450
WTPZ22 KNHC 262033
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222026
2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.1W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.1W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.9W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.6N 106.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.7N 107.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.1N 108.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.8N 108.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.6N 108.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 106.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
FORECASTER HAGEN
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