670  
ABNT20 KNHC 221710  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO:  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN  
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.  
WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR  
DEVELOPMENT, ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS  
SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER  
TODAY OR TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AFTER  
THAT TIME DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO  
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH TODAY AND NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO  
NORTHWARD TONIGHT AND TUESDAY, REMAINING OFFSHORE OF THE EAST COAST  
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE  
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE  
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD  
ALSO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA  
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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