153  
WTPZ23 KNHC 120836  
TCMEP3  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018  
0900 UTC WED SEP 12 2018  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 127.4W AT 12/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 127.4W AT 12/0900Z  
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 127.0W  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.4N 128.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.4N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.4N 131.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.3N 131.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.8N 132.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 127.4W  
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE  
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW  
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.  
 

 
FORECASTER ZELINSKY  
 
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