758  
ABPZ20 KNHC 151145  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 15 2019  
 
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:  
 
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE  
KIKO, LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN  
TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED  
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, IS ASSOCIATED  
WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES  
SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF  
MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 
ANOTHER WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS  
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR, OR PARALLEL TO, THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING  
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
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