011
WTNT45 KNHC 201442
TCDAT5
REMNANTS OF NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024
1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 20 2024
FIRST-LIGHT GOES-16 IMAGERY AND STATION OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT
THE SURFACE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH NADINE HAS DISSIPATED OVER
SOUTHERN MEXICO. PEAK SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 25 KT, MAINLY OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE.
THE REMNANTS OF NADINE ARE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT
AROUND 12 KT AND THEY ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC
LATER TODAY.
THE COMBINATION OF THE REMNANTS OF NADINE AND INFLUENCES FROM A GULF
OF TEHUANTEPEC GAP WIND EVENT ARE FORECAST TO RESULT IN THE
FORMATION OF A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO IN A DAY OR SO. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER THAT
TIME, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE EARLY
TO MIDDLE PART OF THIS WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT
15 KT AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF NADINE AS IT ENTERS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER
FZPN02 KWBC, ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP,
AND THE LATEST UPDATES IN THE EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/GTWO.PHP?BASIN=EPAC.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN
THE VICINITY OF THE REMNANTS OF NADINE ACROSS BELIZE, NORTHERN
GUATEMALA, AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/1500Z 16.5N 93.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER LANDSEA
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