906  
ABPZ20 KNHC 271730  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2022  
 
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:  
 
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF  
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM  
BY THE END OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN  
MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
THE REMNANTS OF NEWTON CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED BURSTS OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS  
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD  
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN. BY LATE THIS  
WEEK, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE  
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
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