617
AXPZ20 KNHC 020151
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU APR 2 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0100 UTC.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 07N89W. THE ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 07N89W TO 05N115W TO 06N140W. A SECOND ITCZ
EXTENDS FROM 03.4S105W TO BEYOND 03.4S120W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 99W, AND FROM
04N TO 09N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
HIGH PRESSURE IS STARTING TO BUILD SE TOWARD NORTHERN WATERS,
CAUSING SOME FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS OFFSHORE CABO SAN
LUCAS AND CABO CORRIENTES. OTHERWISE MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS PREVAIL. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL, EXCEPT FOR SLIGHT SEAS IN
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH WINDS WILL CONTINUE PULSING TO LOCALLY
STRONG NEAR CABO CORRIENTES AND CABO SAN LUCAS TONIGHT. FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG NW WINDS WILL DOMINATE OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA
THU INTO FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS W OF THE PENINSULA. SIMILAR
WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REDEVELOP THERE SUN NIGHT AND MON. NW SWELL
WILL BRING LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE THU NIGHT
THROUGH SAT. LOOKING AHEAD, STRONG N GAP WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SUN NIGHT.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH NE-E GAP WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE
PAPAGAYO REGION. WINDS ARE LIGHT TO GENTLE ELSEWHERE. SLIGHT SEAS
ARE OFFSHORE COLOMBIA, WITH MODERATE SEAS ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH WINDS WILL PULSE NIGHTLY IN THE PAPAGAYO
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. LARGE S-SW SWELL SPREADING INTO THE
WATERS FROM OFFSHORE ECUADOR TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS WILL REACH
ALL AREA WATERS BY THU. THIS SWELL WILL BUILD SEAS TO ROUGH FROM
OFFSHORE ECUADOR TO THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS INTO THU NIGHT.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE WATERS N OF THE ITCZ WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS, MAINLY LIGHT TO
GENTLE S OF THE ITCZ. MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL THROUGH THE BASIN N
OF THE EQUATOR, WITH ROUGH SEAS S OF THE EQUATOR IN S-SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE OPEN
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS. A SERIES OF
TROUGHS WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS AND WEAKEN W OF 130W
THROUGH REST OF THE WEEK, LEADING TO OCCASIONAL FRESH WINDS AND
POSSIBLY SOME LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. LARGE SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL
REACH 10N THU, THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
LIKELY TIGHTEN N OF 05N AND W OF 110W BY THE END OF THE WEEK
INCREASING TRADES TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH, WITH SEAS
BUILDING LOCALLY TO ROUGH AS A RESULT. NORTHERLY SWELL WILL
LIKELY BUILD SEAS TO ROUGH JUST S OF 30N BY LATE THU NIGHT INTO
THE WEEKEND.
LEWITSKY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page