005  
FOUS71 KRHA 090750  
FFHPA2  
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS  
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
332 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2025  
 
APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)  
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT  
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.  
 
.B RHA 250509 Z DH06/DC2505090732/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF  
:  
:IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME  
:======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ====================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: CHENANGO RIVER...  
SHBN6 0.9/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 0.9 :SHERBURNE (8.5FT)  
:SHBN6MD 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.4 SHERBURNE (9)  
:SHBN6MJ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1 SHERBURNE (10.6)  
: OTSELIC RIVER...  
CINN6 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.2 :CINCINNATUS (9FT)  
: ...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES ABOVE RATING TABLE.  
: COHOCTON RIVER...  
CMPN6 1.1/ 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.6 :CAMPBELL (8FT)  
:CMPN6MD 2.0/ 2.7/ 3.0/ 3.1 CAMPBELL (10)  
:CMPN6MJ 2.9/ 3.9/ 4.4/ 4.5 CAMPBELL (11)  
: CANISTEO RIVER...  
WCRN6 1.3/ 1.7/ 1.9/ 2.1 :WEST CAMERON (17FT)  
:WCRN6MD 1.6/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.5 WEST CAMERON (18)  
:WCRN6MJ 2.4/ 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.0 WEST CAMERON (21)  
: TOWANDA CREEK...  
MONP1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.4 :MONROETON (15.5FT)  
:MONP1MD 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5/ 3.0 MONROETON (17)  
:MONP1MJ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.9 MONROETON (18.5)  
: TUNKHANNOCK CREEK...  
TNKP1 1.1/ 1.4/ 1.8/ 2.1 :TUNKHANNOCK (11FT)  
:TNKP1MD 1.6/ 2.1/ 2.7/ 3.1 TUNKHANNOCK (14)  
:TNKP1MJ 2.2/ 2.8/ 3.6/ 4.3 TUNKHANNOCK (17)  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
OFRP1 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.8/ 2.9 :OLD FORGE (11FT)  
:OFRP1MD 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.6/ 3.8 OLD FORGE (13)  
:OFRP1MJ 3.7/ 4.3/ 4.9/ 5.2 OLD FORGE (16)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: EAST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
MRGN6 1.5/ 1.7/ 2.2/ 2.6 :MARGARETVILLE (11FT)  
:MRGN6MD 2.1/ 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.6 MARGARETVILLE (12)  
:MRGN6MJ 2.7/ 3.2/ 4.1/ 4.9 MARGARETVILLE (13)  
: WEST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
WALN6 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.4 :WALTON (11.5FT)  
:WALN6MD 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4 WALTON (14)  
:WALN6MJ 3.4/ 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.0 WALTON (16)  
: BEAVERKILL CREEK...  
CKFN6 0.9/ 1.2/ 1.6/ 1.9 :COOKS FALLS (10FT)  
:CKFN6MD 2.5/ 3.5/ 4.8/ 5.8 COOKS FALLS (16)  
:CKFN6MJ 3.2/ 4.6/ 6.4/ 7.9 COOKS FALLS (18)  
: LACKAWAXEN RIVER...  
HWYP1 2.9/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.6 :HAWLEY (14FT)  
:HWYP1MD 6.0/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 7.9 HAWLEY (20)  
:HWYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 HAWLEY (22)  
:  
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: TIOGA RIVER...  
MFDP1 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.9 :MANSFIELD (12FT)  
:MFDP1MD 2.4/ 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.6 MANSFIELD (13)  
:MFDP1MJ 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.5 MANSFIELD (14)  
: PENNS CREEK...  
PNCP1 1.0/ 1.2/ 1.4/ 1.4 :PENNS CREEK (8FT)  
:PNCP1MD 1.5/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.3 PENNS CREEK (10)  
:PNCP1MJ 2.3/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 3.7 PENNS CREEK (12)  
: FRANKSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA RIVER...  
WIBP1 1.3/ 1.5/ 1.8/ 1.9 :WILLIAMSBURG (12FT)  
:WIBP1MD 1.5/ 1.7/ 2.1/ 2.2 WILLIAMSBURG (13)  
:WIBP1MJ 1.9/ 2.1/ 2.6/ 2.8 WILLIAMSBURG (15)  
: LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER...  
SPKP1 1.2/ 1.4/ 1.7/ 1.9 :SPRUCE CREEK (8FT)  
:SPKP1MD 1.7/ 2.0/ 2.5/ 2.8 SPRUCE CREEK (10)  
:SPKP1MJ 2.9/ 3.3/ 4.2/ 4.8 SPRUCE CREEK (14)  
: AUGHWICK CREEK...  
SLYP1 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.7 :SHIRLEYSBURG (10FT)  
:SLYP1MD 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5 SHIRLEYSBURG (12)  
:SLYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 SHIRLEYSBURG (20)  
: SHERMAN CREEK...  
SMDP1 1.4/ 1.6/ 1.8/ 1.8 :SHERMANS DALE (9FT)  
:SMDP1MD 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.6 SHERMANS DALE (11)  
:SMDP1MJ 3.9/ 4.4/ 5.1/ 5.3 SHERMANS DALE (16)  
: CONODOGUINET CREEK...  
HGSP1 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 :HOGESTOWN (8FT)  
:HGSP1MD 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.5 HOGESTOWN (10)  
:HGSP1MJ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7 HOGESTOWN (12)  
: YELLOW BREECHES CREEK...  
CPHP1 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 :CAMP HILL (7FT)  
:CPHP1MD 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.7 CAMP HILL (9)  
:CPHP1MJ 5.7/ 5.9/ 6.0/ 6.2 CAMP HILL (13)  
: SWATARA CREEK...  
HTVP1 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :HARPER TAVERN (9FT)  
:HTVP1MD 2.8/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.2 HARPER TAVERN (12)  
:HTVP1MJ 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.4 HARPER TAVERN (15)  
: CONESTOGA RIVER...  
LNCP1 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.7 :LANCASTER (11FT)  
:LNCP1MD 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.6 LANCASTER (13)  
:LNCP1MJ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.1/ 4.5 LANCASTER (15)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
LGVP1 1.8/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 :LANDINGVILLE (8FT)  
:LGVP1MD 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.2 LANDINGVILLE (12)  
:LGVP1MJ 3.3/ 3.7/ 3.9/ 4.4 LANDINGVILLE (14)  
:  
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
BREP1 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.4 :BERNE (12FT)  
:BREP1MD 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.4/ 4.8 BERNE (14)  
:BREP1MJ 4.5/ 4.8/ 5.8/ 6.4 BERNE (16)  
: BUSH KILL...  
SHOP1 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.6 :SHOEMAKERS (6FT)  
:SHOP1MD 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.5 SHOEMAKERS (7)  
:SHOP1MJ 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.4 SHOEMAKERS (8)  
: BRODHEAD CREEK...  
MNSP1 2.4/ 2.9/ 3.6/ 3.7 :MINISINK HILLS(10FT)  
:MNSP1MD 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.6/ 4.8 MINISINK HILLS(12)  
:MNSP1MJ 4.1/ 4.9/ 6.2/ 6.6 MINISINK HILLS(15)  
: LITTLE LEHIGH CREEK...  
APAP1 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.9/ 4.7 :ALLENTOWN-10TH (8FT)  
:APAP1MD 4.1/ 4.4/ 5.0/ 6.2 ALLENTOWN-10TH (10)  
:APAP1MJ 5.1/ 5.6/ 6.5/ 8.0 ALLENTOWN-10TH (12)  
: PERKIOMEN CREEK...  
GRAP1 1.6/ 2.2/ 2.4/ 3.0 :GRATERFORD (11FT)  
:GRAP1MD 2.0/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.6 GRATERFORD (13)  
:GRAP1MJ 2.6/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.8 GRATERFORD (16)  
: NESHAMINY CREEK...  
LNGP1 2.3/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 3.2 :LANGHORNE (9FT)  
:LNGP1MD 2.9/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 4.1 LANGHORNE (10)  
:LNGP1MJ 3.3/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.6 LANGHORNE (12)  
: CHESTER CREEK...  
CHSP1 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 3.1 :CHESTER (8FT)  
:CHSP1MD 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.9 CHESTER (10)  
:CHSP1MJ 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.3/ 5.3 CHESTER (14)  
: WEST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
MODP1 4.2/ 4.4/ 4.7/ 4.9 :MODENA (9FT)  
:MODP1MD 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 5.7 MODENA (10)  
:MODP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 MODENA (12)  
: EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
DWNP1 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 1.8 :DOWNINGTOWN (7FT)  
:DWNP1MD 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5/ 2.8 DOWNINGTOWN (9)  
:DWNP1MJ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.6/ 3.9 DOWNINGTOWN (11)  
: BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
CDFP1 1.6/ 2.1/ 2.5/ 2.6 :CHADDS FORD (9FT)  
:CDFP1MD 2.0/ 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.4 CHADDS FORD (11)  
:CDFP1MJ 2.5/ 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.2 CHADDS FORD (13)  
: CHRISTINA RIVER...  
CHBD1 1.8/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 3.2 :COOCHS BRDG(11FT)  
:CHBD1MD 2.2/ 2.4/ 2.8/ 3.9 COOCHS BRDG(12)  
:CHBD1MJ 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.7/ 5.0 COOCHS BRDG(13)  
: WHITE CLAY CREEK...  
DPKD1 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.2/ 2.9 :DELAWARE PK (13FT)  
:DPKD1MD 2.7/ 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.8 DELAWARE PK (15)  
:DPKD1MJ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.3/ 5.5 DELAWARE PK (16.5)  
: RED CLAY CREEK...  
RCCD1 2.4/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.4 :WOODDALE (7FT)  
:RCCD1MD 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.4 WOODDALE (8.5)  
:RCCD1MJ 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.6/ 5.4 WOODDALE (10)  
.END  
 
MARFC WILL DISCONTINUE THIS WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE ON MAY 23, 2025  
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT ROBERT.SHEDD@NOAA.GOV  
 
UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE  
 
APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF  
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...  
 
.BR RHA 20250509 Z DH06/DC2505090750/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3  
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6  
: RAINFALL  
:IDENT 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 LOCATION  
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= ======= ================  
CANN6DEL 657/ 2028/ 3996/ 8767/ 14420/ 27463 :CANNONSVILLE-456SQMI  
DWNN6DEL 400/ 1324/ 2718/ 6315/ 10792/ 21450 :PEPACTON-372SQMI  
LKWP1WPK 32/ 134/ 334/ 1049/ 2257/ 6171 :WALLENPAUPACK-228SQM  
NVRN6NVR 174/ 416/ 759/ 1588/ 2580/ 4905 :NEVERSINK-93SQMI  
.END  
 
:===============================================================  
: EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT  
: NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION  
:===============================================================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
.B RHA 250509 Z DH06/DC2505090732/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF  
:GAGEID 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR RAINFALL FOR INDICATED STAGES  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
ARHP1 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.3/ 2.8 :ARCHBALD (8FT)  
:ARHP1MD 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.7 ARCHBALD (9)  
:ARHP1MJ 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.7/ 4.7 ARCHBALD (10)  
PKIP1 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.8/ 2.0 :SCRANTON (7.5FT.)  
:PKIP1MD 1.8/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.2 SCRANTON (8)  
:PKIP1MJ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4/ 2.7 SCRANTON (9.5)  
.END  
: MODEL-SIMULATED 3-HOURLY STAGE FORECASTS INCLUDING QPF...  
.E ARHP1 20250509 DC2505090750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 4.5/4.7/4.9/5.1/5.2/5.1/5.0/4.9  
.E PKIP1 20250509 DC2505090750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 3.8/4.0/4.3/4.6/4.8/4.6/4.5/4.3  

 
NNNN  
 
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