277  
WTNT21 KNHC 140233  
TCMAT1  
 
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020  
0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF  
THIS SYSTEM.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 52.2W AT 14/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 52.2W AT 14/0300Z  
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 51.4W  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.8N 54.0W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.3N 56.7W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 59.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 62.1W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.3N 64.4W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N 66.2W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 26.0N 67.7W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.5N 66.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 52.2W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER ROBERTS  
 
 
 
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