406  
FGUS54 KTUA 161849  
RVFTOP  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
1249 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS UPPER NEOSHO  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:EMPORIA, KS - COTTONWOOD RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1076.52 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 15.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 18.6 FT AT 1230 PM CST ON FEB 16  
.ER EMPK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0216 : / 17.3 / 15.5  
.E2 : 0217 : / 13.9 / 12.7 / 11.6 / 10.8  
.E3 : 0218 : / 9.9 / 9.1 / 8.5 / 8.0  
.E4 : 0219 : / 7.7 / 7.5 / 7.3 / 7.2  
.E5 : 0220 : / 7.0 / 6.9 / 6.8 / 6.7  
.E6 : 0221 : / 6.6 / 6.6  
.ER EMPK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0216 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0217 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR EMPK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  
:THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.  
:*******************************************************************  
:NEOSHO RAPIDS, KS - NEOSHO RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1045.66 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 17.0 FT MINOR STAGE 22.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 44.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 21.1 FT AT 1230 PM CST ON FEB 16  
.ER NEOK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0216 : / 19.6 / 17.7  
.E2 : 0217 : / 15.5 / 13.4 / 11.6 / 10.6  
.E3 : 0218 : / 9.9 / 9.1 / 8.4 / 7.9  
.E4 : 0219 : / 7.4 / 6.9 / 6.6 / 6.3  
.E5 : 0220 : / 6.2 / 6.0 / 5.9 / 5.8  
.E6 : 0221 : / 5.6 / 5.6  
.ER NEOK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0216 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.E2 : 0217 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR NEOK1 0216 C DC202602161249/DH18/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.  
:THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 0216 C DT202602161849/YIIRZ 19 : MBV  
:  
 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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