851
FZPN03 KNHC 160841
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU JUL 16 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 18.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.4N 115.2W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
16 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 5.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N110W TO
20N115W TO 20N118W TO 16N119W TO 14N117W TO 12N111W TO 18N110W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. WITHIN 10N112W TO 13N114W
TO 10N120W TO 10N130W TO 06N131W TO 04N124W TO 10N112W S TO SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.2N 118.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N114W TO 22N120W TO 16N123W TO 10N121W TO
11N115W TO 20N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N111W TO 23N115W TO 21N123W TO 11N124W
TO 07N120W TO 08N114W TO 19N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.1N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND
240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 9.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
23N117W TO 24N126W TO 18N128W TO 14N122W TO 16N117W TO 23N117W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
22N114W TO 26N124W TO 22N130W TO 10N124W TO 09N120W TO 13N114W TO
22N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
WITHIN 11N86W TO 11N89W TO 10N89W TO 10N88W TO 11N86W
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 22N140W TO 17N140W TO 18N138W TO
19N138W TO 22N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S116W TO 01S118W TO 01S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S116W TO 02S116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SW AND NW TO N SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0730 UTC THU JUL 16...
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM
E SEMICIRCLE...AND 30 NM WEST. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W...AND FROM 05N
TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 124W.
TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 98.5W
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 03N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 102W...AND FROM 14N TO 17N
BETWEEN 98W AND 102W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N75W TO 10N86.5W TO 07N97W TO 13.5N112W
...THEN RESUMES SW OF ELIDA FROM 13N119W TO LOW PRES NEAR
09N138W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N
TO 05N BETWEEN 78W AND 88W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND
107W...AND FROM 05.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 125.5W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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