469  
AGXX40 KNHC 240854  
MIMATS  
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
454 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2019  
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO, CARIBBEAN SEA,  
AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W  
AND THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS  
   
..GULF OF MEXICO
 
 
FRESH NE TO E WINDS AND SEAS TO NEAR 8 FT FROM THE FLORIDA  
STRAITS TO OFFSHORE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL DIMINISH AND  
SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY THIS MORNING AS A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT  
BETWEEN E TO W RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE BASIN,  
AND A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEAKENS. WEAK  
LOW PRESSURE MAY FORM ALONG THE TROUGH WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY  
WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS BEFORE IT REACHES THE NE COAST OF MEXICO LATE FRI OR  
SAT.  
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN  
55W AND 64W...  
 
TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.8N 65.8W 1006 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING  
N AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. KAREN WILL  
MOVE TO NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO AT 18.1N 65.9W THIS AFTERNOON,  
20.1N 65.5W WED MORNING, CONTINUING N OF THE BASIN TO 22.6N  
64.7W WED AFTERNOON, 24.6N 64.0W THU MORNING, AND 27.3N 62.7W  
FRI MORNING. KAREN WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES  
TO EARLY SAT, AND CONTINUE TO THE 27.7N 65.5W EARLY SUN.  
 
OTHERWISE, A FAIRLY WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WITH LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN AND  
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU, WITH MORE TYPICAL CONDITIONS AND  
TRADES RETURNING BY THE END OF THE WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL  
REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLANTIC WATERS BY THE END OF THE WEEK,  
MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FOR THE START OF THE  
WEEKEND.  
   
..SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
 
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.8N 68.4W 993 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING  
N AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. JERRY  
WILL MOVE TO 30.6N 68.4W THIS AFTERNOON, MOVE N OF THE AREA TO  
31.7N 67.0W WED MORNING, 32.7N 64.6W WED AFTERNOON, WEAKEN TO A  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 33.6N 61.9W THU MORNING, AND BECOME A  
REMNANT LOW AND MOVE TO 34.9N 56.9W FRI MORNING.  
 
TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.8N 65.8W 1006 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING  
N AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. KAREN WILL  
MOVE TO NEAR OR OVER PUERTO RICO AT 18.1N 65.9W THIS AFTERNOON,  
20.1N 65.5W WED MORNING, TO 22.6N 64.7W WED AFTERNOON, 24.6N  
64.0W THU MORNING, AND 27.3N 62.7W FRI MORNING. KAREN WILL CHANGE  
LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO EARLY SAT, AND CONTINUE TO  
THE 27.7N 65.5W EARLY SUN.  
 

 
   
WARNINGS
 
ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE  
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT, OR BY  
TELEPHONE:  
   
GULF OF MEXICO
 
 
NONE.  
 
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN  
55W AND 64W...   
AMZ023...CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W
 
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY.  
   
SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
 
   
AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W
 
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.    
AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W
 
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WED.   
AMZ125
 
ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO  
RICO TRENCH...  
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT INTO WED.    
AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
 
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT INTO WED.  
 

 
 
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS, PLEASE VISIT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF  
 
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL  
DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE  
 

 
 
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
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