119  
ABPZ20 KNHC 061719  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 6 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WELL TO THE  
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA,  
AND ON HURRICANE PRISCILLA, LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE  
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:  
SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS  
FORMED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. THIS  
SYSTEM IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO  
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. HOWEVER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THEREAFTER, AND A  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK WHILE MOVING  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, NEAR OR PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF  
MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE  
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THIS  
WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
 
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