465
FGUS63 KKRF 181513
ESPBBL
HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1512Z SUN OCT 18 2026
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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS ****
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HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE (HEFS) PROBABILITIES
ARE DISPLAYED IN THE TABLE BELOW. THE TABLE LISTS THE FLOOD
CATEGORIES AND PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING EACH CATEGORY IN THE
NEXT 10 DAYS.
-- BIG BLUE FORECAST GROUP --
ISSUANCE MINOR MODERATE MAJOR
STG PROB STG PROB STG PROB STG PROB
:BIG BLUE R AT SURPRISE NE NO.2
SRPN1 (OAX) 6.0 <5% 7.0 <5% 10.0 <5% 12.0 <5%
:LINCOLN CR AT SEWARD NE 3WNW
SWDN1 (OAX) 13.0 <5% 15.0 <5% 17.0 <5% 20.0 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT SEWARD NE
SWRN1 (OAX) 16.0 <5% 18.0 <5% 22.0 <5% 27.0 <5%
:W FK BIG BLUE R AT DORCHESTER NE 6NW
DRGN1 (OAX) 13.0 <5% 15.0 <5% 22.0 <5% 24.4 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT CRETE NE 2S
CRTN1 (OAX) 19.0 <5% 21.0 <5% 25.0 <5% 31.0 <5%
:TURKEY CR AT WILBER NE 3W
WLBN1 (OAX) 11.0 5% 12.5 <5% 16.0 <5% 21.0 <5%
:TURKEY CR AT DEWITT NE 2SE
DEWN1 (OAX) 21.5 <5% 23.5 <5% 25.0 <5% 27.0 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BEATRICE NE
BEAN1 (OAX) 16.0 <5% 18.0 <5% 26.0 <5% 32.0 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BARNESTON NE
BARN1 (OAX) 18.0 <5% 20.0 <5% 27.0 <5% 33.0 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT MARYSVILLE KS
MRYK1 (TOP) 33.0 <5% 35.0 <5% 38.2 <5% 43.0 <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT DEWEESE NE 4SE
DWEN1 (GID) 8.0 9% 10.0 8% 16.0 <5% 17.0 <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT FAIRBURY NE
FRBN1 (OAX) 17.0 <5% 18.5 <5% 20.0 <5% 23.0 <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT HOLLENBERG KS
HBGK1 (TOP) 17.0 <5% 19.0 <5% 19.4 <5% 45.0 <5%
:MILL CR AT WASHINGTON KS 1ESE
WSHK1 (TOP) 16.0 <5% 18.0 <5% 19.0 <5% 35.0 <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT BARNES KS 4NE
BANK1 (TOP) 14.0 <5% 16.0 <5% 23.0 <5% 39.0 <5%
:BLACK VERMILLION R AT FRANKFORT KS
FKFK1 (TOP) 17.0 <5% 19.0 <5% 27.5 <5% 40.5 <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BLO TUTTLE CREEK RES
MNTK1 (TOP) 17.0 <5% 19.0 <5% 27.0 <5% 30.0 <5%
:END OF MESSAGE
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