389  
WTNT33 KNHC 132035  
TCPAT3  
 
BULLETIN  
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 70  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132018  
500 PM AST SAT OCT 13 2018  
 
...LONG-LIVED LESLIE PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST  
OF PORTUGAL AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...  
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT  
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...   
..THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...40.5N 9.5W  
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF PORTO PORTUGAL  
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES  
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
INTERESTS IN PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF  
LESLIE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN  
PRODUCTS FROM THE PORTUGUESE INSTITUTE FOR SEA AND ATMOSPHERE AT  
WWW.IPMA.PT. INTERESTS IN SPAIN SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS FROM THE  
STATE METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY AT WWW.AEMET.ES.  
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LESLIE  
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 9.5 WEST. THE  
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH (56  
KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24  
HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF  
LESLIE WILL BE NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF PORTUGAL IN A FEW  
HOURS, AND MOVE INLAND OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN  
PORTUGAL TONIGHT, AND ACROSS NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN SPAIN SUNDAY  
MORNING.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER  
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LESLIE MOVES INLAND OVER THE  
IBERIAN PENINSULA, AND THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BY  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.  
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES (260 KM)  
FROM THE CENTER. LISBON, PORTUGAL RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO  
40 MPH (65 KM/H).  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB (29.06 INCHES).  
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
WIND: POST-TROPICAL LESLIE WILL BRING WINDS TO NEAR HURRICANE-FORCE  
TO PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL TONIGHT, AND GALE-FORCE WINDS TO PORTIONS OF  
WESTERN AMD NORTHERN SPAIN LATER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.  
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE FOR MORE  
INFORMATION ON THIS HAZARD.  
 
RAINFALL: LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS  
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES (25 TO 75 MM) WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES  
(125 MM) ACROSS PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN THIS WEEKEND. THIS  
RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO SOME INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING.  
 
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE  
AZORES, MADEIRA ISLAND, AND THE CANARY ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND,  
AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SPAIN, PORTUGAL, AND  
MOROCCO TODAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY  
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE  
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE  
CENTER ON LESLIE.  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
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