895
WTPZ25 KNHC 072038
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
2100 UTC WED OCT 07 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 101.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 101.3W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 15.9N 102.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.3N 104.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.6N 104.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 105.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.8N 105.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.9N 105.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 21.2N 105.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.6N 106.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 101.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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