305  
ABNT20 KNHC 272349  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2022  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE  
IAN, LOCATED OVER THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  
 
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC:  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS HAVE  
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH  
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR  
DEVELOPMENT, ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN  
THE FORMATION OF A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR  
TOMORROW. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BECOME LESS LIKELY BY THE END OF  
THE WEEK DUE TO INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS  
FORECAST TO MEANDER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THEN TURN  
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BY THURSDAY.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY  
 
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