256  
FGUS54 KTUA 151905  
RVFOUN  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK  
204 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER  
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
 
: FORECAST GROUP IS DENISON INFLOW  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:HEADRICK, OK - NORTH FORK OF THE RED RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1294.83 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT MINOR STAGE 14.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 16.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 19.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 14.1 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
.AR :CREST: HEAO2 1017 C DC202610151404/DH01/HGIFFXZ 15.8  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 10/18/2026  
:  
.ER HEAO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 15.2 / 15.4  
.E2 : 1016 : / 15.6 / 15.7 / 15.7 / 15.8  
.E3 : 1017 : / 15.6 / 15.0 / 14.6 / 14.0  
.E4 : 1018 : / 13.4 / 12.7 / 11.9 / 11.3  
.E5 : 1019 : / 10.9 / 10.6 / 10.3 / 10.0  
.E6 : 1020 : / 9.8 / 9.6  
.ER HEAO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.13 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR HEAO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.13  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:MANGUM, OK - SALT FORK OF THE RED RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1490.87 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 8.0 FT MINOR STAGE 9.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 11.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 13.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 8.8 FT AT 145 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
:  
.ER MGMO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 8.3 / 7.3  
.E2 : 1016 : / 6.8 / 6.3 / 5.8 / 5.5  
.E3 : 1017 : / 5.2 / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.4  
.E4 : 1018 : / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0  
.E5 : 1019 : / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9  
.E6 : 1020 : / 3.8 / 3.8  
.ER MGMO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.02 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR MGMO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.02  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:VERNON, TX - PEASE RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 1179.04 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 13.0 FT MINOR STAGE 15.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 17.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 19.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 12.3 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
.AR :CREST: VERT2 1016 C DC202610151404/DH07/HGIFFXZ 17.5  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 10/16/2026  
:  
.ER VERT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 15.7 / 17.1  
.E2 : 1016 : / 17.5 / 16.4 / 15.1 / 10.2  
.E3 : 1017 : / 8.6 / 7.8 / 7.4 / 7.2  
.E4 : 1018 : / 7.0 / 6.9 / 6.7 / 6.6  
.E5 : 1019 : / 6.4 / 6.3 / 6.3 / 6.2  
.E6 : 1020 : / 6.2 / 6.1  
.ER VERT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.17 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR VERT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.17  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:BURKBURNETT, TX - RED RIVER  
:ZERO DATUM 952.57 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 7.0 FT MINOR STAGE 9.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 12.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 14.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 3.7 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 10/17/2026  
.AR :CREST: BKBT2 1017 C DC202610151404/DH13/HGIFFXZ 9.6  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 10/18/2026  
:  
.ER BKBT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 5.2 / 6.5  
.E2 : 1016 : / 6.9 / 7.3 / 7.6 / 8.3  
.E3 : 1017 : / 9.2 / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.2  
.E4 : 1018 : / 8.8 / 8.4 / 8.1 / 7.8  
.E5 : 1019 : / 7.5 / 7.3 / 7.1 / 6.9  
.E6 : 1020 : / 6.7 / 6.6  
.ER BKBT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.31 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR BKBT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.31  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:ELECTRA, TX - BEAVER CREEK  
:ZERO DATUM 991.3 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 22.0 FT MINOR STAGE 24.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 28.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 17.8 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 10/18/2026  
.AR :CREST: ELTT2 1016 C DC202610151404/DH01/HGIFFXZ 22.8  
.AR :CREST: ELTT2 1018 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFFXZ 25.7  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4PM CDT ON 10/19/2026  
:  
.ER ELTT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 20.6 / 22.8  
.E2 : 1016 : / 22.8 / 21.4 / 19.8 / 19.4  
.E3 : 1017 : / 20.3 / 21.6 / 22.8 / 23.9  
.E4 : 1018 : / 24.8 / 25.5 / 25.7 / 25.7  
.E5 : 1019 : / 25.3 / 24.7 / 24.0 / 23.1  
.E6 : 1020 : / 22.2 / 21.2  
.ER ELTT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.45 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR ELTT2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.45  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:RANDLETT, OK - DEEP RED CREEK  
:ZERO DATUM 924.49 FT (NGVD29)  
:ACTION STAGE 17.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT  
:  
:LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 13.8 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON OCT 15  
.AR :CREST: RNDO2 1016 C DC202610151404/DH07/HGIFFXZ 18.6  
:  
.ER RNDO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 16.2 / 18.2  
.E2 : 1016 : / 18.6 / 18.0 / 17.2 / 16.0  
.E3 : 1017 : / 14.4 / 13.3 / 12.3 / 11.4  
.E4 : 1018 : / 10.5 / 9.9 / 8.8 / 8.3  
.E5 : 1019 : / 7.7 / 7.3 / 6.7 / 6.3  
.E6 : 1020 : / 5.9 / 5.7  
.ER RNDO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6  
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM  
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.32 / 0.00  
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00  
.AR RNDO2 1015 C DC202610151404/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.32  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
.AR TUA 1015 C DT202610151904/YIIRZ 17 : HLC  
:  
 
:  
:RIVER FORECASTS WITH ZERO FORECAST RAINFALL AND OTHER CONTINGENCIES  
:AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SOURCE/ABRFC/RAWMODEL/INDEX.HTML  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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