438  
FZPN03 KNHC 240255  
HSFEP2  
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
0430 UTC TUE SEP 24 2019  
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
SECURITE  
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE  
EQUATOR E OF 120W  
 
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 24.  
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 25.  
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 26.  
 
.WARNINGS.  
   
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
 
 
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 137.5W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP  
24 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT  
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N  
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN  
0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT  
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 60 NM SE  
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF  
AREA W OF LINE FROM 26N136W TO 18N132W TO 11N133W TO  
07N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.1N 140.0W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF  
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE  
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 25N140W TO  
20N134W TO 12N136W TO 09N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12  
FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO W OF AREA NEAR 19.8N  
142.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 KT  
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 19.5N  
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.  
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 19.5N  
146.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.   
120 HOUR FORECAST
 
DISSIPATED.  
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE  
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE  
AND INTENSITY.  
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  
 
.LOW PRES NEAR 12N100W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS  
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.  
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N102W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT  
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N103.5W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT  
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1009 MB NEAR 14N103W. FROM 07N TO 10N  
BETWEEN 102W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY  
IN SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 15N103W. FROM 08N TO 12N  
BETWEEN 99W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT  
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.  
 
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW PRES 1009 MB NEAR 13.5N113W. FROM 11N  
TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT  
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.  
.42 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 14.5N113W. WITHIN 60 NM  
SE QUADRANT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM  
09N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO  
9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 15N112.5W. WITHIN 180 NM  
S QUADRANT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N  
TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT  
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.  
 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT  
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF LINE FROM 30N127W TO 27N133W TO 29N137W  
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.  
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.  
 
CONVECTION VALID AT 0220 UTC TUE SEP 24...  
   
T.S. KIKO
 
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NW  
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM  
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 136W AND 139W.  
   
LOW PRES NEAR 13N100W
 
NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED  
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED  
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.  
   
TROPICAL WAVE FROM 05N98W TO 15N98W
 
SCATTERED MODERATE  
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W.  
   
TROPICAL WAVE FROM 05N108W TO 17N107W
 
SCATTERED MODERATE  
FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W.  
   
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
 
 
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N76W TO 07N81W TO 13N95W TO LOW PRES 1010  
MB NEAR 13N100W TO 15N111W TO 13N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE  
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N E OF 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE  
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 124W AND FROM 11N TO 14N W OF  
130W.  
 

 
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
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