847  
FOPZ15 KNHC 060238  
PWSEP5  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE XAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018  
0300 UTC TUE NOV 06 2018  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE XAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
20N 110W 34 1 13(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)  
 
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)  
 
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 

 
FORECASTER LANDSEA  
 
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