429  
FOPZ12 KNHC 082049  
PWSEP2  
 
HURRICANE OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172018  
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
20N 140W 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
25N 140W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
20N 145W 34 2 8(10) 14(24) 3(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)  
 
25N 145W 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
20N 150W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 24(35) 1(36) X(36)  
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
25N 150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 1(16) X(16)  
 
20N 151W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 28(34) 2(36) X(36)  
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)  
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)  
 
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)  
 
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 28(40) 1(41)  
20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9)  
20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)  
 
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 2(20)  
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)  
 
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 2(22)  
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)  
 
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14)  
 
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22)  
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)  
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)  
 
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 3(42)  
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11)  
21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)  
 
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 3(33)  
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)  
 
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 4(24)  
 
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 12(32)  
21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)  
21N 158W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)  
 
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)  
 
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 3(42)  
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11)  
HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)  
 
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 6(38)  
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9)  
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)  
 
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 7(36)  
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)  
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)  
 
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)  
 
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)  
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)  
 
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14)  
 
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23)  
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)  
 
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)  
 
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22)  
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)  
 
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18)  
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)  
 
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)  
 
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)  
 
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
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