906
ABPZ20 KNHC 271730
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2022
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM
BY THE END OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
THE REMNANTS OF NEWTON CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED BURSTS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC BASIN. BY LATE THIS
WEEK, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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