533  
FGUS54 KTUA 160051  
RVFTOP  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
650 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS UPPER NEOSHO  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:EMPORIA, KS - COTTONWOOD RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1076.52 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 15.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 21.4 FT AT 630 PM CST ON FEB 15  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3PM CST ON 02/16/2026  
.ER EMPK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0215 : / 21.3  
.E2 : 0216 : / 21.0 / 20.3 / 19.4 / 18.2  
.E3 : 0217 : / 16.5 / 14.9 / 13.5 / 12.3  
.E4 : 0218 : / 11.4 / 10.6 / 9.9 / 9.4  
.E5 : 0219 : / 9.0 / 8.7 / 8.5 / 8.3  
.E6 : 0220 : / 8.2 / 8.2 / 8.2  
.ER EMPK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0215 : / 0.00  
.E2 : 0216 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR EMPK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:NEOSHO RAPIDS, KS - NEOSHO RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1045.66 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 17.0 FT MINOR STAGE 22.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 44.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 22.5 FT AT 630 PM CST ON FEB 15  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9AM CST ON 02/16/2026  
.ER NEOK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0215 : / 22.4  
.E2 : 0216 : / 22.0 / 21.0 / 19.9 / 18.6  
.E3 : 0217 : / 17.3 / 16.0 / 14.3 / 12.8  
.E4 : 0218 : / 11.5 / 10.5 / 9.8 / 9.1  
.E5 : 0219 : / 8.7 / 8.3 / 8.0 / 7.8  
.E6 : 0220 : / 7.6 / 7.6 / 7.6  
.ER NEOK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM  
.E1 : 0215 : / 0.00  
.E2 : 0216 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR NEOK1 0216 C DC202602151850/DH00/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 0216 C DT202602160050/YIIRZ 29 : XWX  
:  
 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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