758
ABPZ20 KNHC 151145
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 15 2019
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KIKO, LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES
SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
ANOTHER WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR, OR PARALLEL TO, THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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