412  
FGUS54 KTUA 171902  
RVFOUN  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
202 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS DENISON INFLOW  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:HEADRICK, OK - NORTH FORK OF THE RED RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1294.83 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT MINOR STAGE 14.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 16.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 19.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 12.5 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON OCT 17  
:  
.ER HEAO2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 10.6 / 8.6  
.E2 : 1018 : / 7.9 / 6.7 / 6.4 / 6.1  
.E3 : 1019 : / 5.8 / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.3  
.E4 : 1020 : / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0  
.E5 : 1021 : / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.4  
.E6 : 1022 : / 4.4 / 4.3  
.ER HEAO2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1018 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR HEAO2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW ACTION STAGE.  
:THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.  
:*******************************************************************  
:BURKBURNETT, TX - RED RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 952.57 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 7.0 FT MINOR STAGE 9.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 12.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 14.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.5 FT AT 1230 PM CDT ON OCT 17  
.AR :CREST: BKBT2 1018 C DC202610171402/DH01/HGIFFXZ 7.6  
:  
.ER BKBT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 7.6 / 7.6  
.E2 : 1018 : / 7.6 / 7.5 / 7.2 / 6.5  
.E3 : 1019 : / 6.1 / 5.8 / 5.3 / 5.0  
.E4 : 1020 : / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4  
.E5 : 1021 : / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2  
.E6 : 1022 : / 4.1 / 4.0  
.ER BKBT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1018 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR BKBT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:RIVER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH FLOOD STAGE.  
:*******************************************************************  
:ELECTRA, TX - BEAVER CREEK  
:ZERO DATUM 991.3 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 22.0 FT MINOR STAGE 24.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 28.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 17.0 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON OCT 17  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 10/18/2026  
.AR :CREST: ELTT2 1019 C DC202610171402/DH19/HGIFFXZ 25.6  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4PM CDT ON 10/20/2026  
:  
.ER ELTT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 16.8 / 18.1  
.E2 : 1018 : / 20.3 / 22.0 / 23.6 / 24.7  
.E3 : 1019 : / 25.2 / 25.6 / 25.6 / 25.4  
.E4 : 1020 : / 24.9 / 24.1 / 23.0 / 21.7  
.E5 : 1021 : / 20.8 / 19.4 / 18.1 / 17.1  
.E6 : 1022 : / 16.0 / 15.2  
.ER ELTT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1017 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1018 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR ELTT2 1017 C DC202610171402/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 1017 C DT202610171902/YIIRZ 31 : KLE  
:  

 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
 
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