044
FZPN03 KNHC 170838
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 17 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 19.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 16.1N 120.2W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
17 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 6.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N116W TO 21N119W TO 18N124W TO
11N122W TO 11N117W TO 16N115W TO 21N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N113W TO 22N118W TO
18N124W TO 10N124W TO 08N118W TO 11N113W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.7N 121.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 17.9N 122.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND
180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 8.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N116W
TO 24N121W TO 22N127W TO 16N126W TO 14N122W TO 15N117W TO
20N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 24N117W TO 26N125W TO 23N130W TO 17N128W TO 09N120W TO
15N113W TO 24N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.0N 125.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 8.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N118W TO 27N122W TO 27N129W TO
21N133W TO 17N126W TO 20N119W TO 24N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N119W TO 28N125W TO
23N137W TO 14N127W TO 14N121W TO 18N117W TO 27N119W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 16N96W TO 14N96W TO 13N95W TO
14N94W TO 16N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 12N87W TO 12N89W TO 10N91W TO 09N89W TO 10N86W TO 12N87W
..INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.WITHIN 22N139W TO 23N140W TO 16N140W TO 18N138W TO 22N139W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02S118W TO 02S119W TO 02S120W TO
03.4S120W TO 03.4S118W TO 02S118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3.0 M IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S111W TO 01S117W TO 01N122W TO
00N125W TO 03.4S120W TO 03.4S109W TO 01S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 108W. WITHIN 13N103W TO
14N104W TO 14N106W TO 11N107W TO 08N107W TO 08N105W TO 13N103W
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
NEAR
12N111W 1006 MB. WITHIN 14N106W TO 16N110W TO 15N112W TO
11N112W TO 08N109W TO 10N107W TO 14N106W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N104W TO 17N108W TO 16N112W TO
09N113W TO 07N109W TO 09N105W TO 13N104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0730 UTC FRI JUL 17...
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 210
NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG BETWEEN 180
NM AND 570 NM NE QUADRANT.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N75W TO 09N84W TO 06.5N96W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N104W TO 18N111W...THEN RESUMES SW OF ELIDA
FROM 14N122.5W TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 100W...FROM 09N
TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 101W...FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND
100W...WITHIN 420 NM SSW OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 100W AND
111W...AND FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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