225  
ABPZ20 KNHC 230540  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 PM PDT SAT SEP 22 2018  
 
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:  
 
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED AROUND 300 MILES SOUTH-  
SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, IS PRODUCING A LIMITED AMOUNT OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE  
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY  
TO FORM IN A FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFF THE  
COAST OF MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE FAR WESTERN  
PORTION OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN BY THE MIDDLE OF THE  
WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AFTER  
THAT TIME WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
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