570  
FGUS53 KMSR 171931  
RVFMEC  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN  
227 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026  
 
: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER  
: FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
:  
: FORECAST GROUP IS MEC  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, SLLM7  
:SULLIVAN 4SE, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 9.0 FTMINOR STAGE 11.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 20.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 29.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 6.0 FT AT 1829 Z ON APR 17  
.AR :CREST: SLLM7 0419 Z DC202604171927/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 10.9  
:CREST NEAR 10.9 FT AROUND 18 Z ON SUN, APR 19  
.ER SLLM7 0418 Z DC202604171927/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0417 : / 5.9 / 6.0  
.E2 : 0418 : / 6.8 / 8.0 / 9.3 / 10.3  
.E3 : 0419 : / 10.7 / 10.9 / 10.8 / 10.5  
.E4 : 0420 : / 10.0 / 9.3 / 8.6 / 8.0  
.E5 : 0421 : / 7.6 / 7.2 / 6.8 / 6.6  
.E6 : 0422 : / 6.4 / 6.2 / 6.1 / 5.9  
.E7 : 0423 : / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.5  
.E8 : 0424 : / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2  
.E9 : 0425 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0  
.E10 : 0426 : / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.8  
.E11 : 0427 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6  
.E12 : 0428 : / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5  
.E13 : 0429 : / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3  
.E14 : 0430 : / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E15 : 0501 : / 4.2 / 4.2  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0417 / 0.02 / 0.54  
: 0418 / 0.57 / 0.00  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON APR 18 IS 1.13 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
: RISE IS QPF BASED.  
 
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, VLLM7  
:VALLEY PARK, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 11.0 FTMINOR STAGE 18.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 21.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 5.1 FT AT 1900 Z ON APR 17  
.AR :CREST: VLLM7 0421 Z DC202604171927/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 13.0  
:CREST NEAR 13.0 FT AROUND 18 Z ON TUE, APR 21  
.ER VLLM7 0418 Z DC202604171927/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0417 : / 5.8 / 6.6  
.E2 : 0418 : / 7.5 / 8.4 / 9.3 / 9.9  
.E3 : 0419 : / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2  
.E4 : 0420 : / 10.4 / 10.8 / 11.5 / 12.3  
.E5 : 0421 : / 12.8 / 13.0 / 12.9 / 12.7  
.E6 : 0422 : / 12.1 / 11.1 / 10.2 / 9.4  
.E7 : 0423 : / 8.8 / 8.1 / 7.4 / 6.9  
.E8 : 0424 : / 6.4 / 6.0 / 5.7 / 5.3  
.E9 : 0425 : / 5.1 / 4.8 / 4.5 / 4.3  
.E10 : 0426 : / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5  
.E11 : 0427 : / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.0 / 2.9  
.E12 : 0428 : / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5  
.E13 : 0429 : / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2  
.E14 : 0430 : / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7  
.E15 : 0501 : / 1.5 / 1.4  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0417 / 0.00 / 0.39  
: 0418 / 0.43 / 0.00  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON APR 18 IS 0.82 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:RISE IS BASED ON BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, ARNM7  
:ARNOLD 1N, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 22.0 FTMINOR STAGE 24.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 35.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 19.7 FT AT 1900 Z ON APR 17  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15 Z ON 04/20/2026  
.AR :CREST: ARNM7 0422 Z DC202604171927/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 26.5  
:CREST NEAR 26.5 FT AROUND 06 Z ON WED, APR 22  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 04/24/2026  
.ER ARNM7 0418 Z DC202604171927/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0417 : / 19.9 / 20.2  
.E2 : 0418 : / 20.5 / 20.8 / 21.2 / 21.6  
.E3 : 0419 : / 22.0 / 22.6 / 23.1 / 23.5  
.E4 : 0420 : / 23.8 / 24.1 / 24.6 / 25.2  
.E5 : 0421 : / 25.7 / 26.1 / 26.3 / 26.5  
.E6 : 0422 : / 26.5 / 26.3 / 26.1 / 25.7  
.E7 : 0423 : / 25.2 / 24.8 / 24.4 / 24.1  
.E8 : 0424 : / 23.7 / 23.3 / 22.9 / 22.4  
.E9 : 0425 : / 21.9 / 21.5 / 21.2 / 20.9  
.E10 : 0426 : / 20.6 / 20.4 / 20.2 / 20.0  
.E11 : 0427 : / 19.9 / 19.8 / 19.7 / 19.6  
.E12 : 0428 : / 19.5 / 19.4 / 19.4 / 19.3  
.E13 : 0429 : / 19.2 / 19.1 / 19.0 / 18.9  
.E14 : 0430 : / 18.8 / 18.7 / 18.5 / 18.4  
.E15 : 0501 : / 18.3 / 18.1  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0417 / 0.01 / 0.31  
: 0418 / 0.44 / 0.00  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON APR 18 IS 0.76 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
: RISE IS BASED ON BACKWATER FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  

 
:  
FCSTR EXT: 2557  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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