653  
ABPZ20 KNHC 221725  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2019  
 
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:  
 
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE WEST COAST OF  
NICARAGUA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER OVER THE FAR  
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC, AND GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING  
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IF THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS OFFSHORE.  
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY  
HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS  
OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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