623
FGUS51 KTAR 091602
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1202 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - ATTICA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.3 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER ATTN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0
.E2 :0310: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 4.1 / 4.2
.E3 :0311: / 4.3 / 4.6 / 5.1 / 5.3
.E4 :0312: / 5.2
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.22/ 0.44/ 0.26/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - BATAVIA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.8 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER BTVN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 5.5 / 4.9 / 4.4
.E2 :0310: / 4.0 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4
.E3 :0311: / 3.4 / 3.6 / 3.8 / 4.3
.E4 :0312: / 5.4
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.22/ 0.41/ 0.25/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:TONAWANDA CREEK - RAPIDS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 9.8 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5AM EDT ON 03/10/2026
:CREST NEAR 12.0 FT AROUND 8AM EDT ON 03/10/2026
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11AM EDT ON 03/10/2026
:
.ER RAPN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 10.3 / 10.9 / 11.6
.E2 :0310: / 12.0 / 11.2 / 10.0 / 9.0
.E3 :0311: / 8.3 / 7.8 / 7.6 / 7.6
.E4 :0312: / 7.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.27/ 0.40/ 0.18/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:CATTARAUGUS CREEK - GOWANDA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAR-09 1115 AM
.ER GOWN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.9
.E2 :0310: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.2
.E3 :0311: / 4.3 / 4.5 / 5.6 / 6.9
.E4 :0312: / 7.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.15/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.25/ 0.47/ 0.26/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:BUFFALO CREEK - GARDENVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 1.9 FT AT MAR-09 1115 AM
.ER GDVN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 1.8 / 1.6 / 1.5
.E2 :0310: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.7 / 2.0
.E3 :0311: / 2.2 / 2.7 / 3.4 / 3.8
.E4 :0312: / 3.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.28/ 0.49/ 0.25/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:CAYUGA CREEK - LANCASTER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.6 FT AT MAR-09 1130 AM
:CREST NEAR 6.8 FT AROUND 2AM EDT ON 03/12/2026
.ER LCSN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E2 :0310: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.5 / 4.7
.E3 :0311: / 4.8 / 5.1 / 6.0 / 6.8
.E4 :0312: / 6.1
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.27/ 0.46/ 0.23/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:CAZENOVIA CREEK - EBENEZER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.1 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER EBZN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8
.E2 :0310: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 4.0 / 4.3
.E3 :0311: / 4.5 / 4.9 / 7.7 / 7.9
.E4 :0312: / 6.6
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.31/ 0.53/ 0.24/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:ELLICOTT CREEK - WILLIAMSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 3.7 FT AT MAR-09 1115 AM
.ER WILN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.2
.E2 :0310: / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.8
.E3 :0311: / 2.9 / 3.0 / 3.4 / 3.7
.E4 :0312: / 4.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.12/ 0.28/ 0.43/ 0.19/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - WELLSVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.5 FT AT MAR-09 1145 AM
.ER WLLN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 6.5 / 6.3 / 6.2
.E2 :0310: / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9
.E3 :0311: / 5.9 / 5.9 / 6.2 / 6.7
.E4 :0312: / 7.0
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.22/ 0.27/ 0.03/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - PORTAGEVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 12.7 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER PRTN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 12.3 / 12.0 / 11.9
.E2 :0310: / 11.7 / 11.6 / 11.4 / 11.3
.E3 :0311: / 11.2 / 11.3 / 11.4 / 11.8
.E4 :0312: / 12.3
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.14/ 0.32/ 0.26/ 0.02/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - MOUNT MORRIS DAM, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 760.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 652.7 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER MMDN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 653.2 / 653.7 / 653.9
.E2 :0310: / 654.0 / 653.9 / 653.7 / 653.4
.E3 :0311: / 653.0 / 652.7 / 652.3 / 652.1
.E4 :0312: / 652.2
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.12/ 0.34/ 0.28/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - AVON, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 28.9 FT AT MAR-09 1115 AM
.ER AVON6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 28.8 / 28.9 / 29.0
.E2 :0310: / 29.1 / 29.0 / 29.0 / 28.9
.E3 :0311: / 29.0 / 29.1 / 29.3 / 29.8
.E4 :0312: / 30.4
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.12/ 0.34/ 0.27/ 0.01/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:OATKA CREEK - GARBUTT, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 5.6 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER GRBN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.2
.E2 :0310: / 5.1 / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.8
.E3 :0311: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.8 / 5.0
.E4 :0312: / 5.1
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.17/ 0.38/ 0.26/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK CREEK - CHURCHVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.2 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER CHRN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E2 :0310: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 3.9
.E3 :0311: / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.4
.E4 :0312: / 3.5
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.37/ 0.22/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:GENESEE RIVER - ROCHESTER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 11.9 FT AT MAR-09 0800 AM
.ER RHRN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 11.4 / 11.2 / 11.0
.E2 :0310: / 10.9 / 10.7 / 10.6 / 10.4
.E3 :0311: / 10.3 / 10.2 / 10.4 / 10.9
.E4 :0312: / 11.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.15/ 0.38/ 0.29/ 0.02/
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS
:NATURAL FLOW.
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:HONEOYE CREEK - HONEOYE FALLS, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 6.5 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.5 FT AT MAR-09 1130 AM
.ER HNYN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2
.E2 :0310: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0
.E3 :0311: / 4.0 / 4.1 / 4.2 / 4.4
.E4 :0312: / 4.7
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.30/ 0.24/ 0.02/
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS
:NATURAL FLOW.
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:CANANDAIGUA LAKE - CANANDAIGUA, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 690.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 688.7 FT AT MAR-09 1115 AM
.ER CNDN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7
.E2 :0310: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7
.E3 :0311: / 688.8 / 688.8 / 688.8 / 688.9
.E4 :0312: / 688.9
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.24/ 0.20/ 0.02/
:
:************************************************************
:CANANDAIGUA OUTLET - CHAPIN, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 4.0 FT AT MAR-09 1130 AM
.ER CPNN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0
.E2 :0310: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0
.E3 :0311: / 4.0 / 4.1 / 4.3 / 4.4
.E4 :0312: / 4.5
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
:
:
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - BOONVILLE, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.8 FT AT MAR-09 1100 AM
.ER BOON6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 6.3 / 6.1 / 5.9
.E2 :0310: / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.8 / 6.0
.E3 :0311: / 6.5 / 7.1 / 7.8 / 8.5
.E4 :0312: / 9.1
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.18/ 0.41/ 0.41/ 0.16/
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS
:NATURAL FLOW.
:************************************************************
:MOOSE RIVER - MCKEEVER, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.8 FT AT MAR-09 1130 AM
.ER MCKN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.3
.E2 :0310: / 5.3 / 5.4 / 5.6 / 5.8
.E3 :0311: / 6.1 / 6.4 / 7.0 / 8.4
.E4 :0312: / 9.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.39/ 0.38/ 0.15/
:STAGE READING IS AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS
:NATURAL FLOW.
:************************************************************
:BLACK RIVER - WATERTOWN, NY
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT
:LATEST OBSERVED VALUE - 6.7 FT AT MAR-09 1130 AM
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5AM EDT ON 03/12/2026
.ER ARTN6 20260309 E DC202603091202/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM
.E1 :0309: / 6.8 / 6.9 / 7.0
.E2 :0310: / 7.1 / 7.3 / 7.5 / 7.8
.E3 :0311: / 8.1 / 8.4 / 8.9 / 9.7
.E4 :0312: / 10.8
: LOCAL QPF - 6 HR TIMESTEP
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.17/ 0.52/ 0.57/ 0.12/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE...
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