315: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.6 FT AT MAR-12 1030 PM
.ER HNYN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 4.5
.E2 :0313: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3
.E3 :0314: / 4.4 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4
.E4 :0315: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 8.7 FT AT MAR-12 1100 PM
.ER BOON6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 8.7
.E2 :0313: / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.3 / 8.1
.E3 :0314: / 7.8 / 7.5 / 7.2 / 7.0
.E4 :0315: / 6.8 / 6.6 / 6.4
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.33/ 0.37/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.9 FT AT MAR-12 1030 PM
.ER MCKN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 9.8
.E2 :0313: / 9.4 / 9.0 / 8.6 / 8.2
.E3 :0314: / 7.8 / 7.5 / 7.1 / 6.8
.E4 :0315: / 6.5 / 6.2 / 6.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.23/ 0.31/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.8 FT AT MAR-12 1030 PM
:CREST NEAR 10.2 FT AROUND 8PM EDT ON 03/13/2026
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11AM EDT ON 03/14/2026
:
.ER ARTN6 20260313 E DC202603122341/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0312: / 10.1
.E2 :0313: / 10.1 / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2
.E3 :0314: / 10.1 / 10.0 / 9.8 / 9.6
.E4 :0315: / 9.4 / 9.1 / 8.9
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.25/ 0.28/ 0.16/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.03/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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